<$Next Day's Advance Market Decisions$>

Monday, May 22, 2017

Dow 30 + DIA Analysis, A and CMCM Monday Forecast

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The week kicks off on Monday, May 22, with the Chicago Fed national activity index. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker will speak. Agilent (A) and Cheetah Mobile (CMCM) will report the first earnings batch of the week.

Nightly Analysis Update
Dow 30 + DIA Analysis
Probability of Being Up MONDAY: 13%
Trend: Falling 26%
Momentum: Falling 58%
Outlook: Bullish 55% Falling

Intermediate Stock Market Trend
Bullish 65.5% (DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM, formulated)

Symbol: A
Exchange: NYSE-Healthcare
Description: AGILENT TECHNOLOGIES INC. provides bio-analytical and electronic measurement solutions to the communications, electronics, life sciences, and chemical analysis industries in the United States and internationally.

A 05/19/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 56.09
(High) 56.32
(Low) 55.86
(Close) 56.13
(Range) 0.46

A 05/22/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 56.09
Today's Predicted High: 56.65
Today's Predicted Low: 55.61
Today's Proposed Range: 1.04
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
57.17 Upside Potential R2
57.03 Upside Potential R1
56.65 High Level R2
56.61 Low Level R1
56.09 Pivot Point
55.61 High Level S1
55.57 Low Level S2
55.09 Downside Potential S1
54.97 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 72 Down from 75
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 1.00/0.92 Up
Current Trend: Positive 30 Up from 29
Demand Factor: 90 Up from 89
Stock Volatility: -0.70 Down from 0.85

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

56.98
57.21
57.25
57.45

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

55.19
55.01
54.97
54.74

A 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 56.24
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 55.82
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 54.17
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 53.54
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 49.52
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 48.84

Symbol: CMCM
Exchange: NYSE-Software
Description: Cheetah Mobile operates a platform that offers mobile & PC applications for users and global content distribution channels for business partners in China. Founded in 2009, CMCM is based in Beijing, China.

CMCM05/19/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 10.45
(High) 10.86
(Low) 10.44
(Close) 10.55
(Range) 0.42

CMCM 05/22/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 10.61
Today's Predicted High: 10.81
Today's Predicted Low: 10.29
Today's Proposed Range: 0.52
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Binary Ladder Pricing
11.07 Upside Potential R2
10.87 Upside Potential R1
10.81 High Level R2
10.61 Low Level R1
10.55 Pivot Point
10.35 High Level S1
10.29 Low Level S2
10.24 Downside Potential S1
10.03 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 20 Down from 25
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.30/1.13 Up
Current Trend: Negative -25 Down from -19
Demand Factor: 0 Down from 1
Stock Volatility: 0.22 Down from 0.34

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

10.65
10.66
10.76
11.08

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

10.64
10.34
10.24
10.23

CMCM 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 10.94
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 10.87
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 11.03
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 10.77
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 10.42
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 10.94

Good luck and good trading!

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Sunday, May 21, 2017

Stock Market Key Metrics, DIA and SPY Monday Forecast, Tracking SPDR 13 SELECT SECTORS ETFs, Tracking 14 Industry Groups, This Week's Calendar of Economic Events & Corporate Earnings



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Friday May 19, 2017 DJIA Closed: 20804.84 141.82 vs. 20896.61 -22.81 Prior week, -.43% BELOW its RISING 21-day moving average of 20893.71 vs. 20825.15 Prior week. (Overbought: Above 21-DMA +4.61 reached on 10-23-15) vs. (Oversold: Below 21-DMA -6.21% reached on 1-15-16 (Historic High: 10.56% on 3-26-09 vs. Historic Low: -26.03% on 5-7-10). Upper 3.5% band: Rose 21625U vs. Lower 3.5% band: Rose 20162.4U

DIA Trend: 8-day M/A 208.61D vs. 21-day M/A 208.81U Spread: -0.20D vs. 1.39D Prior Week ("M/A Trend Crossover SELL Signal" occurred on 5-19-17.) (Historic High Spread: +5.30 11-7-14 / Historic Low Spread: -7.14 8-15-11). (*A Favorite Indicator as the Spread acts as an early warning signal of a shift in portfolio positions by smart money moving in, or out, of the DIA.)

DIA Price Volatility: Decreased Friday 3.71 Down from 4.65 Thursday.
(Historic High: 35.10 8-25-15, Low: -10.76% 8-31-15) (*An indication of a BIG MOVE, before it is about to happen, 3.30+ is considered High Volatility on the immediate horizon. Granted it can be way up, or way down, so you must look to the Demand Factor for confirmation of direction as this represents accumulation/distribution). (i.e. 3/1/17 reading 3.31, 3/21/17 reading 7.4 DIA-237.86)

DIA Proposed Range: Monday 0.74 vs. 1.73 Actual Range Friday.
(Historic High: 4.31 3-31-09 / Historic Low: 0.59 2-2-17 & 0.60% 7-19-16) (*When the Proposed Range is 0.99 or below, expect an immediate High Volatility day, "Up", as it happened on Friday 2-3-17.)

DIA Price Momentum: Fell 58%D vs. 61%D Prior week (Historic High: 100% 2-22-12, 97% 4-22-16 / Historic Low: 3% on 9-4-15, 3% 8-21-15, 3% 8-19-11, 3% 6-30-09, and 3% on 10-22-08)

DIA MACD: MACD Crossover "SELL" Signal on 5-11-17. Sell remains in effect.

DIA 5-Day Stochastic%D: Fell 24D vs. 51D Prior week (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

DIA Relative Strength 14-Day: Fell 43%D vs. 66%D Prior week (High 100 3-19-10 / Low 0 7-6-10 & 8-10-11) (Overbought =+75) / (Oversold =-25)

DIA Commodity Channel Index: Fell -115D vs. -66D Prior week (Overbought: =>+200 / Oversold: =<-200>) (Historic High: 309.49 12-12-14, 306 11-4-10 / Historic Low: -318 5-6-10, -312 8-21-15.)

McClellan Oscillator: Rose -16.86D vs. -68.00D Prior week (an overbought / oversold indicator.) (Historic High: 386.03 1-6-09 & 332.00 3-3-16 / Historic Low: -438.08 8-8-11)

Summation Index: Fell 2397.70D vs. 2630.22D Prior week ("Bull Market Breakout" +2500.00 / "Bear Market Breakdown" -2500.00)(Historic High: 5599.98 9-22-09 / Historic Low: -4699.43 11-20-08)

DIA Outlook: Fell 55%D vs. 65%D Prior Week (*A Favorite Indicator as it tracks Institutional Sentiment.) (Historic High: 98% 7-22-16 / Historic Low: 2% 3-11-09)

DIA Probability of Being "UP" Monday, 5-22-17: 13% vs. 68% Last Monday
(*a reading of 52+ is positive, a reading 48- is negative) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

Dow 30 + DIA: 15 Buy vs. 16 Sell, Fell 48%D vs. 58%D Prior Week. (*A reading of 52+ is Positive, a reading of 48- is Negative.) (*A Favorite Indicator as its direction most often predicts near term market action.) (*an 87%+ reading is Overbought, 97% was reached 7-22 & 7-15-16); (a 13% reading is Oversold, reached on 12-3-15 & 6-15-15, 10% on 8-26-15, 6% on 9-11-15.) (Historic High: 97% / Historic Low: 6%)

DIA Directional Indicator: Fell 16D vs. 22U Prior Week (Historic High: 133 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -117 8-26-15)

SPY Directional Indicator: Fell 23D vs. 38U Prior Week (Historic High: 149 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -127 8-26-15)

QQQ Directional Indicator: Fell 51D vs. 70U Prior Week (Historic High: 121 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -71 1-8-16)

IWB Directional Indicator: Fell 8D vs. 10D Prior Week (Historic High: 94 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM Directional Indicator: Fell -10D vs. 15D Prior Week (Historic High: 91 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM/IWB Computation: (IWM Close: 136.03D vs. IWB Close: 132.59D) Ratio: Fell 1.026D vs. 1.034D Prior Week (Small Cap Relative Strength Ratio is calculated taking the daily closing value of the Russell 2000 Index, and dividing it by the Russell 1000. If the line moves upward, then the Russell 2000 is outperforming on a relative basis.
That can mean going up faster, or going down more slowly. If the line is moving downward, then the small cap universe is generally doing worse than the large caps, on a relative basis. (*A Favorite Indicator as the Ratio points to a shift in portfolio positions by risk capital investors moving in, or out, of Small Cap stocks.)

ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats (NOBL) Close: Rose 56.87U vs. 56.64D Last Week) (Directional Indicator: Fell 3D vs. 6D Prior Week) (Historic High: 86.54 8-15-16 / Historic Low: 66.86 1-20-16)

SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY)Close: Rose 87.59U vs. 87.56D Last Week) (Directional Indicator: Fell -3D vs. 7D Prior Week) (Historic High: 88.67 5-11-16 / Historic Low: 66.86 1-20-16)

DIA Levels
DIA Resistance: Fell 211.86D
DIA Support: Fell 204.57D

DIA and SPY Monday Forecast

Symbol: DIA
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

DIA 05/19/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 206.77
(High) 208.31
(Low) 206.58
(Close) 207.77
(Range) 1.73

DIA 05/22/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 207.40
Today's Predicted High: 208.14
Today's Predicted Low: 207.40
Today's Proposed Range: 0.74
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
208.69 Upside Potential R2
208.51 Upside Potential R1
208.14 High Level R2
207.77 Low Level R1
207.40 Pivot Point
207.40 High Level S1
207.03 Low Level S2
207.03 Downside Potential S1
202.63 Downside Potential S2

Symbol: SPY
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: SPDR S&P 500 Exchange Traded Fund

05/19/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 237.33
(High) 239.08
(Low) 237.27
(Close) 238.31
(Range) 1.81

SPY 05/22/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 238.09
Today's Predicted High: 238.77
Today's Predicted Low: 237.85
Today's Proposed Range: 0.92
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
239.23 Upside Potential R2
239.21 Upside Potential R1
238.77 High Level R2
238.55 Low Level R1
238.09 Pivot Point
237.85 High Level S1
237.63 Low Level S2
237.39 Downside Potential S1
232.58 Downside Potential S2

SPDR 13 Select Sector ETFs
WEEKLY COMPARISONS

Week ending May 19, 2017
72% XLU (Utilities)
71% GXC (China)
67% XLK (Information Technology)
65% XLRE (Real Estate)
64% XTL (Telecommunications)
60% XLV (Healthcare)
58% XLI (Industrials)
55% XBI (Biotech)
50% XLB (Materials)
42% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
36% XLF (Financials)
32% XLE (Energy)
30% XRT (Retail)
AVERAGE: 54% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending May 12, 2017
75% XLK (Information Technology)
72% GXC (China)
70% XLV (Healthcare)
69% XLU (Utilities)
68% XTL (Telecommunications)
66% XLI (Industrials)
66% XBI (Biotech)
60% XLRE (Real Estate)
56% XLB (Materials)
52% XRT (Retail)
45% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
45% XLF (Financials)
37% XLE (Energy)
AVERAGE: 60% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending May 5, 2017
80% XLK (Information Technology)
77% XLV (Healthcare)
74% XBI (Biotech)
69% XLU (Utilities)
68% XLI (Industrials)
65% XTL (Telecommunications)
64% GXC (China)
63% XLB (Materials)
60% XLRE (Real Estate)
56% XRT (Retail)
49% XLF (Financials)
48% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
37% XLE (Energy)
AVERAGE: 62% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending April 28, 2017
77% XLK (Information Technology)
74% XBI (Biotech)
73% XLV (Healthcare)
72% XLU (Utilities)
69% XLI (Industrials)
67% GXC (China)
66% XTL (Telecommunications)
66% XLB (Materials)
63% XLRE (Real Estate)
50% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
47% XRT (Retail)
40% XLF (Financials)
37% XLE (Energy)
AVERAGE: 62% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

14 Industry Group ETFs & Components
WEEKLY COMPARISONS

Week ending May 19, 2017
78% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
75% SMH (Semiconductors)
72% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
71% IGV (Software)
69% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
69% Bonds Top 31 Selected
65% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
59% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
49% IYM (Chemicals)
47% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
45% IYT (Transportation)
35% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
28% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
25% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
AVERAGE: 56% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending May 12, 2017
80% SMH (Semiconductors)
79% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
79% IGV (Software)
79% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
71% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
71% Bonds Top 31 Selected
66% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
58% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
57% IYM (Chemicals)
53% IYT (Transportation)
47% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
45% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
41% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
30% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
AVERAGE: 61% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending May 5, 2017
83% IGV (Software)
79% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
73% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
71% SMH (Semiconductors)
70% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
70% Bonds Top 31 Selected
68% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
65% IYM (Chemicals)
62% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
55% IYT (Transportation)
53% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
51% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
49% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
29% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
AVERAGE: 63% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending April 28, 2017
74% IGV (Software)
74% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
72% Bonds Top 31 Selected
71% SMH (Semiconductors)
71% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
71% IYM (Chemicals)
70% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
70% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
69% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
58% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
53% IYT (Transportation)
48% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
46% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
28% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
AVERAGE: 63% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Good luck and good trading!

MktMetrics.com publishes its information by 7:00pm PT/10:00pm ET, providing our Subscribers reliable advance market indication of what to expect the next trading day.

MktMetrics Basic is free to use!
We also have Premium Subscriptions at $39.95 per/month.


Calendar of Economic Events and Corporate Earnings:
The latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes and estimate on first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) come out next week. This, along with a host of scheduled Fed speeches, should give traders plenty to chew on as they weigh the odds of a June rate hike. Meanwhile, fresh off the heels of earnings from giants Wal-Mart and Target, retailers will once again be in focus, with Costco Wholesale (NASDAQ: COST), Lowe’s Companies (NYSE: LOW), and Sears Holdings Corp (NASDAQ:SHLD) among the companies due to release their quarterly reports.

The week kicks off on Monday, May 22, with the Chicago Fed national activity index. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker will speak. Agilent (A) and Cheetah Mobile (CMCM) will report the first earnings batch of the week.

On Tuesday, May 23, new home sales data will be released, and later in the day, Kashkari, Harker, and Chicago Fed President Charles Evans will speak. AutoZone (AZO), Cracker Barrel (CBRL), Diana Shipping (DSX), DSW (DSW), Intuit (INTU), Kirklands (KIRK), Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO), and Toll Brothers (TOL) will report earnings.

On Wednesday, May 24, the flash purchasing managers' index (PMI) and existing home sales data will be released, and Kashkari will once again step up to the mic. In addition, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) will present the regularly scheduled update on crude inventories. The highlight of the day will be the FOMC meeting minutes. Advance Auto Parts (AAP), Chico's (CHS), Guess (GES), JA Solar (JASO), LOW, HP Inc (HPQ), NetApp (NTAP), SHLD, Tiffany (TIF), and Williams-Sonoma (WSM) will report earnings.

On Thursday, May 25, the government report on imports and exports will be released, as well as weekly jobless claims. Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard will speak in the evening. Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF), Best Buy (BBY), Big Lots (BIG), Burlington Stores (BURL), Costo Wholesale (COST), Deckers Outdoor (DECK), Dollar Tree (DLTR), Gamestop (GME), JinkoSolar (JKS), Marvell Technology (MRVL), and Medtronic (MDT) report earnings.

Wrapping the week up on Friday, May 26 will be the latest estimate on first-quarter GDP, May consumer sentiment stats, and data on durable goods orders. There are no earnings of note.

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Lightspeed Trading, LLC
Lightspeed Trading, LLC provides securities and direct access brokerage, trading, and order routing services. It offers Lightspeed Trader, a market access trading system for executing equities, options, and futures. The company also provides Lightspeed Risk, an equity risk management application for monitoring profit and loss, and stock activities and positions. It was formerly known as E*TRADE Professional Trading, LLC and changed its name to Lightspeed Trading, LLC in 2006. The company is based in New York, New York. Lightspeed Trading, LLC operates as a subsidiary of Lightspeed Financial, LLC.

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.
Interactive Brokers conducts its broker/dealer and proprietary trading businesses on over 80 market destinations worldwide. In its broker dealer agency business, IB provides direct access ("on line") trade execution and clearing services to institutional and professional traders for a wide variety of electronically traded products including stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds worldwide. In its proprietary trading business IB engages in market making for its own account in about Switzerland, Canada, Hong Kong, UK, Australia, Hungary, Russia, India, China and 6,500 different electronically traded products. Interactive Brokers' headquarters are in Greenwich Connecticut, and it has about 800 employees in its offices in the USA, Estonia. IB is regulated by the SEC, FINRA, NYSE, SFA and other regulatory agencies around the world.

Disclaimer:
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Friday, May 19, 2017

Dow 30 + DIA Analysis, CPB, DE, FL Friday Forecast

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MktMetrics.com publishes its information by 7:00pm PT/10:00pm ET, providing our Subscribers reliable advance market indication of what to expect the next trading day.

To close out the week, on Friday, May 19, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard will speak in the morning. Campbell Soup (CPB), Deere (DE), and Foot Locker (FL) will wrap up the week’s earnings reports.

Nightly Analysis Update
Dow 30 + DIA Analysis
Probability of Being Up FRIDAY: 39%
Trend: Falling 45%
Momentum: Rising 58%
Outlook: Bullish 59% Falling

Intermediate Stock Market Trend
Bullish 60.3% (DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM, formulated)

Symbol: CPB
Exchange: NYSE-Staples
Description: Campbell Soup Co. manufactures & markets food & beverage products in three segments: Americas Simple Meals and Beverages; Global Biscuits and Snacks; and Campbell Fresh. Founded in 1869, CPB is based in Camden, NJ.

CPB 05/18/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 57.28
(High) 57.50
(Low) 56.77
(Close) 56.94
(Range) 0.73

CPB 05/19/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 57.13
Today's Predicted High: 57.24
Today's Predicted Low: 56.65
Today's Proposed Range: 0.59
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Binary Ladder Pricing
57.53 Upside Potential R2
57.43 Upside Potential R1
57.32 High Level R2
57.24 Low Level R1
57.13 Pivot Point
56.84 High Level S1
56.65 Low Level S2
56.35 Downside Potential S1
56.13 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 36 Down from 46
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.80/1.10 Up
Current Trend: Negative -3 Down from 8
Demand Factor: 38 Down from 50
Stock Volatility: 1.01 Down from 1.33

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

57.91
58.08
58.43
58.65

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

56.35
56.13
55.80
55.63

CPB 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 57.31
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 57.33
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 57.47
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 57.98
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 58.23
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 58.07

Symbol: DE
Exchange: NYSE-Retail
Description: Deere & Co. provides products and services for agriculture and forestry worldwide. It markets its products through independent retail dealer networks and retail outlets. Founded in 1837, DE is based in Moline, IL.

DE 05/18/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 112.19
(High) 113.52
(Low) 111.12
(Close) 112.67
(Range) 2.40

DE 05/19/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 112.35
Today's Predicted High: 113.23
Today's Predicted Low: 112.12
Today's Proposed Range: 1.11
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
113.78 Upside Potential R2
113.64 Upside Potential R1
113.23 High Level R2
112.91 Low Level R1
112.35 Pivot Point
112.12 High Level S1
111.80 Low Level S2
111.56 Downside Potential S1
109.95 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 79 Down from 85
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.60/1.23 Up
Current Trend: Positive 36 Unch
Demand Factor: 97 Up from 94
Stock Volatility: 4.98 Up from 1.91

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

113.34
114.43
114.92
115.79

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

111.25
110.42
109.95
108.90

DE 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 113.53
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 112.13
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 110.53
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 110.35
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 104.12
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 98.85

Symbol: FL
Exchange: NYSE-Retail
Description: Foot Locker operates as a retailer of athletic footwear and apparel. Founded in 1879, FL is based in New York, NY.

FL 05/18/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 71.12
(High) 71.81
(Low) 70.20
(Close) 70.45
(Range) 1.61

FL 05/19/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 70.95
Today's Predicted High: 71.38
Today's Predicted Low: 69.53
Today's Proposed Range: 1.85
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Binary Ladder Pricing
72.30 Upside Potential R2
71.88 Upside Potential R1
71.38 High Level R2
71.15 Low Level R1
70.95 Pivot Point
70.03 High Level S1
69.70 Low Level S2
69.53 Downside Potential S1
68.60 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 22 Down from 30
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.60/1.32 Up
Current Trend: Negative -14 Down from -6
Demand Factor: 70 Down from 80
Stock Volatility: 1.13 Up from -0.49

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

71.60
71.86
72.54
73.25

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

70.37
69.70
69.04
68.80

FL 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 73.88
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 75.56
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 74.54
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 74.38
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 72.43
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 70.63

Good luck and good trading!

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We also have Premium Subscriptions at $39.95/month.

Thursday, May 18, 2017

Dow 30 + DIA Analysis, WMT, BABA, GPS, PERY, RL, ROST, CRM Thursday Forecast

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Thursday, May 18, will mark a busy day, as weekly jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey are slated for release. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester will speak in the afternoon. On the earnings front, Wal-Mart (WMT), Alibaba (BABA), Gap (GPS), Perry Ellis (PERY), Ralph Lauren (RL), Ross Stores (ROST), and Salesforce.com (CRM) will report.

Nightly Analysis Update
Dow 30 + DIA Analysis
Probability of Being Up THURSDAY: 84%
Trend: Falling 52%
Momentum: Falling 55%
Outlook: Bullish 63% Falling

Intermediate Stock Market Trend
Bullish 55.0% (DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM, formulated)

Symbol: WMT
Exchange: NYSE-Retail
Description: Wal-Mart Stores operates retail stores in various formats worldwide through three segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam\\\'s Club. Wal-Mart was founded in 1945 and is based in Bentonville, AR.

WMT 05/17/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 75.05
(High) 75.73
(Low) 74.95
(Close) 75.12
(Range) 0.78

WMT 05/18/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 75.28
Today's Predicted High: 75.50
Today's Predicted Low: 74.74
Today's Proposed Range: 0.76
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
75.88 Upside Potential R2
75.66 Upside Potential R1
75.50 High Level R2
75.31 Low Level R1
75.28 Pivot Point
74.90 High Level S1
74.74 Low Level S2
74.36 Downside Potential S1
73.55 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 59 Down from 64
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.50/1.13 Up
Current Trend: Positive 5 Down from 13
Demand Factor: 19 Down from 28
Stock Volatility: 0.82 Down from 2.15

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

76.45
76.55
76.62
77.24

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

74.22
73.62
73.55
73.45

WMT 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 75.99
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 75.57
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 73.05
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 72.44
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 70.60
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 70.96

Symbol: BABA
Exchange: NYSE-China
Description: Alibaba Group Holding Ltd operates as an online & mobile commerce company in China and internationally. The company has a strategic partnership with Mattel, Inc. Founded in 1999, BABA is based in Hangzhou, China.

BABA 05/17/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 123.25
(High) 123.89
(Low) 120.50
(Close) 120.72
(Range) 3.39

BABA 05/18/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 121.46
Today's Predicted High: 121.46
Today's Predicted Low: 119.98
Today's Proposed Range: 1.48
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
122.20 Upside Potential R2
122.20 Upside Potential R1
121.60 High Level R2
121.46 Low Level R1
121.46 Pivot Point
120.79 High Level S1
120.72 Low Level S2
119.98 Downside Potential S1
119.24 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 90 Down from 99
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 2.10/1.45 Up
Current Trend: Positive 75 Down from 96
Demand Factor: 88 Down from 100
Stock Volatility: 7.21 Up from 4.58

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

122.91
123.13
125.72
126.37

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

121.41
120.79
118.31
118.09

BABA 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 120.44
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 117.13
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 111.54
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 109.46
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 101.98
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 101.26

Symbol: GPS
Exchange: NYSE-Retail
Description: The Gap is a specialty retailer offering clothing, accessories & personal care products for men, women, children & babies under the Gap, Old Navy, Banana Republic, Piperlime & Athleta brand names. Founded in 1969, GPS is based in San Francisco, CA.

GPS 05/17/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 24.22
(High) 24.25
(Low) 23.53
(Close) 23.55
(Range) 0.72

GPS 05/18/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 23.89
Today's Predicted High: 24.02
Today's Predicted Low: 23.09
Today's Proposed Range: 0.93
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Binary Ladder Pricing
24.48 Upside Potential R2
24.36 Upside Potential R1
24.02 High Level R2
24.01 Low Level R1
23.89 Pivot Point
23.74 High Level S1
23.43 Low Level S2
23.09 Downside Potential S1
22.62 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 36 Down from 53
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.90/1.33 Up
Current Trend: Negative -2 Down from 14
Demand Factor: 46 Down from 71
Stock Volatility: 0.30 Down from 0.65

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

24.00
24.02
24.70
24.74

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

23.77
23.74
23.08
23.06

GPS 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 25.44
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 25.70
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 24.61
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 24.60
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 24.91
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 24.75

Symbol: PERY
Exchange: Nasdaq-Retail
Description: Perry Ellis International designs, sources, markets, & licenses apparel products. Founded in 1967, PERY is based in Miami, FL.

PERY 05/17/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 18.42
(High) 18.50
(Low) 17.87
(Close) 18.12
(Range) 0.63

PERY 05/18/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 18.21
Today's Predicted High: 18.52
Today's Predicted Low: 17.73
Today's Proposed Range: 0.79
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Binary Ladder Pricing
18.91 Upside Potential R2
18.64 Upside Potential R1
18.61 High Level R2
18.52 Low Level R1
18.21 Pivot Point
18.05 High Level S1
17.82 Low Level S2
17.73 Downside Potential S1
17.33 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 14 Down from 15
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.00/1.05 Down
Current Trend: Negative -11 Down from -8
Demand Factor: 52 Down from 56
Stock Volatility: 0.31 Down from 2.06

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

18.23
18.48
18.79
18.87

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

18.13
18.05
17.76
17.51

PERY 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 19.66
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 20.40
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 21.02
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 21.47
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 22.40
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 21.72

Symbol: RL
Exchange: NYSE-Retail
Description: Ralph Lauren engages in the design, marketing & distribution of lifestyle products, i.e., POLO. Founded in 1967, RL is based in New York, NY.

RL 05/17/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 73.41
(High) 73.77
(Low) 71.51
(Close) 72.75
(Range) 2.26

RL 05/18/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 72.75
Today's Predicted High: 74.09
Today's Predicted Low: 71.41
Today's Proposed Range: 2.68
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Binary Ladder Pricing
75.43 Upside Potential R2
74.09 Upside Potential R1
74.09 High Level R2
72.95 Low Level R1
72.75 Pivot Point
71.94 High Level S1
71.41 Low Level S2
71.41 Downside Potential S1
70.07 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 3 Up from 2
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 3.30/2.08 Up
Current Trend: Negative -48 Up from -49
Demand Factor: 2 Up from 0
Stock Volatility: 1.42 Down from 3.29

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

72.94
74.21
74.88
75.25

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

72.29
71.94
71.30
70.08

RL 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 78.51
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 79.70
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 79.97
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 79.80
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 89.06
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 92.32

Symbol: ROST
Exchange: Nasdaq-Retail
Description: Ross Stores operates two chains of off-price retail apparel & home accessories stores in the U.S. Founded in 1982, ROST is based in Dublin, CA.

ROST 05/17/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 61.31
(High) 62.43
(Low) 61.22
(Close) 61.52
(Range) 1.21

ROST 05/18/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 61.72
Today's Predicted High: 62.27
Today's Predicted Low: 60.77
Today's Proposed Range: 1.50
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Binary Ladder Pricing
63.02 Upside Potential R2
62.47 Upside Potential R1
62.27 High Level R2
61.72 Low Level R1
61.71 Pivot Point
60.97 High Level S1
60.77 Low Level S2
60.08 Downside Potential S1
60.02 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 19 Up from 15
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.70/1.97 Down
Current Trend: Negative -12 Down from -7
Demand Factor: 19 Down from 27
Stock Volatility: 0.63 Down from 4.38

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

62.44
62.54
62.75
63.68

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

61.18
60.29
60.08
60.00

ROST 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 63.75
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 64.38
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 64.96
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 65.70
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 65.78
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 65.06

Symbol: CRM
Exchange: NYSE-Internet
Description: salesforce.com provides customer & collaboration relationship management (CRM) services to businesses and industries worldwide. Founded in 1999, CRM is based in San Francisco, CA.

CRM 05/17/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 89.06
(High) 89.33
(Low) 87.57
(Close) 87.84
(Range) 1.76

CRM 05/18/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 88.45
Today's Predicted High: 88.48
Today's Predicted Low: 87.21
Today's Proposed Range: 1.27
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
89.11 Upside Potential R2
89.09 Upside Potential R1
88.77 High Level R2
88.48 Low Level R1
88.45 Pivot Point
87.82 High Level S1
87.28 Low Level S2
87.21 Downside Potential S1
86.57 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 88 Down from 96
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.50/1.20 Up
Current Trend: Positive 32 Down from 43
Demand Factor: 93 Down from 98
Stock Volatility: 2.74 Up from 0.69

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

89.32
89.60
90.84
91.12

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

87.54
87.28
86.08
85.82

CRM 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 88.18
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 86.50
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 84.54
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 83.95
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 78.42
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 77.75

Good luck and good trading!

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Wednesday, May 17, 2017

Dow 30 + DIA Analysis, CSCO, AEO, LB, TGT Wednesday Forecast

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On Wednesday, May 17, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) will present the regularly scheduled update on crude inventories, while Cisco Systems (CSCO), American Eagle (AEO), L Brands (LB), and Target (TGT) report earnings.

Nightly Analysis Update
Dow 30 + DIA Analysis
Probability of Being Up WEDNESDAY: 55%
Trend: Falling 65%
Momentum: Falling 61%
Outlook: Bullish 65% Rising

Intermediate Stock Market Trend
Bullish 70.7% (DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM, formulated)

Symbol: CSCO
Exchange: NasdaqGS
Description: Cisco Systems designs, manufactures, and sells Internet protocol (IP)-based networking and other products related to the communications and information technology industry worldwide.

CSCO 05/16/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 34.24
(High) 34.33
(Low) 34.03
(Close) 34.29
(Range) 0.30

CSCO 05/17/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 34.20
Today's Predicted High: 34.47
Today's Predicted Low: 34.11
Today's Proposed Range: 0.36
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
35.07 Upside Potential R2
34.65 Upside Potential R1
34.47 High Level R2
34.38 Low Level R1
34.20 Pivot Point
34.11 High Level S1
34.02 Low Level S2
33.93 Downside Potential S1
33.56 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 77 Up from 71
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.10/1.22 Down
Current Trend: Positive 15 Up from 13
Demand Factor: 78 Up from 74
Stock Volatility: 0.18 Down from 0.67

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

34.71
34.92
34.98
35.02

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

33.64
33.60
33.56
33.35

CSCO 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 33.99
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 33.69
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 33.68
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 33.70
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 31.86
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 31.70

Symbol: AEO
Exchange: NYSE-Retail
Description: American Eagle Outfitters operates as a specialty retailer offering on-trend clothing, accessories, & personal care products under the American Eagle Outfitters & Aerie brands in the U.S. & Canada. Founded in 1977, AEO is based in Pittsburgh, PA.

AEO 05/16/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 13.10
(High) 13.14
(Low) 12.93
(Close) 12.96
(Range) 0.21

AEO 05/17/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 13.03
Today's Predicted High: 13.23
Today's Predicted Low: 12.69
Today's Proposed Range: 0.54
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Binary Ladder Pricing

13.50 Upside Potential R2
13.30 Upside Potential R1
13.23 High Level R2
13.23 Low Level R1
13.03 Pivot Point
12.84 High Level S1
12.76 Low Level S2
12.69 Downside Potential S1
12.42 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 11 Down from 23
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.60/1.25 Up
Current Trend: Negative -6 Down from 4
Demand Factor: 27 Down from 45
Stock Volatility: -0.45 Down from 0.91

Symbol: LB
Exchange: NYSE-Retail
Description: L Brands operates as a specialty retailer of womens intimate & other apparel, beauty & personal care products & accessories. Founded in 1963, LB is based in Columbus, OH.

LB 05/16/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 48.99
(High) 49.15
(Low) 48.16
(Close) 48.29
(Range) 0.99

LB 05/17/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 48.65
Today's Predicted High: 49.18
Today's Predicted Low: 47.40
Today's Proposed Range: 1.78
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Binary Ladder Pricing

50.07 Upside Potential R2
49.54 Upside Potential R1
49.18 High Level R2
48.98 Low Level R1
48.65 Pivot Point
48.01 High Level S1
47.76 Low Level S2
47.40 Downside Potential S1
46.51 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 39 Down from 51
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 1.00/0.90 Up
Current Trend: Positive 16 Down from 31
Demand Factor: 69 Down from 77
Stock Volatility: -0.59 Down from 0.31

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

49.12
49.26
49.97
50.13

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

48.17
48.01
47.32
47.20

LB 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 50.96
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 50.90
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 49.40
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 50.61
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 60.00
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 63.38

Symbol: TGT
Exchange: NYSE-Retail
Description: Target operates general merchandise and food discount stores in the United States. Founded in 1902, TGT is based in Minneapolis, MN.

TGT 05/16/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 55.51
(High) 55.56
(Low) 54.20
(Close) 54.53
(Range) 1.36

TGT 05/17/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 54.91
Today's Predicted High: 55.11
Today's Predicted Low: 53.95
Today's Proposed Range: 1.16
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
55.69 Upside Potential R2
55.49 Upside Potential R1
55.11 High Level R2
54.91 Low Level R1
54.70 Pivot Point
54.40 High Level S1
54.33 Low Level S2
53.95 Downside Potential S1
53.37 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 22 Down from 30
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.70/1.25 Up
Current Trend: Positive 11 Down from 24
Demand Factor: 17 Down from 23
Stock Volatility: 1.76 Up from 1.09

Good luck and good trading!

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Tuesday, May 16, 2017

Dow 30 + DIA Analysis, HD, DKS, JACK, SINA, SSYS, TJX Tuesday Forecast

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MktMetrics.com publishes its information by 7:00pm PT/10:00pm ET, providing our Subscribers reliable advance market indication of what to expect the next trading day.

On Tuesday, May 16, housing starts and the Fed’s industrial production update are due for release. Earnings reports from Home Depot (HD), Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS), Jack in the Box (JACK), SINA (SINA), Staples (SPLS), Stratasys (SSYS), TJX Companies (TJX), Urban Outfitters (URBN), and Weibo (WB) are due as well.

Nightly Analysis Update
Dow 30 + DIA Analysis
Probability of Being Up TUESDAY: 26%
Trend: Rising 68%
Momentum: Rising 68%
Outlook: Bullish 66% Falling

Intermediate Stock Market Trend
Bullish 70.0% (DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM, formulated)

Symbol: HD
Exchange: NYSE-Retail
Description: The Home Depot operates as a home improvement retailer. Founded in 1978, HD is based in Atlanta, GA.

HD 05/15/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 157.28
(High) 157.84
(Low) 156.66
(Close) 157.33
(Range) 1.18

HD 05/16/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 157.26
Today's Predicted High: 157.99
Today's Predicted Low: 156.67
Today's Proposed Range: 1.32
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
158.65 Upside Potential R2
157.99 Upside Potential R1
157.92 High Level R2
157.43 Low Level R1
157.26 Pivot Point
156.67 High Level S1
156.60 Low Level S2
156.01 Downside Potential S1
154.13 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 94 Down from 95
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 1.60/0.95 Up
Current Trend: Positive 91 Up from 85
Demand Factor: 100 Unch
Stock Volatility: 0.90 Down from 1.14

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

159.79
160.43
160.48
161.00

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

154.68
154.18
154.13
153.53

HD 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 156.71
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 153.82
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 149.99
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 148.63
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 138.83
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 137.18

Symbol: DKS
Exchange: NYSE-Retail
Description: Dick's Sporting Goods operates as a sporting goods retailer in the eastern United States. Founded in 1948, DKS is based in Coraopolis, PA.

DKS 05/15/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 48.23
(High) 48.24
(Low) 47.37
(Close) 47.57
(Range) 0.87

DKS 05/16/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 47.83
Today's Predicted High: 47.94
Today's Predicted Low: 47.21
Today's Proposed Range: 0.73
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Binary Ladder Pricing
48.30 Upside Potential R2
48.20 Upside Potential R1
48.02 High Level R2
47.94 Low Level R1
47.83 Pivot Point
47.47 High Level S1
47.27 Low Level S2
47.21 Downside Potential S1
46.84 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 24 Down from 31
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.40/1.12 Up
Current Trend: Negative -3 Down from 0
Demand Factor: 45 Down from 55
Stock Volatility: 1.15 Down from 4.69

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

48.32
48.52
49.19
49.20

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

47.28
47.27
46.62
46.42

DKS 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 50.16
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 50.58
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 49.45
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 49.65
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 53.20
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 54.27

Symbol: JACK
Exchange: Nasd-Restaurant
Description: Jack in the Box operates & franchises Jack in the Box quick-service restaurants & Qdoba Mexican Eats fast-casual restaurants in the U.S. Founded in 1951, JACK is based in San Diego, CA.

JACK 05/15/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 100.31
(High) 100.48
(Low) 99.16
(Close) 99.56
(Range) 1.32

JACK 05/16/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 99.85
Today's Predicted High: 100.54
Today's Predicted Low: 98.58
Today's Proposed Range: 1.96
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Binary Ladder Pricing
101.52 Upside Potential R2
100.83 Upside Potential R1
100.54 High Level R2
100.46 Low Level R1
99.85 Pivot Point
98.87 High Level S1
98.58 Low Level S2
98.30 Downside Potential S1
97.60 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 27 Down from 40
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 2.00/1.28 Up
Current Trend: Negative 0 Up from -2
Demand Factor: 9 Down from 29
Stock Volatility: 0.04 Down from 3.13

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

101.14
101.55
102.32
102.49

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

98.47
98.30
97.57
97.18

JACK 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 102.91
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 101.87
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 100.53
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 100.92
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 102.91
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 101.54

Symbol: SINA
Exchange: Nasdaq-Internet
Description: SINA provides online media & mobile value-added services in China. Founded in 1997, SINA is based in Shanghai, China.

SINA 05/15/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 84.00
(High) 84.19
(Low) 82.91
(Close) 84.04
(Range) 1.28

SINA 05/16/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 83.67
Today's Predicted High: 85.16
Today's Predicted Low: 82.93
Today's Proposed Range: 2.23
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
86.27 Upside Potential R2
85.16 Upside Potential R1
84.79 High Level R2
84.14 Low Level R1
83.67 Pivot Point
82.93 High Level S1
82.56 Low Level S2
82.32 Downside Potential S1
81.81 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 99 Up from 97
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.90/1.03 Up
Current Trend: Positive 106 Up from 94
Demand Factor: 100 Unch
Stock Volatility: -0.62 Down from 1.15

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

84.57
85.68
85.72
85.87

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

82.51
82.36
82.32
81.25

SINA 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 81.27
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 76.60
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 73.41
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 73.43
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 71.77
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 71.89

Symbol: SSYS
Exchange: Nasd-Electronics
Description: Stratasys engages in the development, manufacture & marketing of three dimensional (3D) printing, rapid prototyping (RP) & direct digital manufacturing (DDM) systems in North America, Europe & Asia Pacific. Founded in 1989, SSYS is based in Eden Prairie,

SSYS 05/15/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 28.56
(High) 30.75
(Low) 28.55
(Close) 29.93
(Range) 2.20

SSYS 05/16/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 29.55
Today's Predicted High: 30.56
Today's Predicted Low: 29.31
Today's Proposed Range: 1.25
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
31.18 Upside Potential R2
30.56 Upside Potential R1
30.18 High Level R2
30.03 Low Level R1
29.55 Pivot Point
29.31 High Level S1
28.93 Low Level S2
28.68 Downside Potential S1
27.99 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 96 Down from 99
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 3.50/1.90 Up
Current Trend: Positive 83 Up from 82
Demand Factor: 100 Unch
Stock Volatility: 4.10 Up from 1.96

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

29.12
29.13
30.53
31.37

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

30.14
29.33
27.99
27.98

SSYS 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 28.24
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 25.91
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 22.42
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 22.04
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 20.47
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 20.86

Symbol: TJX
Exchange: NYSE-Retail
Description: The TJX Companies operates as an off-price apparel & home fashions retailer in the U.S. and internationally, through four segments: Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX International. Founded in 1956, TJX is based in Framingham, MA.

TJX 05/15/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 77.50
(High) 77.83
(Low) 76.63
(Close) 76.90
(Range) 1.20

TJX 05/16/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 77.22
Today's Predicted High: 77.51
Today's Predicted Low: 76.30
Today's Proposed Range: 1.21
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
78.11 Upside Potential R2
77.83 Upside Potential R1
77.51 High Level R2
77.40 Low Level R1
77.22 Pivot Point
76.62 High Level S1
76.30 Low Level S2
75.95 Downside Potential S1
75.69 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 43 Down from 63
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.80/1.35 Up
Current Trend: Positive 9 Down from 11
Demand Factor: 50 Down from 67
Stock Volatility: 1.18 Down from 4.64

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

78.16
78.44
79.05
79.39

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

76.27
75.95
75.36
75.10

TJX 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 78.69
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 78.39
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 78.19
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 78.10
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 76.71
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 76.92

Good luck and good trading!

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Monday, May 15, 2017

Dow 30 + DIA Analysis, QQQ, Best Ideas Today, Monday Forecast

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MktMetrics.com publishes its information by 7:00pm PT/10:00pm ET, providing our Subscribers reliable advance market indication of what to expect the next trading day.

The week kicks off on Monday, May 15, with the Empire State manufacturing survey. The NAHB housing market index and Treasury International Capital (TIC) data will be released also. Digital Ally (DGLY) and Trivago (TRVG) will report the first batch of earnings for the week.

Nightly Analysis Update
Dow 30 + DIA Analysis
Probability of Being Up MONDAY: 68%
Trend: Rising 65%
Momentum: Falling 61%
Outlook: Bullish 65% Falling

Intermediate Stock Market Trend
Bullish 66.1% (DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM, formulated)

Symbol: QQQ
Exchange: NasdaqGM
Description: POWERSHARES QQQ TRUST NASDAQ 100 ETF

QQQ 05/12/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 138.37
(High) 138.63
(Low) 138.22
(Close) 138.60
(Range) 0.41

QQQ 05/15/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 138.44
Today's Predicted High: 138.94
Today's Predicted Low: 138.26
Today's Proposed Range: 0.68
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
139.28 Upside Potential R2
138.94 Upside Potential R1
138.78 High Level R2
138.70 Low Level R1
138.44 Pivot Point
138.26 High Level S1
138.10 Low Level S2
137.92 Downside Potential S1
135.60 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 99 Up from 97
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 1.00/0.98 Up
Current Trend: Positive 70 Up from 59
Demand Factor: 100 Unch
Stock Volatility: -0.13 Down from 1.45

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

140.98
141.14
141.37
141.40

Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

135.86
135.83
135.60
135.46

QQQ 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 137.88
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 135.40
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 133.11
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 132.28
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 125.17
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 123.14

Best Ideas Today
ATRI
FMN
GOOG
IMOS
NFLX
PRAH
PRXL
UTF
YNDX

Good luck and good trading!

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Sunday, May 14, 2017

Stock Market Key Metrics, DIA and SPY Monday Forecast, Tracking SPDR 13 SELECT SECTORS ETFs, Tracking 14 Industry Groups, This Week's Calendar of Economic Events & Corporate Earnings



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Friday May 12, 2017 DJIA Closed: 20896.61 -22.81 vs. 21006.94 +55.47 Prior week, .34% ABOVE its RISING 21-day moving average of 20825.15 vs. 20752.44 Prior week. (Overbought: Above 21-DMA +4.61 reached on 10-23-15) vs. (Oversold: Below 21-DMA -6.21% reached on 1-15-16 (Historic High: 10.56% on 3-26-09 vs. Historic Low: -26.03% on 5-7-10). Upper 3.5% band: Rose 21554.1U vs. Lower 3.5% band: Rose 20096.3U

DIA Trend: 8-day M/A 209.44U vs. 21-day M/A 208.05U Spread: 1.39D vs. 2.00N Prior Week ("M/A Trend Crossover BUY Signal" occurred on 4-25-17.) (Historic High Spread: +5.30 11-7-14 / Historic Low Spread: -7.14 8-15-11). (*A Favorite Indicator as the Spread acts as an early warning signal of a shift in portfolio positions by smart money moving in, or out, of the DIA.)

DIA Price Volatility: Decreased Friday -0.36 Down from 2.07 Thursday.
(Historic High: 35.10 8-25-15, Low: -10.76% 8-31-15) (*An indication of a BIG MOVE, before it is about to happen, 3.30+ is considered High Volatility on the immediate horizon. Granted it can be way up, or way down, so you must look to the Demand Factor for confirmation of direction as this represents accumulation/distribution). (i.e. 3/1/17 reading 3.31, 3/21/17 reading 7.4 DIA-237.86)

DIA Proposed Range: Monday 0.87 vs. .46 Actual Range Friday.
(Historic High: 4.31 3-31-09 / Historic Low: 0.59 2-2-17 & 0.60% 7-19-16) (*When the Proposed Range is 0.99 or below, expect an immediate High Volatility day, "Up", as it happened on Friday 2-3-17.)

DIA Price Momentum: Fell 61%D vs. 68%N Prior week (Historic High: 100% 2-22-12, 97% 4-22-16 / Historic Low: 3% on 9-4-15, 3% 8-21-15, 3% 8-19-11, 3% 6-30-09, and 3% on 10-22-08)

DIA MACD: MACD Crossover "SELL" Signal on 5-11-17. Sell remains in effect.

DIA 5-Day Stochastic%D: Fell 51D vs. 77D Prior week (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

DIA Relative Strength 14-Day: Fell 66%D vs. 67%U Prior week (High 100 3-19-10 / Low 0 7-6-10 & 8-10-11) (Overbought =+75) / (Oversold =-25)

DIA Commodity Channel Index: Fell -66D vs. 55D Prior week (Overbought: =>+200 / Oversold: =<-200>) (Historic High: 309.49 12-12-14, 306 11-4-10 / Historic Low: -318 5-6-10, -312 8-21-15.)

McClellan Oscillator: Fell -68.00D vs. 0.11D Prior week (an overbought / oversold indicator.) (Historic High: 386.03 1-6-09 & 332.00 3-3-16 / Historic Low: -438.08 8-8-11)

Summation Index: Fell 2630.22D vs. 2822.33D Prior week ("Bull Market Breakout" +2500.00 / "Bear Market Breakdown" -2500.00)(Historic High: 5599.98 9-22-09 / Historic Low: -4699.43 11-20-08)

DIA Outlook: Fell 65%D vs. 69%U Prior Week (*A Favorite Indicator as it tracks Institutional Sentiment.) (Historic High: 98% 7-22-16 / Historic Low: 2% 3-11-09)

DIA Probability of Being "UP" Monday, 5-15-17: 68% vs. 19% Last Monday
(*a reading of 52+ is positive, a reading 48- is negative) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

Dow 30 + DIA: 18 Buy vs. 13 Sell, Fell 58%D vs. 61%U Prior Week. (*A reading of 52+ is Positive, a reading of 48- is Negative.) (*A Favorite Indicator as its direction most often predicts near term market action.) (*an 87%+ reading is Overbought, 97% was reached 7-22 & 7-15-16); (a 13% reading is Oversold, reached on 12-3-15 & 6-15-15, 10% on 8-26-15, 6% on 9-11-15.) (Historic High: 97% / Historic Low: 6%)

DIA Directional Indicator: Rose 22U vs. 17U Prior Week (Historic High: 133 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -117 8-26-15)

SPY Directional Indicator: Rose 38U vs. 33U Prior Week (Historic High: 149 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -127 8-26-15)

QQQ Directional Indicator: Rose 70U vs. 41U Prior Week (Historic High: 121 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -71 1-8-16)

IWB Directional Indicator: Fell 10D vs. 18U Prior Week (Historic High: 94 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM Directional Indicator: Fell 15D vs. 30U Prior Week (Historic High: 91 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM/IWB Computation: (IWM Close: 137.51D vs. IWB Close: 132.96D) Ratio: Fell 1.034D vs. 1.042D Prior Week (Small Cap Relative Strength Ratio is calculated taking the daily closing value of the Russell 2000 Index, and dividing it by the Russell 1000. If the line moves upward, then the Russell 2000 is outperforming on a relative basis.
That can mean going up faster, or going down more slowly. If the line is moving downward, then the small cap universe is generally doing worse than the large caps, on a relative basis. (*A Favorite Indicator as the Ratio points to a shift in portfolio positions by risk capital investors moving in, or out, of Small Cap stocks.)

ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats (NOBL) Close: Fell 56.64D vs. 57.25U Last Week) (Directional Indicator: Fell 6D vs. 15U Prior Week) (Historic High: 86.54 8-15-16 / Historic Low: 66.86 1-20-16)

SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY)Close: Fell 87.56D vs. 88.67U Last Week) (Directional Indicator: Fell 7D vs. 15U Prior Week) (Historic High: 88.67 5-11-16 / Historic Low: 66.86 1-20-16)

DIA Levels
DIA Resistance: Rose 213.12U
DIA Support: Rose 205.79U

DIA and SPY Monday Forecast

Symbol: DIA
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

05/12/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 209.00
(High) 209.28
(Low) 208.82
(Close) 209.01
(Range) 0.46

DIA 05/15/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 209.04
Today's Predicted High: 209.45
Today's Predicted Low: 208.58
Today's Proposed Range: 0.87
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
209.97 Upside Potential R2
209.88 Upside Potential R1
209.48 High Level R2
209.45 Low Level R1
209.04 Pivot Point
208.61 High Level S1
208.58 Low Level S2
208.14 Downside Potential S1
204.82 Downside Potential S2

Symbol: SPY
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: SPDR S&P 500 Exchange Traded Fund

05/12/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 239.09
(High) 239.42
(Low) 238.67
(Close) 238.98
(Range) 0.75

SPY 05/15/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 239.04
Today's Predicted High: 239.47
Today's Predicted Low: 238.50
Today's Proposed Range: 0.97
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
239.97 Upside Potential R2
239.95 Upside Potential R1
239.53 High Level R2
239.47 Low Level R1
239.04 Pivot Point
238.56 High Level S1
238.50 Low Level S2
238.01 Downside Potential S1
234.31 Downside Potential S2

SPDR 13 Select Sector ETFs
WEEKLY COMPARISONS

Week ending May 12, 2017
75% XLK (Information Technology)
72% GXC (China)
70% XLV (Healthcare)
69% XLU (Utilities)
68% XTL (Telecommunications)
66% XLI (Industrials)
66% XBI (Biotech)
60% XLRE (Real Estate)
56% XLB (Materials)
52% XRT (Retail)
45% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
45% XLF (Financials)
37% XLE (Energy)
AVERAGE: 60% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending May 5, 2017
80% XLK (Information Technology)
77% XLV (Healthcare)
74% XBI (Biotech)
69% XLU (Utilities)
68% XLI (Industrials)
65% XTL (Telecommunications)
64% GXC (China)
63% XLB (Materials)
60% XLRE (Real Estate)
56% XRT (Retail)
49% XLF (Financials)
48% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
37% XLE (Energy)
AVERAGE: 62% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending April 28, 2017
77% XLK (Information Technology)
74% XBI (Biotech)
73% XLV (Healthcare)
72% XLU (Utilities)
69% XLI (Industrials)
67% GXC (China)
66% XTL (Telecommunications)
66% XLB (Materials)
63% XLRE (Real Estate)
50% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
47% XRT (Retail)
40% XLF (Financials)
37% XLE (Energy)
AVERAGE: 62% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending April 21, 2017
83% XLRE (Real Estate)
76% XLU (Utilities)
65% XLK (Information Technology)
63% GXC (China)
62% XLV (Healthcare)
62% XLB (Materials)
60% XLI (Industrials)
60% XTL (Telecommunications)
51% XBI (Biotech)
49% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
48% XRT (Retail)
47% XLF (Financials)
32% XLE (Energy)
AVERAGE: 58% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

14 Industry Group ETFs & Components
WEEKLY COMPARISONS

Week ending May 12, 2017
80% SMH (Semiconductors)
79% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
79% IGV (Software)
79% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
71% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
71% Bonds Top 31 Selected
66% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
58% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
57% IYM (Chemicals)
53% IYT (Transportation)
47% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
45% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
41% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
30% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
AVERAGE: 61% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending May 5, 2017
83% IGV (Software)
79% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
73% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
71% SMH (Semiconductors)
70% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
70% Bonds Top 31 Selected
68% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
65% IYM (Chemicals)
62% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
55% IYT (Transportation)
53% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
51% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
49% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
29% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
AVERAGE: 63% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending April 28, 2017
74% IGV (Software)
74% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
72% Bonds Top 31 Selected
71% SMH (Semiconductors)
71% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
71% IYM (Chemicals)
70% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
70% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
69% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
58% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
53% IYT (Transportation)
48% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
46% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
28% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
AVERAGE: 63% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending April 21, 2017
75% Bonds Top 31 Selected
71% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
70% IGV (Software)
69% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
66% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
65% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
63% SMH (Semiconductors)
63% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
63% IYM (Chemicals)
61% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
58% IYT (Transportation)
55% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
50% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
27% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
AVERAGE: 61% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Good luck and good trading!

MktMetrics.com publishes its information by 7:00pm PT/10:00pm ET, providing our Subscribers reliable advance market indication of what to expect the next trading day.

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We also have Premium Subscriptions at $39.95 per/month.


Calendar of Economic Events and Corporate Earnings:
Global e-commerce giants and retailers will be in focus next week, with Wal-Mart Stores Inc (NYSE:WMT), Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (NYSE:BABA), and Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT) among the notable companies due to report earnings. In addition, blue-chip stocks Home Depot Inc (NYSE:HD) and Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CSCO) could move after earnings, and we'll hear from a couple more Fed members heading into the long weekend.

The week kicks off on Monday, May 15, with the Empire State manufacturing survey. The NAHB housing market index and Treasury International Capital (TIC) data will be released also. Digital Ally (DGLY) and Trivago (TRVG) will report the first batch of earnings for the week.

On Tuesday, May 16, housing starts and the Fed’s industrial production update are due for release. Earnings reports from Home Depot (HD), Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS), Jack in the Box (JACK), SINA (SINA), Staples (SPLS), Stratasys (SSYS), TJX Companies (TJX), Urban Outfitters (URBN), and Weibo (WB) are due as well.

On Wednesday, May 17, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) will present the regularly scheduled update on crude inventories, while Cisco Systems (CSCO), American Eagle (AEO), L Brands (LB), and Target (TGT) report earnings.

Thursday, May 18, will mark a busy day, as weekly jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey are slated for release. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester will speak in the afternoon. On the earnings front, Wal-Mart (WMT), Alibaba (BABA), Gap (GPS), New York & Co. (NWY), Perry Ellis (PERY), Ralph Lauren (RL), Ross Stores (ROST), and Salesforce.com (CRM) will report.

To close out the week, on Friday, May 19, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard will speak in the morning. Campbell Soup (CPB), Deere (DE), and Foot Locker (FL) will wrap up the week’s earnings reports.

MktMetrics, Inc. Web Partners include:

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Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Friday, May 12, 2017

Dow 30 + DIA Analysis, Best Ideas Today Friday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com Premium

MktMetrics.com publishes its information by 7:00pm PT/10:00pm ET, providing our Subscribers reliable advance market indication of what to expect the next trading day.

On Friday, May 12, the consumer price index (CPI) and April retail sales headline the economic calendar, with data on business inventories and consumer sentiment also slated for release. Chicago Fed President Charles Evans and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker will round out the list of central bank speakers. J.C. Penney (JCP) and ArcelorMittal (MT) will wrap up the week's earnings reports.

Dow 30 + DIA Analysis
Probability of Being Up Friday: 52%
Trend: Falling 61%
Momentum: Rising 68%
Outlook: Bullish 66% Falling

Intermediate Stock Market Trend
Bullish 68.7% (DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM, formulated)

Best Ideas Today
CEVA
CRM
EMQQ
EQIX
GOOGL
GSK
MKSI
SNHY
TSEM
UTX

Good luck and good trading!

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Sunday, May 07, 2017

Stock Market Key Metrics, DIA and SPY Monday Forecast, Tracking SPDR 13 SELECT SECTORS ETFs, Tracking 14 Industry Groups, This Week's Calendar of Economic Events & Corporate Earnings



Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com Premium

Friday May 5, 2017 DJIA Closed: 21006.94 +55.47 vs. 20940.51 -40.82 Prior week, 1.23% ABOVE its RISING 21-day moving average of 20752.44 vs. 20685.76 Prior week. (Overbought: Above 21-DMA +4.61 reached on 10-23-15) vs. (Oversold: Below 21-DMA -6.21% reached on 1-15-16 (Historic High: 10.56% on 3-26-09 vs. Historic Low: -26.03% on 5-7-10). Upper 3.5% band: Rose 21478.8U vs. Lower 3.5% band: Rose 20026.1U

DIA Trend: 8-day M/A 209.29U vs. 21-day M/A 207.29U Spread: 2.00U vs. 0.87U Prior Week ("M/A Trend Crossover BUY Signal" occurred on 4-25-17.) (Historic High Spread: +5.30 11-7-14 / Historic Low Spread: -7.14 8-15-11). (*A Favorite Indicator as the Spread acts as an early warning signal of a shift in portfolio positions by smart money moving in, or out, of the DIA.)

DIA Price Volatility: Decreased Friday 1.74 Down from 2.94 Thursday.
(Historic High: 35.10 8-25-15, Low: -10.76% 8-31-15) (*An indication of a BIG MOVE, before it is about to happen, 3.30+ is considered High Volatility on the immediate horizon. Granted it can be way up, or way down, so you must look to the Demand Factor for confirmation of direction as this represents accumulation/distribution). (i.e. 3/1/17 reading 3.31, 3/21/17 reading 7.4 DIA-237.86)

DIA Proposed Range: Monday 0.66 vs. 1.02 Actual Range Friday.
(Historic High: 4.31 3-31-09 / Historic Low: 0.59 2-2-17 & 0.60% 7-19-16) (*When the Proposed Range is 0.99 or below, expect an immediate High Volatility day, "Up", as it happened on Friday 2-3-17.)

DIA Price Momentum: Unch 68%N vs. 68%U Prior week (Historic High: 100% 2-22-12, 97% 4-22-16 / Historic Low: 3% on 9-4-15, 3% 8-21-15, 3% 8-19-11, 3% 6-30-09, and 3% on 10-22-08)

DIA MACD: MACD Crossover "BUY" Signal on 4-25-17. Buy remains in effect.

DIA 5-Day Stochastic%D: Fell 77D vs. 79U Prior week (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

DIA Relative Strength 14-Day: Rose 67%U vs. 60%U Prior week (High 100 3-19-10 / Low 0 7-6-10 & 8-10-11) (Overbought =+75) / (Oversold =-25)

DIA Commodity Channel Index: Fell 55D vs. 93U Prior week (Overbought: =>+200 / Oversold: =<-200>) (Historic High: 309.49 12-12-14, 306 11-4-10 / Historic Low: -318 5-6-10, -312 8-21-15.)

McClellan Oscillator: Fell 0.11D vs. 26.47U Prior week (an overbought / oversold indicator.) (Historic High: 386.03 1-6-09 & 332.00 3-3-16 / Historic Low: -438.08 8-8-11)

Summation Index: Fell 2822.33D vs. 2851.98U Prior week ("Bull Market Breakout" +2500.00 / "Bear Market Breakdown" -2500.00)(Historic High: 5599.98 9-22-09 / Historic Low: -4699.43 11-20-08)

DIA Outlook: Rose 69%U vs. 66%U Prior Week (*A Favorite Indicator as it tracks Institutional Sentiment.) (Historic High: 98% 7-22-16 / Historic Low: 2% 3-11-09)

DIA Probability of Being "UP" Monday, 5-8-17: 19% vs. 74% Last Monday
(*a reading of 52+ is positive, a reading 48- is negative) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

Dow 30 + DIA: 19 Buy vs. 12 Sell, Rose 61%U vs. 52%U Prior Week. (*A reading of 52+ is Positive, a reading of 48- is Negative.) (*A Favorite Indicator as its direction most often predicts near term market action.) (*an 87%+ reading is Overbought, 97% was reached 7-22 & 7-15-16); (a 13% reading is Oversold, reached on 12-3-15 & 6-15-15, 10% on 8-26-15, 6% on 9-11-15.) (Historic High: 97% / Historic Low: 6%)

DIA Directional Indicator: Rose 17U vs. 6U Prior Week (Historic High: 133 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -117 8-26-15)

SPY Directional Indicator: Rose 33U vs. 9U Prior Week (Historic High: 149 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -127 8-26-15)

QQQ Directional Indicator: Rose 41U vs. 18U Prior Week (Historic High: 121 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -71 1-8-16)

IWB Directional Indicator: Rose 18U vs. 0U Prior Week (Historic High: 94 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM Directional Indicator: Rose 30U vs. 8D Prior Week (Historic High: 91 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM/IWB Computation: (IWM Close: 138.99D vs. IWB Close: 133.44U) Ratio: Fell 1.042D vs. 1.049U Prior Week (Small Cap Relative Strength Ratio is calculated taking the daily closing value of the Russell 2000 Index, and dividing it by the Russell 1000. If the line moves upward, then the Russell 2000 is outperforming on a relative basis.
That can mean going up faster, or going down more slowly. If the line is moving downward, then the small cap universe is generally doing worse than the large caps, on a relative basis. (*A Favorite Indicator as the Ratio points to a shift in portfolio positions by risk capital investors moving in, or out, of Small Cap stocks.)

ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats (NOBL) Close: Rose 57.25U vs. 57.04U Last Week) (Directional Indicator: Rose 15U vs. -1N Prior Week) (Historic High: 86.54 8-15-16 / Historic Low: 66.86 1-20-16)

SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY)Close: Rose 88.67U vs. 88.66U Last Week) (Directional Indicator: Rose 15U vs. 0D Prior Week) (Historic High: 86.54 8-15-16 / Historic Low: 66.86 1-20-16)

DIA Levels
DIA Resistance: Rose 212.90U
DIA Support: Rose 205.58U

DIA and SPY Monday Forecast

Symbol: DIA
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

05/05/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 209.05
(High) 209.78
(Low) 208.76
(Close) 209.77
(Range) 1.02

DIA 05/08/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 209.44
Today's Predicted High: 210.10
Today's Predicted Low: 209.44
Today's Proposed Range: 0.66
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
210.67 Upside Potential R2
210.43 Upside Potential R1
210.10 High Level R2
209.77 Low Level R1
209.44 Pivot Point
209.44 High Level S1
209.11 Low Level S2
209.11 Downside Potential S1
204.87 Downside Potential S2

Symbol: SPY
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: SPDR S&P 500 Exchange Traded Fund

05/05/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 239.19
(High) 239.72
(Low) 238.68
(Close) 239.70
(Range) 1.04

SPY 05/08/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 239.26
Today's Predicted High: 240.14
Today's Predicted Low: 239.26
Today's Proposed Range: 0.88
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
240.58 Upside Potential R2
240.14 Upside Potential R1
239.80 High Level R2
239.70 Low Level R1
239.26 Pivot Point
239.26 High Level S1
238.82 Low Level S2
238.82 Downside Potential S1
234.41 Downside Potential S2

SPDR 13 Select Sector ETFs
WEEKLY COMPARISONS

Week ending May 5, 2017
80% XLK (Information Technology)
77% XLV (Healthcare)
74% XBI (Biotech)
69% XLU (Utilities)
68% XLI (Industrials)
65% XTL (Telecommunications)
64% GXC (China)
63% XLB (Materials)
60% XLRE (Real Estate)
56% XRT (Retail)
49% XLF (Financials)
48% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
37% XLE (Energy)
AVERAGE: 62% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending April 28, 2017
77% XLK (Information Technology)
74% XBI (Biotech)
73% XLV (Healthcare)
72% XLU (Utilities)
69% XLI (Industrials)
67% GXC (China)
66% XTL (Telecommunications)
66% XLB (Materials)
63% XLRE (Real Estate)
50% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
47% XRT (Retail)
40% XLF (Financials)
37% XLE (Energy)
AVERAGE: 62% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending April 21, 2017
83% XLRE (Real Estate)
76% XLU (Utilities)
65% XLK (Information Technology)
63% GXC (China)
62% XLV (Healthcare)
62% XLB (Materials)
60% XLI (Industrials)
60% XTL (Telecommunications)
51% XBI (Biotech)
49% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
48% XRT (Retail)
47% XLF (Financials)
32% XLE (Energy)
AVERAGE: 58% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending April 14, 2017
79% XLRE (Real Estate)
77% XLU (Utilities)
61% GXC (China)
53% XTL (Telecommunications)
53% XLK (Information Technology)
51% XLB (Materials)
50% XLV (Healthcare)
46% XBI (Biotech)
43% XLI (Industrials)
37% XLE (Energy)
36% XRT (Retail)
36% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
33% XLF (Financials)
AVERAGE: 50% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

14 Industry Group ETFs & Components
WEEKLY COMPARISONS

Week ending May 5, 2017
83% IGV (Software)
79% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
73% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
71% SMH (Semiconductors)
70% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
70% Bonds Top 31 Selected
68% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
65% IYM (Chemicals)
62% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
55% IYT (Transportation)
53% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
51% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
49% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
29% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
AVERAGE: 63% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending April 28, 2017
74% IGV (Software)
74% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
72% Bonds Top 31 Selected
71% SMH (Semiconductors)
71% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
71% IYM (Chemicals)
70% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
70% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
69% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
58% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
53% IYT (Transportation)
48% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
46% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
28% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
AVERAGE: 63% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending April 21, 2017
75% Bonds Top 31 Selected
71% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
70% IGV (Software)
69% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
66% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
65% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
63% SMH (Semiconductors)
63% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
63% IYM (Chemicals)
61% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
58% IYT (Transportation)
55% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
50% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
27% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
AVERAGE: 61% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending April 14, 2017
72% Bonds Top 31 Selected
70% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
67% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
55% IGV (Software)
50% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
50% IYM (Chemicals)
47% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
44% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
44% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
42% IYT (Transportation)
41% SMH (Semiconductors)
37% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
30% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
24% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
AVERAGE: 48% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Good luck and good trading!

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Calendar of Economic Events and Corporate Earnings:
It's set to be another busy week on Wall Street, with a handful of notable companies stepping up to the earnings plate, including Walt Disney Co (NYSE:DIS), NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA), Snap Inc (NYSE:SNAP) -- its first as a publicly traded company -- and a handful of retailers. In addition, stocks around the world could react to the second round of the French presidential election, which takes place on Sunday, May 7, while several Fed members will speak after the recent decision to stand pat on interest rates.

The week kicks off on Monday, May 8, with speeches from St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester. Traders will also be digesting the latest presidential election results out of France. AMC Entertainment (AMC), Hecla Mining (HL), Hertz Global (HTZ), JD.com (JD), Kite Pharma (KITE), Marriott (MAR), Newell Brands (NWL), Pandora Media (P), Sysco (SYY), and Tyson Foods (TSN) will report earnings.

On Tuesday, May 9, Wall Street will digest the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) and wholesale inventories reports. Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren and Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan will step up to the mic. Reporting earnings will be Walt Disney (DIS), NVIDIA (NVDA), Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX), Allergan (AGN), Canadian Solar (CSIQ), Electronic Arts (EA), Fossil (FOSL), Priceline (PCLN), Silver Wheaton (SLW), SunPower (SPWR), TripAdvisor (TRIP), Wayfair (W), and Yelp (YELP).

Rosengren will again speak on Wednesday, May 10, and the Treasury budget, import and export data, and weekly crude inventories report will be released. Snapchat parent Snap (SNAP) will report earnings for the first time. Also reporting will be Crocs (CROX), Ctrip.com (CTRP), Dillard's (DDS), MannKind (MNKD), Mylan (MYL), Sodastream (SODA), Sothebys (BID), Toyota Motor (TM), Wendy's (WEN), and Whole Foods Market (WFM).

On Thursday, May 11, New York Fed President William Dudley continues the theme of Fed speeches, and traders will weigh the producer price index (PPI) and weekly jobless claims. Retailers will be in the earnings spotlight, including Kohl's (KSS), Macy's (M), and Nordstrom (JWN), with CyberArk Software (CYBR), Royal Gold (RGLD), and Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) also set to report.

On Friday, May 12, the consumer price index (CPI) and April retail sales headline the economic calendar, with data on business inventories and consumer sentiment also slated for release. Chicago Fed President Charles Evans and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker will round out the list of central bank speakers. J.C. Penney (JCP) and ArcelorMittal (MT) will wrap up the week's earnings reports.

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