<$Next Day's Advance Market Decisions$>

Friday, February 17, 2017

Dow 30 + DIA Analysis, BLMN, CPB, DE, SJM, VFC Friday Forecasts



Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com Premium

MktMetrics.com publishes its information by 7:00pm PT/10:00pm ET, providing our subscribers reliable advance market indication of what to expect the next trading day.

The economic docket is fairly empty on Friday, Feb. 17. Bloomin' Brands (BLMN), Campbell Soup (CPB), Deere (DE), J.M. Smucker (SJM), and VF Corp (VFC) will wrap up the week's earnings calendar.

Nightly Analysis Update
Dow 30 + DIA Analysis
Probability of Being Up Friday: 48%
Trend: Rising 84%
Momentum: Falling 84%
Outlook: Bullish 80% Rising


Stock Market Outlook
Bullish 87.8%
(DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM, formulated)

Symbol: BLMN
Exchange: NasdaqGS
Description: Bloomin' Brands owns & operates casual, upscale casual and fine dining restaurants: Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba's Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar, and Roy's; ~1,400 restaurants in 48 states and 20 countries.

BLMN 02/16/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 18.18
(High) 18.41
(Low) 17.78
(Close) 17.91
(Range) 0.63


BLMN 02/17/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 18.08
Today's Predicted High: 18.19
Today's Predicted Low: 17.63
Today's Proposed Range: 0.56
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
18.47 Upside Potential R2
18.36 Upside Potential R1
18.19 High Level R2
18.16 Low Level R1
18.08 Pivot Point
17.82 High Level S1
17.80 Low Level S2
17.63 Downside Potential S1
17.35 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 63 Down from 70
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.30/1.10 Up
Current Trend: Positive 6 Down from 15
Demand Factor: 25 Down from 36
Stock Volatility: 0.77 Up from -0.49


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

18.14
18.27
18.54
18.78


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

18.04
17.82
17.55
17.42


BLMN 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 17.89
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 17.37
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 17.92
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 18.17
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 18.17
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 18.30


Symbol: CPB
Exchange: NYSE
Description: Campbell Soup Co. manufactures & markets food & beverage products in three segments: Americas Simple Meals and Beverages; Global Biscuits and Snacks; and Campbell Fresh. Founded in 1869, CPB is based in Camden, NJ.

CPB 02/16/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 63.22
(High) 63.87
(Low) 61.86
(Close) 62.55
(Range) 2.01


CPB 02/17/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 62.85
Today's Predicted High: 62.85
Today's Predicted Low: 62.25
Today's Proposed Range: 0.60
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
63.38 Upside Potential R2
63.15 Upside Potential R1
63.15 High Level R2
62.85 Low Level R1
62.85 Pivot Point
62.55 High Level S1
62.25 Low Level S2
61.96 Downside Potential S1
61.95 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 68 Down from 78
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 2.30/1.18 Up
Current Trend: Negative -4 Down from 7
Demand Factor: 83 Down from 87
Stock Volatility: 4.83 Up from 1.68


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

63.10
63.80
64.48
65.15


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

62.59
61.96
61.30
60.62


CPB 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 63.27
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 62.96
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 61.35
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 60.16
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 58.65
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 59.86


Symbol: DE
Exchange: NYSE
Description: Deere & Co. provides products and services for agriculture and forestry worldwide. It markets its products through independent retail dealer networks and retail outlets. Founded in 1837, DE is based in Moline, IL.

DE 02/16/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 109.15
(High) 109.40
(Low) 107.96
(Close) 109.17
(Range) 1.44


DE 02/17/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 108.80
Today's Predicted High: 110.00
Today's Predicted Low: 108.34
Today's Proposed Range: 1.66
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
110.83 Upside Potential R2
110.00 Upside Potential R1
109.63 High Level R2
109.27 Low Level R1
108.80 Pivot Point
108.34 High Level S1
107.97 Low Level S2
107.51 Downside Potential S1
106.97 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 80 Down from 83
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 2.00/1.50 Up
Current Trend: Positive 63 Down from 66
Demand Factor: 100 Unch
Stock Volatility: 1.00 Down from 1.98


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

110.12
111.33
111.35
111.59


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

107.21
106.99
106.97
105.80


DE 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 109.45
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 108.12
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 105.56
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 103.60
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 92.39
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 89.98


Symbol: SJM
Exchange: NYSE
Description: The J. M. Smucker Co. manufactures & markets branded food & beverage products worldwide operating in U.S. Retail Coffee; U.S. Retail Consumer Foods; U.S. Retail Pet Foods; International & Foodservice segments. Founded in 1897, SJM is based in Orrville, OH

SJM 02/16/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 138.26
(High) 138.76
(Low) 137.01
(Close) 137.84
(Range) 1.75


SJM 02/17/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 137.93
Today's Predicted High: 138.65
Today's Predicted Low: 137.04
Today's Proposed Range: 1.61
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
139.45 Upside Potential R2
138.83 Upside Potential R1
138.74 High Level R2
138.65 Low Level R1
137.93 Pivot Point
137.13 High Level S1
137.04 Low Level S2
136.23 Downside Potential S1
135.49 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 82 Down from 89
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 2.70/1.43 Up
Current Trend: Positive 48 Down from 59
Demand Factor: 99 Down from 100
Stock Volatility: 2.03 Up from 1.20


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

139.75
140.60
141.03
141.54


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

135.98
135.49
135.08
134.27


SJM 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 138.21
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 136.49
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 132.32
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 131.00
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 136.54
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 137.14


Symbol: VFC
Exchange: NYSE
Description: V.F. Corporation designs and manufactures, or sources from independent contractors various apparel and footwear products in the United States and Europe.

VFC 02/16/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 50.95
(High) 51.24
(Low) 50.15
(Close) 50.37
(Range) 1.09


VFC 02/17/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 50.69
Today's Predicted High: 50.79
Today's Predicted Low: 49.96
Today's Proposed Range: 0.83
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell


Binary Ladder Pricing
51.20 Upside Potential R2
51.11 Upside Potential R1
50.79 High Level R2
50.69 Low Level R1
50.49 Pivot Point
50.28 High Level S1
49.96 Low Level S2
49.93 Downside Potential S1
49.54 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 33 Down from 38
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.90/1.32 Up
Current Trend: Negative -6 Up from -11
Demand Factor: 12 Down from 28
Stock Volatility: 1.61 Up from -0.22


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

51.15
51.38
51.97
52.26


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

50.22
49.93
49.36
49.15


VFC 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 49.92
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 50.76
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 52.62
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 53.48
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 56.46
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 57.95


Good luck and good trading!

MktMetrics Basic is free to use!
We also have Premium Subscriptions at $39.95/month.

Thursday, February 16, 2017

Dow 30 + DIA Analysis, AGIO, ALXN, and XBI Thursday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com Premium

MktMetrics.com publishes its information by 7:00pm PT/10:00pm ET, providing our subscribers reliable advance market indication of what to expect the next trading day.

Slated for release on Thursday, Feb. 16 are housing starts, weekly jobless claims, and the Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey. Among the companies reporting quarterly earnings will be Agios Pharmaceuticals (AGIO), Alexion Pharmaceuticals (ALXN), Avon Products (AVP), Charter Communications (CHTR), GNC Holdings (GNC), Himax Technologies (HIMX), Melco Crown Entertainment (MPEL), MGM Resorts (MGM), Shire (SHPG), Tempur Sealy (TPX), TrueCar (TRUE), Waste Management (WM), WebMD (WBMD), Wendy's (WEN), and AUY.

Nightly Analysis Update
Dow 30 + DIA Analysis
Probability of Being Up Thursday: 16%
Trend: Falling 81%
Momentum: Rising 87%
Outlook: Bullish 78% Rising


Stock Market Outlook
Bullish 88.7%
(DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM, formulated)

Symbol: AGIO
Exchange: NasdaqGS
Description: Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of therapeutics in the field of cancer metabolism and inborn errors of metabolism (IEMs) in the United States.

AGIO 02/15/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 46.47
(High) 46.68
(Low) 45.32
(Close) 46.12
(Range) 1.36


AGIO 02/16/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 46.07
Today's Predicted High: 46.88
Today's Predicted Low: 45.37
Today's Proposed Range: 1.51
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
47.63 Upside Potential R2
47.07 Upside Potential R1
46.88 High Level R2
46.83 Low Level R1
46.07 Pivot Point
45.54 High Level S1
45.37 Low Level S2
45.32 Downside Potential S1
44.61 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 69 Down from 71
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.70/0.50 Up
Current Trend: Positive 51 Up from 46
Demand Factor: 95 Up from 93
Stock Volatility: 1.06 Up from 0.49


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

46.23
47.04
47.40
47.61


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

45.75
45.54
45.20
44.41


AGIO 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 45.57
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 43.38
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 44.66
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 48.74
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 47.31
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 47.62


Symbol: ALXN
Exchange: NasdaqGS
Description: Alexion Pharmaceuticals engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of biologic therapeutic products in the United States, Europe, Latin America, Japan, and the Asia Pacific.

ALXN 02/15/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 129.06
(High) 132.38
(Low) 129.05
(Close) 132.00
(Range) 3.33


ALXN 02/16/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 130.85
Today's Predicted High: 133.15
Today's Predicted Low: 130.85
Today's Proposed Range: 2.30
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell


Binary Ladder Pricing
134.30 Upside Potential R2
133.15 Upside Potential R1
132.86 High Level R2
132.00 Low Level R1
130.85 Pivot Point
130.85 High Level S1
129.70 Low Level S2
129.70 Downside Potential S1
126.48 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 56 Up from 44
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.90/0.85 Up
Current Trend: Negative -17 Up from -45
Demand Factor: 86 Up from 78
Stock Volatility: 5.39 Up from 3.33


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

131.63
131.64
134.64
135.03


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

129.73
129.36
126.48
126.47


ALXN 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 128.14
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 129.62
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 127.93
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 126.15
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 127.05
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 128.94


Symbol: XBI
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: SPDR S&P Biotech

XBI 02/15/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 67.91
(High) 69.20
(Low) 67.72
(Close) 69.11
(Range) 1.48


XBI 02/16/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 68.50
Today's Predicted High: 69.73
Today's Predicted Low: 68.50
Today's Proposed Range: 1.23
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
70.34 Upside Potential R2
69.73 Upside Potential R1
69.21 High Level R2
69.12 Low Level R1
68.50 Pivot Point
68.50 High Level S1
67.89 Low Level S2
67.88 Downside Potential S1
66.55 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 98 Up from 96
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.80/0.77 Up
Current Trend: Positive 64 Up from 44
Demand Factor: 100 Unch
Stock Volatility: 1.98 Up from 1.58


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

69.07
69.27
70.49
70.58


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

67.82
67.73
66.55
66.37


XBI 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 66.87
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 64.90
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 63.25
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 63.69
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 62.62
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 60.62


Good luck and good trading!

MktMetrics Basic is free to use!
We also have Premium Subscriptions at $39.95/month.


Wednesday, February 15, 2017

SPDR 13 Select Sector ETFs

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com Premium

MktMetrics.com publishes its information by 7:00pm PT/10:00pm ET, providing our subscribers reliable advance market indication of what to expect the next trading day.

Scheduled on Wednesday, Feb. 15 are the consumer price index (CPI), retail sales, the Empire State manufacturing survey, industrial production data, business inventories, the housing market index, regularly scheduled crude inventories, and Treasury International Capital (TIC) data. In addition, Yellen will take the podium, along with Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker.

CSCO, Angie's List (ANGI), Applied Materials (AMAT), ABX, CBS (CBS), Goldcorp (GG), Groupon (GRPN), Hilton Hotels (HLT), Kinross Gold (KGC), Marathon Oil (MRO), Marriott (MAR), NetApp (NTAP), PepsiCo (PEP), Shopify (SHOP), SodaStream (SODA), SunPower (SPWR), Teck Resources (TECK), TiVo (TIVO), and TripAdvisor (TRIP) will take their turns in the earnings confessional.

SPDR 13 Select Sector ETFs
DAILY COMPARISONS (Last Updated: 02/14/17)
84% XLF (Financials)
81% XLI (Industrials)
79% XLV (Healthcare)
76% XBI (Biotech)
76% XLK (Information Technology)
72% XLB (Materials)
69% GXC (China)
67% XTL (Telecommunications)
67% XLU (Utilities)
65% XLRE (Real Estate)
59% XRT (Retail)
58% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
55% XLE (Energy)
AVERAGE: 70% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Good luck and good trading!

MktMetrics Basic is free to use!
We also have Premium Subscriptions at $39.95/month.

Tuesday, February 14, 2017

Dow 30 + DIA Analysis, CSCO and AMAT Tuesday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com Premium

MktMetrics.com publishes its information by 7:00pm PT/10:00pm ET, providing our subscribers reliable advance market indication of what to expect the next trading day.

Scheduled on Wednesday, Feb. 15 are the consumer price index (CPI), retail sales, the Empire State manufacturing survey, industrial production data, business inventories, the housing market index, regularly scheduled crude inventories, and Treasury International Capital (TIC) data. In addition, Yellen will take the podium, along with Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker.

CSCO, Angie's List (ANGI), Applied Materials (AMAT), ABX, CBS (CBS), Goldcorp (GG), Groupon (GRPN), Hilton Hotels (HLT), Kinross Gold (KGC), Marathon Oil (MRO), Marriott (MAR), NetApp (NTAP), PepsiCo (PEP), Shopify (SHOP), SodaStream (SODA), SunPower (SPWR), Teck Resources (TECK), TiVo (TIVO), and TripAdvisor (TRIP) will take their turns in the earnings confessional.

Nightly Analysis Update
Dow 30 + DIA Analysis
Probability of Being Up Tuesday: 13%
Trend: Rising 81%
Momentum: Rising 77%
Outlook: Bullish 71% Rising


Stock Market Outlook
Bullish 87.1%
(DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM, formulated)

Symbol: CSCO
Exchange: NasdaqGS
Description: Cisco Systems designs, manufactures, and sells Internet protocol (IP)-based networking and other products related to the communications and information technology industry worldwide.

CSCO 02/13/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 31.67
(High) 31.99
(Low) 31.55
(Close) 31.97
(Range) 0.44


CSCO 02/14/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 31.84
Today's Predicted High: 32.10
Today's Predicted Low: 31.84
Today's Proposed Range: 0.26
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
32.87 Upside Potential R2
32.23 Upside Potential R1
32.10 High Level R2
31.97 Low Level R1
31.84 Pivot Point
31.84 High Level S1
31.71 Low Level S2
31.71 Downside Potential S1
31.04 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 90 Up from 80
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 1.30/1.00 Up
Current Trend: Positive 21 Up from 15
Demand Factor: 90 Up from 67
Stock Volatility: 0.80 Up from 0.69


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

32.18
32.30
32.61
32.63


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

31.35
31.33
31.04
30.92


CSCO 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 31.44
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 30.81
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 30.47
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 30.48
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 30.70
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 30.06


Symbol: AMAT
Exchange: NasdaqGS
Description: Applied Materials provides nanomanufacturing technology solutions for the semiconductor, flat panel display, solar, and related industries worldwide.

AMAT 02/13/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 35.72
(High) 35.82
(Low) 35.36
(Close) 35.46
(Range) 0.46


AMAT 02/14/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 35.59
Today's Predicted High: 35.73
Today's Predicted Low: 35.20
Today's Proposed Range: 0.53
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
36.29 Upside Potential R2
35.99 Upside Potential R1
35.86 High Level R2
35.73 Low Level R1
35.59 Pivot Point
35.33 High Level S1
35.20 Low Level S2
35.01 Downside Potential S1
34.93 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 89 Down from 90
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 1.20/0.92 Up
Current Trend: Positive 14 Down from 19
Demand Factor: 83 Down from 91
Stock Volatility: 0.32 Down from 0.73


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

36.07
36.17
36.43
36.54


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

35.10
35.01
34.75
34.65


AMAT 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 35.34
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 34.57
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 33.31
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 32.69
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 30.29
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 28.39


Good luck and good trading!

MktMetrics Basic is free to use!
We also have Premium Subscriptions at $39.95/month.

Monday, February 13, 2017

Noble Energy (NBL) and Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) Monday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com Premium

MktMetrics.com publishes its information by 7:30pm PT/10:30pm ET, providing our subscribers reliable advance market indication of what to expect the next trading day.

There are no notable economic reports set for release on Monday, Feb. 13. Noble Energy (NBL), Rent-A-Center (RCII), and Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) are among the companies due to report earnings.

Symbol: NBL
Exchange: NYSE
Description: Noble Energy, Inc., an independent energy company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids worldwide. Noble Energy founded in 1932 and is based in Houston, TX.

NBL 02/10/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 38.95
(High) 39.29
(Low) 38.40
(Close) 38.86
(Range) 0.89


NBL 02/13/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 38.86
Today's Predicted High: 39.44
Today's Predicted Low: 38.29
Today's Proposed Range: 1.15
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell


Binary Ladder Pricing
40.01 Upside Potential R2
39.44 Upside Potential R1
39.44 High Level R2
39.07 Low Level R1
38.86 Pivot Point
38.29 High Level S1
38.29 Low Level S2
38.17 Downside Potential S1
37.71 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 43 Up from 40
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 0.70/0.90 Down
Current Trend: Positive 10 Down from 11
Demand Factor: 21 Up from 20
Stock Volatility: 0.37 Down from 0.38


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

39.17
39.64
39.73
40.08


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

38.50
38.17
38.08
37.63


NBL 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 39.20
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 39.42
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 39.28
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 38.56
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 36.69
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 36.51


Symbol: TEVA
Exchange: NYSE
Description: Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. engages in the development, production and sale of a range of generic and branded pharmaceuticals, biogenerics and active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) worldwide.

TEVA 02/10/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 32.00
(High) 32.50
(Low) 31.92
(Close) 32.19
(Range) 0.58


TEVA 02/13/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 32.18
Today's Predicted High: 32.61
Today's Predicted Low: 31.78
Today's Proposed Range: 0.83
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell


Binary Ladder Pricing
33.02 Upside Potential R2
32.61 Upside Potential R1
32.60 High Level R2
32.29 Low Level R1
32.18 Pivot Point
31.78 High Level S1
31.77 Low Level S2
31.36 Downside Potential S1
31.36 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 7 Unch
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.30/1.45 Down
Current Trend: Negative -14 Up from -19
Demand Factor: 10 Unch
Stock Volatility: 0.08 Down from 0.93


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

32.56
32.64
32.83
33.15


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

31.85
31.55
31.36
31.28


TEVA 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 33.34
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 33.55
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 35.21
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 36.04
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 43.73
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 45.79


Good luck and good trading!

MktMetrics Basic is free to use!
We also have Premium Subscriptions at $39.95/month.

Sunday, February 12, 2017

Stock Market Key Metrics, DIA and SPY Monday Forecast, Tracking SPDR 13 SELECT SECTORS ETFs, Tracking 14 Industry Groups, This Week's Calendar of Economic Events & Corporate Earnings



Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com Premium

Friday February 10, 2017 DJIA Closed: 20269.37 +96.97 vs. 20071.46 +186.55 Prior week, 1.53% ABOVE its RISING 21-day moving average of 19963.65 vs. 19912.29 Prior week. (Overbought: Above 21-DMA +4.61 reached on 10-23-15) vs. (Oversold: Below 21-DMA -6.21% reached on 1-15-16 (Historic High: 10.56% on 3-26-09 vs. Historic Low: -26.03% on 5-7-10). Upper 3.5% band: Rose 20662.4U vs. Lower 3.5% band: Rose 19264.9U

DIA Trend: 8-day M/A 200.43U vs. 21-day M/A 199.44U Spread: 0.99U vs. 0.72U Prior Week ("M/A Trend Crossover BUY Signal" occurred on 1-27-16.) (Historic High Spread: +5.30 11-7-14 / Historic Low Spread: -7.14 8-15-11). (*A Favorite Indicator as the Spread acts as an early warning signal of a shift in portfolio positions by smart money moving in, or out, of the DIA.)

DIA Price Volatility: Decreased 0.86 Down from 1.99 Thursday.
(Historic High: 35.10 8-25-15, Low: -10.76% 8-31-15) (*An indication of a BIG MOVE, before it is about to happen, 3.30+ is considered High Volatility on the immediate horizon. Granted it can be way up, or way down, so you must look to the Demand Factor for confirmation of direction as this represents accumulation/distribution).

DIA Proposed Range: Monday 0.98 Up from 0.94 Actual Range Friday.
(Historic High: 4.31 3-31-09 / Historic Low: 0.59 2-2-17 & 0.60% 7-19-16) (*When the Proposed Range is 0.99 or below, expect an immediate High Volatility day, "Up", as it happened on Friday 2-3-17.)

DIA Price Momentum: Unch 74%N vs. 74%U Prior week (Historic High: 100% 2-22-12, 97% 4-22-16 / Historic Low: 3% on 9-4-15, 3% 8-21-15, 3% 8-19-11, 3% 6-30-09, and 3% on 10-22-08)

DIA MACD: MACD Crossover "BUY" Signal on 2-8-16.

DIA 5-Day Stochastic%D: Fell 84D vs. 51D Prior week (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

DIA Relative Strength 14-Day: Rose 75%U vs. 59%U Prior week (High 100 3-19-10 / Low 0 7-6-10 & 8-10-11) (Overbought =+75) / (Oversold =-25)

DIA Commodity Channel Index: Rose 179U vs. Fell 83D Prior week (Overbought: =>+200 / Oversold: =<-200>) (Historic High: 309.49 12-12-14, 306 11-4-10 / Historic Low: -318 5-6-10, -312 8-21-15.)

McClellan Oscillator: Rose 81.92U vs. 56.60U Prior week (an overbought / oversold indicator.) (Historic High: 386.03 1-6-09 & 332.00 3-3-16 / Historic Low: -438.08 8-8-11)

Summation Index: Rose 3065.36U vs. 2971.17D Prior week ("Bull Market Breakout" +2500.00 / "Bear Market Breakdown" -2500.00)(Historic High: 5599.98 9-22-09 / Historic Low: -4699.43 11-20-08)

DIA Outlook: Rose 68%U vs. 60%D Prior Week (*A Favorite Indicator as it tracks Institutional Sentiment.) (Historic High: 98% 7-22-16 / Historic Low: 2% 3-11-09)

DIA Probability of Being "UP" Monday, 2-13-17: 29% vs. 23% Last Monday
(*a reading of 52+ is positive, a reading of 48- is negative) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

Dow 30 + DIA: 22 Buy vs. 9 Sell, Rose 71%U vs. 65%N Prior Week. (*A reading of 52+ is Positive, a reading of 48- is Negative.) (*A Favorite Indicator as its direction most often predicts near term market action.) (*an 87%+ reading is Overbought, 97% was reached 7-22 & 7-15-16); (a 13% reading is Oversold, reached on 12-3-15 & 6-15-15, 10% on 8-26-15, 6% on 9-11-15.) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

DIA Directional Indicator: Rose 42U vs. 31U Prior Week (Historic High: 133 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -117 8-26-15)

SPY Directional Indicator: Rose 50U vs. 42U Prior Week (Historic High: 149 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -127 8-26-15)

QQQ Directional Indicator: Fell 57D vs. 68U Prior Week (Historic High: 121 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -71 1-8-16)

IWB Directional Indicator: Unch 29N vs. 29U Prior Week (Historic High: 94 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM Directional Indicator: Rose 15U vs. -6N Prior Week (Historic High: 91 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM/IWB Computation: (IWM Close: 137.94U vs. IWB Close: 129.12U) Ratio: Rose 1.068U vs. 1.067N Prior Week (Small Cap Relative Strength Ratio is calculated taking the daily closing value of the Russell 2000 Index, and dividing it by the Russell 1000. If the line moves upward, then the Russell 2000 is outperforming on a relative basis.
That can mean going up faster, or going down more slowly. If the line is moving downward, then the small cap universe is generally doing worse than the large caps, on a relative basis. (*A Favorite Indicator as the Ratio points to a shift in portfolio positions by risk capital investors moving in, or out, of Small Cap stocks.)

S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats (SPDAUDP Close: Rose 978.68U vs. 966.85D Last Week) Directional Indicator: Rose 116U vs. 113D Prior Week (Historic Close High: 997.68 7-14-16 / Historic Price Low: 794.14 1-20-16) (*A Favorite Indicator: Interest Sensitive Investment).

SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY)Close: Rose 87.05U vs. 86.23D Last Week) (Directional Indicator: Rose 32U vs. 19U Prior Week) (Historic High: 86.54 8-15-16 / Historic Low: 66.86 1-20-16)

DIA Levels
DIA Resistance: Rose 204.68U
DIA Support: Rose 197.64U

DIA and SPY Monday Forecast

Symbol: DIA
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

DIA 02/10/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 202.30
(High) 203.00
(Low) 202.06
(Close) 202.74
(Range) 0.94


DIA 02/13/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 202.53
Today's Predicted High: 203.23
Today's Predicted Low: 202.25
Today's Proposed Range: 0.98
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
203.72 Upside Potential R2
203.23 Upside Potential R1
203.02 High Level R2
202.84 Low Level R1
202.53 Pivot Point
202.25 High Level S1
202.04 Low Level S2
201.76 Downside Potential S1
198.25 Downside Potential S2

Symbol: SPY
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: SPDR S&P 500 Exchange Traded Fund

SPY 02/10/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 231.01
(High) 231.77
(Low) 230.62
(Close) 231.51
(Range) 1.15


SPY 02/13/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 231.21
Today's Predicted High: 231.98
Today's Predicted Low: 231.04
Today's Proposed Range: 0.94
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
232.45 Upside Potential R2
231.98 Upside Potential R1
231.68 High Level R2
231.61 Low Level R1
231.21 Pivot Point
231.04 High Level S1
230.74 Low Level S2
230.57 Downside Potential S1
226.39 Downside Potential S2


SPDR 13 Select Sector ETFs
WEEKLY COMPARISONS

Week ending February 10, 2017
76% XLF (Financials)
72% XLK (Information Technology)
71% XLI (Industrials)
71% XLV (Healthcare)
70% XLU (Utilities)
70% XBI (Biotech)
68% XLB (Materials)
66% GXC (China)
66% XTL (Telecommunications)
65% XLRE (Real Estate)
54% XRT (Retail)
52% XLE (Energy)
51% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
AVERAGE: 66% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending February 3, 2017
74% XLF (Financials)
73% XLB (Materials)
69% XLU (Utilities)
66% XTL (Telecommunications)
65% XLI (Industrials)
65% XLV (Healthcare)
61% GXC (China)
60% XLK (Information Technology)
59% XBI (Biotech)
54% XLE (Energy)
47% XLRE (Real Estate)
46% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
38% XRT (Retail)
AVERAGE: 60% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending January 27, 2017
77% XLB (Materials)
74% XLF (Financials)
67% XLI (Industrials)
67% GXC (China)
63% XTL (Telecommunications)
60% XLK (Information Technology)
59% XLRE (Real Estate)
52% XLE (Energy)
51% XLU (Utilities)
51% XLV (Healthcare)
48% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
48% XBI (Biotech)
32% XRT (Retail)
AVERAGE: 58% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending January 20, 2017
65% XLRE (Real Estate)
63% XLU (Utilities)
61% XLK (Information Technology)
60% XLB (Materials)
59% XLI (Industrials)
58% XLF (Financials)
57% GXC (China)
55% XLV (Healthcare)
52% XTL (Telecommunications)
46% XLE (Energy)
44% XBI (Biotech)
43% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
34% XRT (Retail)
AVERAGE: 54% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

14 Industry Group ETFs & Components
WEEKLY COMPARISONS

Week ending Febuary 10, 2017
82% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
79% IGV (Software)
78% SMH (Semiconductors)
78% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
77% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
74% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
71% IYM (Chemicals)
71% Bonds Top 31 Selected
69% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
69% IYT (Transportation)
67% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
66% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
53% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
52% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
AVERAGE: 70% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending Febuary 3, 2017
81% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
81% SMH (Semiconductors)
77% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
76% IYM (Chemicals)
75% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
71% Bonds Top 31 Selected
70% IGV (Software)
66% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
65% IYT (Transportation)
64% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
61% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
56% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
53% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
53% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
AVERAGE: 68% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending January 27, 2017
83% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
80% IYM (Chemicals)
76% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
75% SMH (Semiconductors)
73% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
72% IYT (Transportation)
70% Bonds Top 31 Selected
69% IGV (Software)
64% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
62% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
60% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
60% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
54% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
51% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
AVERAGE: 68% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending January 20, 2017
74% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
69% Bonds Top 31 Selected
68% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
64% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
64% IGV (Software)
63% SMH (Semiconductors)
61% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
59% IYT (Transportation)
57% IYM (Chemicals)
55% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
52% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
49% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
45% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
45% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
AVERAGE: 59% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Good luck and good trading!

MktMetrics.com publishes its information by 7:00pm PT/10:00pm ET, providing our subscribers reliable advance market indication of what to expect the next trading day.

MktMetrics Basic is free to use!
We also have Premium Subscriptions at $39.95 per/month.


Calendar of Economic Events and Corporate Earnings:
Earnings season will remain in full swing next week, with Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CSCO) the lone Dow stock on the schedule. Gold stocks will be a particular focus, with Barrick Gold (ABX) and Yamana Gold (AUY) among the key names on the earnings docket. The economic calendar doesn't feature any major reports, but several Federal Reserve officials are due to speak, including Fed Chair Janet Yellen, who will step up to the mic on both Tuesday and Wednesday.

There are no notable economic reports set for release on Monday, Feb. 13. Noble Energy (NBL), Rent-A-Center (RCII), and Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) are among the companies due to report earnings.

On Tuesday, Feb. 14, the producer price index (PPI) will hit the Street. In addition, Fed Chair Janet Yellen will speak, as will Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker, Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart, and Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan. On the earnings front, American International Group (AIG), Boyd Gaming (BYD), Caesars Entertainment (CZR), Diana Shipping (DSX), Dr Pepper Snapple (DPS), Express Scripts (ESRX), Fossil (FOSL), Lending Club (LC), Molson Coors (TAP), SolarEdge (SEDG), and T-Mobile (TMUS) will step into the spotlight.

Scheduled on Wednesday, Feb. 15 are the consumer price index (CPI), retail sales, the Empire State manufacturing survey, industrial production data, business inventories, the housing market index, regularly scheduled crude inventories, and Treasury International Capital (TIC) data. In addition, Yellen will take the podium, along with Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker.

CSCO, Angie's List (ANGI), Applied Materials (AMAT), ABX, CBS (CBS), Goldcorp (GG), Groupon (GRPN), Hilton Hotels (HLT), Kinross Gold (KGC), Marathon Oil (MRO), Marriott (MAR), NetApp (NTAP), PepsiCo (PEP), Shopify (SHOP), SodaStream (SODA), SunPower (SPWR), Teck Resources (TECK), TiVo (TIVO), and TripAdvisor (TRIP) will take their turns in the earnings confessional.

Slated for release on Thursday, Feb. 16 are housing starts, weekly jobless claims, and the Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey. Among the companies reporting quarterly earnings will be Agios Pharmaceuticals (AGIO), Alexion Pharmaceuticals (ALXN), Avon Products (AVP), Charter Communications (CHTR), GNC Holdings (GNC), Himax Technologies (HIMX), Melco Crown Entertainment (MPEL), MGM Resorts (MGM), Shire (SHPG), Tempur Sealy (TPX), TrueCar (TRUE), Waste Management (WM), WebMD (WBMD), Wendy's (WEN), and AUY.

The economic docket is fairly empty on Friday, Feb. 17. Bloomin' Brands (BLMN), Campbell Soup (CPB), Deere (DE), J.M. Smucker (SJM), and VF Corp (VFC) will wrap up the week's earnings calendar.

MktMetrics, Inc. Web Partners include:

Lightspeed Trading, LLC
Lightspeed Trading, LLC provides securities and direct access brokerage, trading, and order routing services. It offers Lightspeed Trader, a market access trading system for executing equities, options, and futures. The company also provides Lightspeed Risk, an equity risk management application for monitoring profit and loss, and stock activities and positions. It was formerly known as E*TRADE Professional Trading, LLC and changed its name to Lightspeed Trading, LLC in 2006. The company is based in New York, New York. Lightspeed Trading, LLC operates as a subsidiary of Lightspeed Financial, LLC.

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.
Interactive Brokers conducts its broker/dealer and proprietary trading businesses on over 80 market destinations worldwide. In its broker dealer agency business, IB provides direct access ("on line") trade execution and clearing services to institutional and professional traders for a wide variety of electronically traded products including stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds worldwide. In its proprietary trading business IB engages in market making for its own account in about Switzerland, Canada, Hong Kong, UK, Australia, Hungary, Russia, India, China and 6,500 different electronically traded products. Interactive Brokers' headquarters are in Greenwich Connecticut, and it has about 800 employees in its offices in the USA, Estonia. IB is regulated by the SEC, FINRA, NYSE, SFA and other regulatory agencies around the world.

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Friday, February 10, 2017

Dow 30 + DIA, S&P 500 + SPY, NASDAQ 100 + QQQ, RUSSELL 2000 + IWM Friday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com Premium

MktMetrics.com publishes its information by 7:30pm PT/10:30pm ET, providing our subscribers reliable advance market indication of what to expect the next trading day.

The week wraps up on Friday, Feb. 10, with a speech from Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer, as well as the release of import and export prices, the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey, and the Treasury budget. For earnings, ArcelorMittal (MT) steps up to the plate.

Nightly Analysis Update

Dow 30 + DIA Analysis
Probability of Being Up Friday: 13%
Trend: Rising 74%
Momentum: Falling 74%
Outlook: Bullish 66% Rising


S&P 500 + SPY Analysis
Probability of Being Up Friday: 13%
Trend: Rising 65%
Momentum: Rising 81%
Outlook: Bullish 63% Rising


NASDAQ 100 + QQQ Analysis
Probability of Being Up Friday: 23%
Trend: Rising 74%
Momentum: Falling 84%
Outlook: Bullish 71% Rising


RUSSELL 2000 + IWM Analysis
Probability of Being Up Friday: 19%
Trend: Rising 58%
Momentum: Rising 77%
Outlook: Bullish 61% Rising


Good luck and good trading!

MktMetrics Basic is free to use!
We also have Premium Subscriptions at $39.95/month.

Thursday, February 09, 2017

Dow 30 + DIA Analysis, KO and ATVI Thursday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com Premium

MktMetrics.com publishes its information by 7:30pm PT/10:30pm ET, providing our subscribers reliable advance market indication of what to expect the next trading day.

Nightly Analysis Update
Dow 30 + DIA Analysis
Probability of Being Up Thursday: 48%
Trend: Falling 61%
Momentum: Rising 74%
Outlook: Bullish 64% Rising


Thursday, Feb. 9 brings weekly jobless claims, along with speeches from Chicago Fed President Charles Evans and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard. Once again, the earnings docket is full, with Dow component KO leading the way, plus Activision Blizzard (ATVI), Beazer Homes (BZH), Borg Warner (BWA), Cerner (CERN), Cliffs Natural Resources (CLF), Coty (COTY), CVS Health (CVS), CyberArk (CYBR), Dunkin Brands (DNKN), Expedia (EXPE), Gannett (GCI), Kellogg (K), Nielsen (NLSN), NVDA, Pandora Media (P), Reynolds American (RAI), Skechers (SKX), TWTR, Viacom (VIAB), Western Union (WU), Yelp (YELP), and Yum! Brands (YUM).

Symbol: KO
Exchange: NYSE
Description: The Coca-Cola Company manufactures, distributes and markets nonalcoholic beverage concentrates and syrups worldwide.

KO 02/08/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 41.91
(High) 42.15
(Low) 41.84
(Close) 42.02
(Range) 0.31


KO 02/09/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 41.99
Today's Predicted High: 42.19
Today's Predicted Low: 41.86
Today's Proposed Range: 0.33
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
42.86 Upside Potential R2
42.35 Upside Potential R1
42.19 High Level R2
42.16 Low Level R1
41.99 Pivot Point
41.86 High Level S1
41.83 Low Level S2
41.69 Downside Potential S1
41.07 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 69 Up from 62
Volume Internal Strength: Negative 1.10/0.97 Up
Current Trend: Positive 11 Up from 6
Demand Factor: 84 Up from 82
Stock Volatility: 0.27 Unch


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

42.68
42.75
42.86
42.99


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

41.31
41.18
41.07
41.00


KO 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 41.58
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 41.44
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 41.40
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 41.42
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 42.46
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 43.08


Symbol: ATVI
Exchange: NasdaqGS
Description: Activision Blizzard publishes online, personal computer (PC), console, handheld and mobile games of interactive entertainment worldwide.

ATVI 02/08/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 40.10
(High) 40.11
(Low) 39.15
(Close) 39.19
(Range) 0.96


ATVI 02/09/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 39.63
Today's Predicted High: 39.66
Today's Predicted Low: 38.72
Today's Proposed Range: 0.94
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
40.13 Upside Potential R2
40.10 Upside Potential R1
39.66 High Level R2
39.63 Low Level R1
39.60 Pivot Point
39.30 High Level S1
39.16 Low Level S2
38.72 Downside Potential S1
38.25 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 56 Down from 65
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.70/1.27 Up
Current Trend: Positive 27 Down from 40
Demand Factor: 41 Down from 54
Stock Volatility: 1.00 Up from 0.58


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

39.93
39.97
40.90
40.91


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

39.31
39.30
38.41
38.37


ATVI 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 40.02
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 39.43
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 37.94
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 38.20
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 40.63
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 39.90


Good luck and good trading!

MktMetrics Basic is free to use!
We also have Premium Subscriptions at $39.95/month.

Wednesday, February 08, 2017

Dow 30 + DIA Analysis, AGN and GRUB Wednesday Forecast

Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com Premium

MktMetrics.com publishes its information by 7:30pm PT/10:30pm ET, providing our subscribers reliable advance market indication of what to expect the next trading day.


For Wednesday, Feb. 8, the weekly update on crude inventories will be released. For earnings, Allergan (AGN), Flotek Industries (FTK), GrubHub (GRUB), Glu Mobile (GLUU), Humana (HUM), Imperva (IMPV), Owens Corning (OC), Paycom (PAYC), Sanofi (SNY), Time Warner (TWX), and Whole Foods (WFM) are among those reporting.

Nightly Analysis Update
Dow 30 + DIA Analysis
Probability of Being Up Wednesday: 45%
Trend: Rising 61%
Momentum: Falling 71%
Outlook: Bullish 62% Rising


Stock Market Outlook
Bullish 82.8%
(DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM, formulated)

Symbol: AGN
Exchange: NYSE
Description: Allergan discovers, develops, & commercializes specialty pharmaceutical, medical device, & OTC products for the ophthalmic, neurological, medical aesthetics, medical dermatological, breast aesthetics, obesity intervention, urological- worldwide.

AGN 02/07/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 235.00
(High) 238.40
(Low) 230.88
(Close) 232.61
(Range) 7.52


AGN 02/08/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 234.43
Today's Predicted High: 237.94
Today's Predicted Low: 227.28
Today's Proposed Range: 10.66
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
243.27 Upside Potential R2
239.76 Upside Potential R1
237.94 High Level R2
234.43 Low Level R1
232.99 Pivot Point
230.30 High Level S1
229.10 Low Level S2
227.28 Downside Potential S1
221.95 Downside Potential S2

Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 70 Down from 72
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.20/1.02 Up
Current Trend: Positive 72 Down from 75
Demand Factor: 38 Down from 42
Stock Volatility: 1.24 Down from 5.58

Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

235.50
237.26
239.70
243.17


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

233.63
230.30
227.96
226.26


AGN 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 225.09
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 219.20
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 206.63
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 204.71
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 224.63
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 225.91

Symbol: GRUB
Exchange: NYSE
Description: GrubHub Inc. provides an online and mobile platform for restaurant pick-up and delivery orders in the United States. The company connects approximately 30,000 local restaurants with diners in approximately 800 cities.

GRUB 02/07/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 40.75
(High) 41.70
(Low) 40.51
(Close) 41.31
(Range) 1.19


GRUB 02/08/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 41.09
Today's Predicted High: 41.72
Today's Predicted Low: 40.91
Today's Proposed Range: 0.81
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
42.12 Upside Potential R2
41.87 Upside Potential R1
41.72 High Level R2
41.50 Low Level R1
41.09 Pivot Point
40.91 High Level S1
40.69 Low Level S2
40.50 Downside Potential S1
39.94 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 72 Up from 67
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 2.60/1.67 Up
Current Trend: Positive 31 Up from 22
Demand Factor: 56 Up from 47
Stock Volatility: 1.95 Down from 2.63


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

41.32
41.57
42.14
42.53


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

40.87
40.48
39.94
39.70


GRUB 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 41.33
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 39.93
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 38.47
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 38.13
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 38.36
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 35.49


Good luck and good trading!

MktMetrics Basic is free to use!
We also have Premium Subscriptions at $39.95/month.

Tuesday, February 07, 2017

Dow 30 + DIA Analysis, DIS & AKAM Tuesday Forecast

Information provided by: MktMetrics.com Premium

MktMetrics.com publishes its information by 7:30pm PT/10:30pm ET, providing our subscribers reliable advance market indication of what to expect the next trading day.


On Tuesday, Feb. 7, international trade data will be released, along with the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). Meanwhile, the earnings docket is chock full. On top of DIS, Akamai Technologies (AKAM), Archer-Daniels Midland (ADM), BP PLC (BP), Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD), Cardinal Health (CAH), GM, Gilead Sciences (GILD), GW Pharmaceuticals (GWPH), Mallinckrodt (MNK), Michael Kors (KORS), Mondelez (MDLZ), Myriad Genetics (MYGN), Panera Bread (PNRA), Spirit Airlines (SAVE), Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO), Twilio (TWLO), and Zillow Group (ZG) will also report.

76% XLF (Financials)
73% XLB (Materials)
65% XTL (Telecommunications)
65% XLI (Industrials)
65% XLU (Utilities)
64% XLK (Information Technology)
63% XLV (Healthcare)
60% XBI (Biotech)
60% GXC (China)
50% XLE (Energy)
47% XLRE (Real Estate)
47% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
38% XRT (Retail)
AVERAGE: 59% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Dow 30 + DIA Analysis
Probability of Being Up Tuesday: 65%
Trend: Rising 52%
Momentum: Falling 74%
Outlook: Bullish 60% Falling


Stock Market Outlook - Short-Term Rally, BULLISH PRICE TREND
Bullish 83.5%
(DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM, formulated)

Symbol: DIS
Exchange: NYSE
Description: The Walt Disney Company operates as an entertainment company worldwide.

DIS 02/06/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 109.92
(High) 110.15
(Low) 109.30
(Close) 109.57
(Range) 0.85


DIS 02/07/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 109.73
Today's Predicted High: 110.28
Today's Predicted Low: 108.87
Today's Proposed Range: 1.41
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
110.98 Upside Potential R2
110.44 Upside Potential R1
110.40 High Level R2
110.28 Low Level R1
109.73 Pivot Point
109.03 High Level S1
108.87 Low Level S2
108.16 Downside Potential S1
107.72 Downside Potential S2


Symbol: AKAM
Exchange: NASDAQ
Description: Akamai Technologies provides services for accelerating and improving the delivery of content and applications over the Internet in the United States and internationally.

AKAM 02/06/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 69.22
(High) 69.70
(Low) 68.63
(Close) 69.70
(Range) 1.07


AKAM 02/07/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 69.24
Today's Predicted High: 70.31
Today's Predicted Low: 69.09
Today's Proposed Range: 1.22
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
70.92 Upside Potential R2
70.37 Upside Potential R1
70.31 High Level R2
69.85 Low Level R1
69.24 Pivot Point
69.09 High Level S1
68.63 Low Level S2
68.48 Downside Potential S1
67.84 Downside Potential S2


Good luck and good trading!

MktMetrics Basic is free to use!
We also have Premium Subscriptions at $39.95/month.

Sunday, February 05, 2017

Stock Market Key Metrics, DIA and SPY Monday Forecast, Tracking SPDR 13 SELECT SECTORS ETFs, Tracking 14 Industry Groups, This Week's Calendar of Economic Events & Corporate Earnings



Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com Premium

Friday February 3, 2017 DJIA Closed: 20071.46 +186.55 vs. 19827.25 +94.85 Prior week, 0.80% ABOVE its RISING 21-day moving average of 19912.29 vs. 19892.57 Prior week. (Overbought: Above 21-DMA +4.61 reached on 10-23-15) vs. (Oversold: Below 21-DMA -6.21% reached on 1-15-16 (Historic High: 10.56% on 3-26-09 vs. Historic Low: -26.03% on 5-7-10). Upper 3.5% band: Rose 20609.2U vs. Lower 3.5% band: Rose 19215.4U

DIA Trend: 8-day M/A 199.64U vs. 21-day M/A 198.92U Spread: 0.72U vs. 0.23U Prior Week ("M/A Trend Crossover BUY Signal" occurred on 1-27-16.) (Historic High Spread: +5.30 11-7-14 / Historic Low Spread: -7.14 8-15-11). (*A Favorite Indicator as the Spread acts as an early warning signal of a shift in portfolio positions by smart money moving in, or out, of the DIA.)

DIA Price Volatility: Increased 1.25 Up from 1.21 Thursday.
(Historic High: 35.10 8-25-15, Low: -10.76% 8-31-15) (*An indication of a BIG MOVE, before it is about to happen, 3.30+ is considered High Volatility on the immediate horizon. Granted it can be way up, or way down, so you must look to the Demand Factor for confirmation of direction as this represents accumulation/distribution).

DIA Proposed Range: Monday 1.07 Up from 1.13 Actual Range Friday.
(Historic High: 4.31 3-31-09 / Historic Low: 0.59 2-2-17 & 0.60% 7-19-16) (*When the Proposed Range is 0.99 or below, expect an immediate High Volatility day, "Up", as it happened on Friday 2-3-17.)

DIA Price Momentum: Rose 74%U vs. 65%D Prior week (Historic High: 100% 2-22-12, 97% 4-22-16 / Historic Low: 3% on 9-4-15, 3% 8-21-15, 3% 8-19-11, 3% 6-30-09, and 3% on 10-22-08)

DIA MACD: MACD Crossover "SELL" Signal on 12-27-16.

DIA 5-Day Stochastic%D: Fell 51D vs. 94U Prior week (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

DIA Relative Strength 14-Day: Rose 59%U vs. 57%U Prior week (High 100 3-19-10 / Low 0 7-6-10 & 8-10-11) (Overbought =+75) / (Oversold =-25)

DIA Commodity Channel Index: Fell 83D vs. Fell 146U Prior week (Overbought: =>+200 / Oversold: =<-200>) (Historic High: 309.49 12-12-14, 306 11-4-10 / Historic Low: -318 5-6-10, -312 8-21-15.)

McClellan Oscillator: Rose 56.60U vs. 9.85U Prior week (an overbought / oversold indicator.) (Historic High: 386.03 1-6-09 & 332.00 3-3-16 / Historic Low: -438.08 8-8-11)

Summation Index: Fell 2971.17D vs. 3058.27U Prior week ("Bull Market Breakout" +2500.00 / "Bear Market Breakdown" -2500.00)(Historic High: 5599.98 9-22-09 / Historic Low: -4699.43 11-20-08)

DIA Outlook: Fell 60%D vs. 64%U Prior Week (*A Favorite Indicator as it tracks Institutional Sentiment.) (Historic High: 98% 7-22-16 / Historic Low: 2% 3-11-09)

DIA Probability of Being "UP" Monday, 2-6-17: 23%D vs. 52%U Last Monday
(*a reading of 52+ is positive, a reading of 48- is negative) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

Dow 30 + DIA: 20 Buy vs. 11 Sell, Unch 65%N vs. 65%U Prior Week. (A reading of 52+ is Positive, a reading of 48- is Negative.) (*A Favorite Indicator as its direction most often predicts near term market action.) (*an 87%+ reading is Overbought, 97% was reached 7-22 & 7-15-16); (a 13% reading is Oversold, reached on 12-3-15 & 6-15-15, 10% on 8-26-15, 6% on 9-11-15.) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

DIA Directional Indicator: Rose 31U vs. 24U Prior Week (Historic High: 133 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -117 8-26-15)

SPY Directional Indicator: Rose 42U vs. 32U Prior Week (Historic High: 149 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -127 8-26-15)

QQQ Directional Indicator: Rose 68U vs. 47U Prior Week (Historic High: 121 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -71 1-8-16)

IWB Directional Indicator: Rose 29U vs. 18U Prior Week (Historic High: 94 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM Directional Indicator: Unch -6N vs. -6U Prior Week (Historic High: 91 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM/IWB Computation: (IWM Close: 136.87U vs. IWB Close: 127.96U) Ratio: Unch 1.067N vs. 1.067U Prior Week (Small Cap Relative Strength Ratio is calculated taking the daily closing value of the Russell 2000 Index, and dividing it by the Russell 1000. If the line moves upward, then the Russell 2000 is outperforming on a relative basis.
That can mean going up faster, or going down more slowly. If the line is moving downward, then the small cap universe is generally doing worse than the large caps, on a relative basis. (*A Favorite Indicator as the Ratio points to a shift in portfolio positions by risk capital investors moving in, or out, of Small Cap stocks.)

S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats (SPDAUDP Close: Fell 966.85D vs. 968.83U Last Week) Directional Indicator: Fell 13D vs. 15U Prior Week (Historic Close High: 997.68 7-14-16 / Historic Price Low: 794.14 1-20-16) (*A Favorite Indicator: Interest Sensitive Investment).

SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY)Close: Fell 86.23D vs. 86.48U Last Week) (Directional Indicator: Rose 19U vs. 16U Prior Week) (Historic High: 86.54 8-15-16 / Historic Low: 66.86 1-20-16)

DIA Levels
DIA Resistance: Fell 202.55D
DIA Support: Fell 195.58D

DIA and SPY Monday Forecast

Symbol: DIA
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

02/03/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 199.58
(High) 200.57
(Low) 199.44
(Close) 200.38
(Range) 1.13


DIA 02/06/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 200.00
Today's Predicted High: 200.92
Today's Predicted Low: 199.85
Today's Proposed Range: 1.07
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
201.45 Upside Potential R2
200.92 Upside Potential R1
200.54 High Level R2
200.48 Low Level R1
200.00 Pivot Point
199.85 High Level S1
199.47 Low Level S2
199.31 Downside Potential S1
195.59 Downside Potential S2


Symbol: SPY
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: SPDR S&P 500 Exchange Traded Fund

02/03/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 228.82
(High) 229.55
(Low) 228.46
(Close) 229.34
(Range) 1.09


SPY 02/06/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 229.02
Today's Predicted High: 229.99
Today's Predicted Low: 228.69
Today's Proposed Range: 1.30
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
230.64 Upside Potential R2
229.99 Upside Potential R1
229.67 High Level R2
229.44 Low Level R1
229.02 Pivot Point
228.69 High Level S1
228.37 Low Level S2
228.04 Downside Potential S1
224.24 Downside Potential S2


SPDR 13 Select Sector ETFs
WEEKLY COMPARISONS

Week ending February 3, 2017
74% XLF (Financials)
73% XLB (Materials)
69% XLU (Utilities)
66% XTL (Telecommunications)
65% XLI (Industrials)
65% XLV (Healthcare)
61% GXC (China)
60% XLK (Information Technology)
59% XBI (Biotech)
54% XLE (Energy)
47% XLRE (Real Estate)
46% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
38% XRT (Retail)
AVERAGE: 60% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending January 27, 2017
77% XLB (Materials)
74% XLF (Financials)
67% XLI (Industrials)
67% GXC (China)
63% XTL (Telecommunications)
60% XLK (Information Technology)
59% XLRE (Real Estate)
52% XLE (Energy)
51% XLU (Utilities)
51% XLV (Healthcare)
48% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
48% XBI (Biotech)
32% XRT (Retail)
AVERAGE: 58% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending January 20, 2017
65% XLRE (Real Estate)
63% XLU (Utilities)
61% XLK (Information Technology)
60% XLB (Materials)
59% XLI (Industrials)
58% XLF (Financials)
57% GXC (China)
55% XLV (Healthcare)
52% XTL (Telecommunications)
46% XLE (Energy)
44% XBI (Biotech)
43% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
34% XRT (Retail)
AVERAGE: 54% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending January 13, 2017
68% XLU (Utilities)
63% XLK (Information Technology)
60% XLF (Financials)
60% XLV (Healthcare)
58% XTL (Telecommunications)
56% XLRE (Real Estate)
54% XLB (Materials)
53% GXC (China)
53% XLI (Industrials)
50% XBI (Biotech)
47% XLE (Energy)
33% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
29% XRT (Retail)
AVERAGE: 53% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

14 Industry Group ETFs & Components
WEEKLY COMPARISONS

Week ending Febuary 3, 2017
81% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
81% SMH (Semiconductors)
77% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
76% IYM (Chemicals)
75% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
71% Bonds Top 31 Selected
70% IGV (Software)
66% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
65% IYT (Transportation)
64% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
61% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
56% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
53% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
53% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
AVERAGE: 68% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending January 27, 2017
83% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
80% IYM (Chemicals)
76% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
75% SMH (Semiconductors)
73% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
72% IYT (Transportation)
70% Bonds Top 31 Selected
69% IGV (Software)
64% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
62% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
60% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
60% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
54% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
51% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
AVERAGE: 68% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending January 20, 2017
74% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
69% Bonds Top 31 Selected
68% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
64% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
64% IGV (Software)
63% SMH (Semiconductors)
61% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
59% IYT (Transportation)
57% IYM (Chemicals)
55% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
52% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
49% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
45% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
45% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
AVERAGE: 59% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending January 13, 2017
78% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
76% Bonds Top 31 Selected
67% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
67% IGV (Software)
67% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
66% SMH (Semiconductors)
64% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
59% IYM (Chemicals)
57% IYT (Transportation)
55% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
54% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
45% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
43% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
42% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
AVERAGE: 60% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Good luck and good trading!

MktMetrics.com publishes its information by 7:00pm PT/10:00pm ET, providing our subscribers reliable advance market indication of what to expect the next trading day.

MktMetrics Basic is free to use!
We also have Premium Subscriptions at $39.95 per/month.


Calendar of Economic Events and Corporate Earnings:
Next week is packed with earnings once again, with Dow stocks Walt Disney Co (NYSE:DIS) and The Coca-Cola Co (NYSE:KO) headlining the schedule. Other noteworthy names set to report quarterly results include Twitter Inc (NYSE:TWTR), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM), and NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA). Several regional Fed presidents are also scheduled to speak, with the most recent Fed decision still fresh in traders' minds.

On Monday, Feb. 6, the week begins with a speech from Philadelphia Fed President Patrick T. Harker. On the earnings front, Diamond Offshore Drilling (DO), Fabrinet (FN), Hasbro (HAS), Loews (L), Newell Brands (NWL), Nordic American Tanker (NAT), SYSCO (SYY), Tesoro (TSO), and Twenty-First Century Fox (FOXA) are all due to report earnings.

On Tuesday, Feb. 7, international trade data will be released, along with the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). Meanwhile, the earnings docket is chock full. On top of DIS, Akamai Technologies (AKAM), Archer-Daniels Midland (ADM), BP PLC (BP), Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD), Cardinal Health (CAH), GM, Gilead Sciences (GILD), GW Pharmaceuticals (GWPH), Mallinckrodt (MNK), Michael Kors (KORS), Mondelez (MDLZ), Myriad Genetics (MYGN), Panera Bread (PNRA), Spirit Airlines (SAVE), Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO), Twilio (TWLO), and Zillow Group (ZG) will also report.

For Wednesday, Feb. 8, the weekly update on crude inventories will be released. For earnings, Allergan (AGN), Flotek Industries (FTK), GrubHub (GRUB), Glu Mobile (GLUU), Humana (HUM), Imperva (IMPV), Owens Corning (OC), Paycom (PAYC), Sanofi (SNY), Time Warner (TWX), and Whole Foods (WFM) are among those reporting.

Thursday, Feb. 9 brings weekly jobless claims, along with speeches from Chicago Fed President Charles Evans and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard. Once again, the earnings docket is full, with Dow component KO leading the way, plus Activision Blizzard (ATVI), Beazer Homes (BZH), Borg Warner (BWA), Cerner (CERN), Cliffs Natural Resources (CLF), Coty (COTY), CVS Health (CVS), CyberArk (CYBR), Dunkin Brands (DNKN), Expedia (EXPE), Gannett (GCI), Kellogg (K), Nielsen (NLSN), NVDA, Pandora Media (P), Reynolds American (RAI), Skechers (SKX), TWTR, Viacom (VIAB), Western Union (WU), Yelp (YELP), and Yum! Brands (YUM).

The week wraps up on Friday, Feb. 10, with a speech from Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer, as well as the release of import and export prices, the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey, and the Treasury budget. For earnings, ArcelorMittal (MT) steps up to the plate.

MktMetrics, Inc. Web Partners include:


Lightspeed Trading, LLC
Lightspeed Trading, LLC provides securities and direct access brokerage, trading, and order routing services. It offers Lightspeed Trader, a market access trading system for executing equities, options, and futures. The company also provides Lightspeed Risk, an equity risk management application for monitoring profit and loss, and stock activities and positions. It was formerly known as E*TRADE Professional Trading, LLC and changed its name to Lightspeed Trading, LLC in 2006. The company is based in New York, New York. Lightspeed Trading, LLC operates as a subsidiary of Lightspeed Financial, LLC.

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.

Interactive Brokers conducts its broker/dealer and proprietary trading businesses on over 80 market destinations worldwide. In its broker dealer agency business, IB provides direct access ("on line") trade execution and clearing services to institutional and professional traders for a wide variety of electronically traded products including stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds worldwide. In its proprietary trading business IB engages in market making for its own account in about Switzerland, Canada, Hong Kong, UK, Australia, Hungary, Russia, India, China and 6,500 different electronically traded products. Interactive Brokers' headquarters are in Greenwich Connecticut, and it has about 800 employees in its offices in the USA, Estonia. IB is regulated by the SEC, FINRA, NYSE, SFA and other regulatory agencies around the world.

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Sunday, January 29, 2017

Stock Market Key Metrics, DIA and SPY Monday Forecast, Tracking SPDR 13 SELECT SECTORS ETFs, Tracking 14 Industry Groups, This Week's Calendar of Economic Events & Corporate Earnings



Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com Premium

Friday January 27, 2017 DJIA Closed: 19827.25 +94.85 vs. 19827.25 +94.85 Prior week, 1.01% ABOVE its RISING 21-day moving average of 19892.57 vs. 19880.12 Prior week. (Overbought: Above 21-DMA +4.61 reached on 10-23-15) vs. (Oversold: Below 21-DMA -6.21% reached on 1-15-16 (Historic High: 10.56% on 3-26-09 vs. Historic Low: -26.03% on 5-7-10). Upper 3.5% band: Rose 20588.8U vs. Lower 3.5% band: Rose 19196.3U

DIA Trend: 8-day M/A 198.95U vs. 21-day M/A 198.72U Spread: 0.23U vs. -0.28D Prior Week ("M/A Trend Crossover BUY Signal" occurred on 1-27-16.) (Historic High Spread: +5.30 11-7-14 / Historic Low Spread: -7.14 8-15-11). (*A Favorite Indicator as the Spread acts as an early warning signal of a shift in portfolio positions by smart money moving in, or out, of the DIA.)

DIA Price Volatility: Decreased -1.12 Down from -0.63 Thursday.
(Historic High: 35.10 8-25-15, Low: -10.76% 8-31-15) An indication of a BIG MOVE, before it is about to happen, 3.30+ is considered High Volatility on the immediate horizon. Granted it can be way up, or way down, so you must look to the Demand Factor for confirmation of direction as this represents accumulation/distribution).

DIA Proposed Range: Monday 1.19 Up from 0.42 Actual Range Friday.
(Historic High: 4.31 3-31-09 / Historic Low: 0.60% 7-19-16) (*When the Proposed Range is 0.99 or below, expect an immediate High Volatility day, up or down.)

DIA Price Momentum: Fell 65%D vs. 71%U Prior week (Historic High: 100% 2-22-12, 97% 4-22-16 / Historic Low: 3% on 9-4-15, 3% 8-21-15, 3% 8-19-11, 3% 6-30-09, and 3% on 10-22-08)

DIA MACD: MACD Crossover "NEUTRAL" Signal on 12-27-16.

DIA 5-Day Stochastic%D: Rose 94U vs. 33D Prior week (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

DIA Relative Strength 14-Day: Rose 57%U vs. 50%U Prior week (High 100 3-19-10 / Low 0 7-6-10 & 8-10-11) (Overbought =+75) / (Oversold =-25)

DIA Commodity Channel Index: Rose 146U vs. Fell -95D Prior week (Overbought: =>+200 / Oversold: =<-200>) (Historic High: 309.49 12-12-14, 306 11-4-10 / Historic Low: -318 5-6-10, -312 8-21-15.)

McClellan Oscillator: Rose 9.85U vs. -25.16D Prior week (an overbought / oversold indicator.) (Historic High: 386.03 1-6-09 & 332.00 3-3-16 / Historic Low: -438.08 8-8-11)

Summation Index: Rose 3058.27U vs. 2896.07D Prior week ("Bull Market Breakout" +2500.00 / "Bear Market Breakdown" -2500.00)(Historic High: 5599.98 9-22-09 / Historic Low: -4699.43 11-20-08)

DIA Outlook: Rose 64%U vs. 57%D Prior Week (*A Favorite Indicator as it tracks Institutional Sentiment.) (Historic High: 98% 7-22-16 / Historic Low: 2% 3-11-09)

DIA Probability of Being "UP" Monday, 1-30-17: 52%U vs. 23%D Last Tuesday
(a reading of 52+ is positive, a reading of 48- is negative) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

Dow 30 + DIA: 20 Buy vs. 11 Sell, Rose 65%U vs. 42%U Prior Week. (A reading of 52+ is Positive, a reading of 48- is Negative.) (*A Favorite Indicator as its direction most often predicts near term market action.) (an 87%+ reading is Overbought, 97% was reached 7-22 & 7-15-16); (a 13% reading is Oversold, reached on 12-3-15 & 6-15-15, 10% on 8-26-15, 6% on 9-11-15.) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

DIA Directional Indicator: Rose 24U vs. 6U Prior Week (Historic High: 133 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -117 8-26-15)

SPY Directional Indicator: Rose 32U vs. 19U Prior Week (Historic High: 149 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -127 8-26-15)

QQQ Directional Indicator: Rose 47U vs. 29U Prior Week (Historic High: 121 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -71 1-8-16)

IWB Directional Indicator: Rose 18U vs. 9U Prior Week (Historic High: 94 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM Directional Indicator: Rose -6U vs. -17D Prior Week (Historic High: 91 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM/IWB Computation: (IWM Close: 136.19U vs. IWB Close: 127.66U) Ratio: Rose 1.067U vs. 1.064D Prior Week (Small Cap Relative Strength Ratio is calculated taking the daily closing value of the Russell 2000 Index, and dividing it by the Russell 1000. If the line moves upward, then the Russell 2000 is outperforming on a relative basis.
That can mean going up faster, or going down more slowly. If the line is moving downward, then the small cap universe is generally doing worse than the large caps, on a relative basis. (*A Favorite Indicator as the Ratio points to a shift in portfolio positions by risk capital investors moving in, or out, of Small Cap stocks.)

S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats (SPDAUDP Close: Rose 968.83U vs. 965.10U Last Week) Directional Indicator: Rose 15U vs. -13U Prior Week (Historic Close High: 997.68 7-14-16 / Historic Price Low: 794.14 1-20-16) (*A Favorite Indicator: Interest Sensitive Investment).

SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY)Close: Rose 86.48U vs. 85.88D Last Week) (Directional Indicator: Rose 16U vs. 6U Prior Week) (Historic High: 86.54 8-15-16 / Historic Low: 66.86 1-20-16)

DIA Levels
DIA Resistance: Rose 203.17U
DIA Support: Rose 196.18U

DIA and SPY Monday Forecast

Symbol: DIA
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

DIA 01/27/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 200.69
(High) 200.87
(Low) 200.45
(Close) 200.63
(Range) 0.42


DIA 01/30/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 200.66
Today's Predicted High: 201.23
Today's Predicted Low: 200.04
Today's Proposed Range: 1.19
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
201.82 Upside Potential R2
201.62 Upside Potential R1
201.26 High Level R2
201.23 Low Level R1
200.66 Pivot Point
200.07 High Level S1
200.04 Low Level S2
199.44 Downside Potential S1
196.68 Downside Potential S2


Symbol: SPY
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: SPDR S&P 500 Exchange Traded Fund

SPY 01/27/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 229.42
(High) 229.59
(Low) 228.76
(Close) 228.97
(Range) 0.83


SPY 01/30/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 229.18
Today's Predicted High: 229.75
Today's Predicted Low: 228.19
Today's Proposed Range: 1.56
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
230.53 Upside Potential R2
229.96 Upside Potential R1
229.93 High Level R2
229.75 Low Level R1
229.18 Pivot Point
228.40 High Level S1
228.19 Low Level S2
227.41 Downside Potential S1
224.83 Downside Potential S2


SPDR 13 Select Sector ETFs
WEEKLY COMPARISONS

Week ending January 27, 2017
77% XLB (Materials)
74% XLF (Financials)
67% XLI (Industrials)
67% GXC (China)
63% XTL (Telecommunications)
60% XLK (Information Technology)
59% XLRE (Real Estate)
52% XLE (Energy)
51% XLU (Utilities)
51% XLV (Healthcare)
48% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
48% XBI (Biotech)
32% XRT (Retail)
AVERAGE: 58% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending January 20, 2017
65% XLRE (Real Estate)
63% XLU (Utilities)
61% XLK (Information Technology)
60% XLB (Materials)
59% XLI (Industrials)
58% XLF (Financials)
57% GXC (China)
55% XLV (Healthcare)
52% XTL (Telecommunications)
46% XLE (Energy)
44% XBI (Biotech)
43% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
34% XRT (Retail)
AVERAGE: 54% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending January 13, 2017
68% XLU (Utilities)
63% XLK (Information Technology)
60% XLF (Financials)
60% XLV (Healthcare)
58% XTL (Telecommunications)
56% XLRE (Real Estate)
54% XLB (Materials)
53% GXC (China)
53% XLI (Industrials)
50% XBI (Biotech)
47% XLE (Energy)
33% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
29% XRT (Retail)
AVERAGE: 53% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending January 6, 2017
83% XLRE (Real Estate)
79% XLU (Utilities)
71% XLF (Financials)
67% XLK (Information Technology)
62% XLI (Industrials)
61% XLV (Healthcare)
59% XTL (Telecommunications)
57% XLE (Energy)
56% XBI (Biotech)
52% XLB (Materials)
48% GXC (China)
44% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
35% XRT (Retail)
AVERAGE: 60% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

14 Industry Group ETFs & Components
WEEKLY COMPARISONS

Week ending January 27, 2017
83% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
80% IYM (Chemicals)
76% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
75% SMH (Semiconductors)
73% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
72% IYT (Transportation)
70% Bonds Top 31 Selected
69% IGV (Software)
64% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
62% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
60% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
60% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
54% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
51% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
AVERAGE: 68% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending January 20, 2017
74% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
69% Bonds Top 31 Selected
68% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
64% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
64% IGV (Software)
63% SMH (Semiconductors)
61% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
59% IYT (Transportation)
57% IYM (Chemicals)
55% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
52% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
49% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
45% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
45% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
AVERAGE: 59% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending January 13, 2017
78% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
76% Bonds Top 31 Selected
67% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
67% IGV (Software)
67% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
66% SMH (Semiconductors)
64% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
59% IYM (Chemicals)
57% IYT (Transportation)
55% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
54% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
45% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
43% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
42% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
AVERAGE: 60% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending January 6, 2017
82% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
76% Bonds Top 31 Selected
72% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
65% ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds) Top 31 in Market Capitalization
63% IGV (Software)
63% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
61% IYM (Chemicals)
58% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
52% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
52% SMH (Semiconductors)
49% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
49% IYT (Transportation)
48% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
39% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
AVERAGE: 59% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Good luck and good trading!

MktMetrics.com publishes its information by 7:00pm PT/10:00pm ET, providing our subscribers reliable advance market indication of what to expect the next trading day.

MktMetrics Basic is free to use!
We also have Premium Subscriptions at $39.95 per/month.


Calendar of Economic Events and Corporate Earnings:
The upcoming week is packed with crucial economic data and earnings reports. Of particular interest is the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) policy meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday, as well as the all-important jobs report on Friday. A handful of Dow components will report earnings, too -- highlighted by Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) -- while "FANG" stocks Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) and Facebook Inc (NASDAQ:FB) will also tell all.

The week starts on Monday, Jan. 30 with personal income and spending data, and the pending home sales index. Stepping up to the earnings plate is Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH).

The highly anticipated FOMC policy meeting kicks off on Tuesday, Jan. 31. Additionally, the docket features the employment cost index, the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller home price index, the Chicago purchasing managers index (PMI), and the Conference Board's consumer confidence survey. On the earnings front are AAPL, Exxon Mobil (XOM), Pfizer (PFE), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Aetna (AET), Aflac (AFL), Coach (COH), Electronic Arts (EA), Eli Lilly (LLY), Harley-Davidson (HOG), Illumina (ILMN), MasterCard (MA), Sprint (S), Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO), Under Armour (UAA), United Parcel Service (UPS), United States Steel (X), Valero Energy (VLO), and Xerox (XRX).

Due out on Wednesday, Feb. 1 are auto sales, the ADP employment report, the Markit PMI manufacturing index, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) manufacturing index, construction spending, and regularly scheduled crude inventories data. Plus, of course, the Fed's policy announcement will hit the Street at 2 p.m. ET. Reporting earnings will be Allstate (ALL), Altria (MO), Anthem (ANTM), Cirrus Logic (CRUS), Edwards Lifesciences (EW), FB, Legg Mason (LM), and Pitney Bowes (PBI).

On Thursday, Feb. 2, weekly jobless claims, as well as productivity and labor costs, will be released. Taking their turns on the earnings stage are Merck (MRK), Visa (V), athenahealth (ATHN), AMZN, AstraZeneca (AZN), Boston Scientific (BSX), CIGNA (CI), Chipotle (CMG), ConocoPhillips (COP), Cypress Semiconductor (CY), Deckers Outdoor (DECK), Delphi Automotive (DLPH), Estee Lauder (EL), FireEye (FEYE), GoPro (GPRO), International Paper (IP), Parker-Hannifin (PH), Philip Morris (PM), Ralph Lauren (RL), Sirius XM (SIRI), Sony (SNE), and Tableau Software (DATA).

Reports due out on Friday, Feb. 3 include the nonfarm payrolls report, factory orders, and the ISM services index. Separately, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans is due to speak. Closing out the earnings lineup will be Clorox (CLX), Hershey (HSY), Honda (HMC), LyondellBasell (LYB), Phillips 66 (PSX), and Weyerhaeuser (WY).

MktMetrics, Inc. Web Partners include:

Lightspeed Trading, LLC
Lightspeed Trading, LLC provides securities and direct access brokerage, trading, and order routing services. It offers Lightspeed Trader, a market access trading system for executing equities, options, and futures. The company also provides Lightspeed Risk, an equity risk management application for monitoring profit and loss, and stock activities and positions. It was formerly known as E*TRADE Professional Trading, LLC and changed its name to Lightspeed Trading, LLC in 2006. The company is based in New York, New York. Lightspeed Trading, LLC operates as a subsidiary of Lightspeed Financial, LLC.

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.
Interactive Brokers conducts its broker/dealer and proprietary trading businesses on over 80 market destinations worldwide. In its broker dealer agency business, IB provides direct access ("on line") trade execution and clearing services to institutional and professional traders for a wide variety of electronically traded products including stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds worldwide. In its proprietary trading business IB engages in market making for its own account in about Switzerland, Canada, Hong Kong, UK, Australia, Hungary, Russia, India, China and 6,500 different electronically traded products. Interactive Brokers' headquarters are in Greenwich Connecticut, and it has about 800 employees in its offices in the USA, Estonia. IB is regulated by the SEC, FINRA, NYSE, SFA and other regulatory agencies around the world.

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Sunday, January 22, 2017

Stock Market Key Metrics, DIA and SPY Monday Forecast, Tracking SPDR 13 SELECT SECTORS ETFs, Tracking 14 Industry Groups, This Week's Calendar of Economic Events & Corporate Earnings



Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com Premium

Friday January 20, 2017 DJIA Closed: 19827.25 +94.85 vs. 19885.73 -5.27 Prior week, -.27% BELOW its FALLING 21-day moving average of 19880.12 vs. 19888.69 Prior week. (Overbought: Above 21-DMA +4.61 reached on 10-23-15) vs. (Oversold: Below 21-DMA -6.21% reached on 1-15-16 (Historic High: 10.56% on 3-26-09 vs. Historic Low: -26.03% on 5-7-10). Upper 3.5% band: Fell 20575.9D vs. Lower 3.5% band: Fell 19184.3D

DIA Trend: 8-day M/A 198.31D vs. 21-day M/A 198.59D Spread: -0.28D vs. 0.22N Prior Week ("M/A Trend Crossover SELL Signal" occurred on 1-18-16.) (Historic High Spread: +5.30 11-7-14 / Historic Low Spread: -7.14 8-15-11). (*A Favorite Indicator as the Spread acts as an early warning signal of a shift in portfolio positions by smart money moving in, or out, of the DIA.)

DIA Price Volatility: Decreased Friday 0.35 Down from 1.85 Thursday.
(Historic High: 35.10 8-25-15, Low: -10.76% 8-31-15) An indication of a BIG MOVE, before it is about to happen, 3.30+ is considered High Volatility on the immediate horizon. Granted it can be way up, or way down, so you must look to the Demand Factor for confirmation of direction as this represents accumulation/distribution).

DIA Proposed Range: Monday 1.16 Up from 0.89 Actual Range Friday.
(Historic High: 4.31 3-31-09 / Historic Low: 0.60% 7-19-16) (*When the Proposed Range is 0.99 or below, expect an immediate High Volatility day, up or down.)

DIA Price Momentum: Rose 71%U vs. 68%N Prior week (Historic High: 100% 2-22-12, 97% 4-22-16 / Historic Low: 3% on 9-4-15, 3% 8-21-15, 3% 8-19-11, 3% 6-30-09, and 3% on 10-22-08)

DIA MACD: MACD Crossover "SELL" Signal on 12-21-16. Sell remains in effect.

DIA 5-Day Stochastic%D: Fell 33D vs. 61D Prior week (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

DIA Relative Strength 14-Day: Rose 50%U vs. 48%D Prior week (High 100 3-19-10 / Low 0 7-6-10 & 8-10-11) (Overbought =+75) / (Oversold =-25)

DIA Commodity Channel Index: Fell -95D vs. Fell 26D Prior week (Overbought: =>+200 / Oversold: =<-200>) (Historic High: 309.49 12-12-14, 306 11-4-10 / Historic Low: -318 5-6-10, -312 8-21-15.)

McClellan Oscillator: Fell -25.16D vs. 51.99D Prior week (an overbought / oversold indicator.) (Historic High: 386.03 1-6-09 & 332.00 3-3-16 / Historic Low: -438.08 8-8-11)

Summation Index: Fell 2896.07D vs. 2949.68U Prior week ("Bull Market Breakout" +2500.00 / "Bear Market Breakdown" -2500.00)(Historic High: 5599.98 9-22-09 / Historic Low: -4699.43 11-20-08)

DIA Outlook: Fell 57%D vs. 64%D Prior Week (*A Favorite Indicator as it tracks Institutional Sentiment.) (Historic High: 98% 7-22-16 / Historic Low: 2% 3-11-09)

DIA Probability of Being "UP" Monday, 1-23-17: 23%D vs. 55%D Last Tuesday
(a reading of 52+ is positive, a reading of 48- is negative) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

Dow 30 + DIA: 13 Buy vs. 18 Sell, Rose 42%U vs. 29%U Prior Week. (A reading of 52+ is Positive, a reading of 48- is Negative.) (*A Favorite Indicator as its direction most often predicts near term market action.) (an 87%+ reading is Overbought, 97% was reached 7-22 & 7-15-16); (a 13% reading is Oversold, reached on 12-3-15 & 6-15-15, 10% on 8-26-15, 6% on 9-11-15.) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

DIA Directional Indicator: Rose 6U vs. -11D Prior Week (Historic High: 133 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -117 8-26-15)

SPY Directional Indicator: Rose 19U vs. -4D Prior Week (Historic High: 149 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -127 8-26-15)

QQQ Directional Indicator: Rose 29U vs. 17D Prior Week (Historic High: 121 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -71 1-8-16)

IWB Directional Indicator: Rose 9U vs. 0D Prior Week (Historic High: 94 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM Directional Indicator: Fell -17D vs. -14D Prior Week (Historic High: 91 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM/IWB Computation: (IWM Close: 134.44D vs. IWB Close: 126.37D) Ratio: Fell 1.064D vs. 1.076U Prior Week (Small Cap Relative Strength Ratio is calculated taking the daily closing value of the Russell 2000 Index, and dividing it by the Russell 1000. If the line moves upward, then the Russell 2000 is outperforming on a relative basis.
That can mean going up faster, or going down more slowly. If the line is moving downward, then the small cap universe is generally doing worse than the large caps, on a relative basis. (*A Favorite Indicator as the Ratio points to a shift in portfolio positions by risk capital investors moving in, or out, of Small Cap stocks.)

S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats (SPDAUDP Close: Rose 965.10U vs. 961.01D Last Week) Directional Indicator: Rose -13U vs. -80D Prior Week (Historic Close High: 997.68 7-14-16 / Historic Price Low: 794.14 1-20-16) (*A Favorite Indicator: Interest Sensitive Investment).

SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY)Close: Fell 85.88D vs. 85.99D Last Week) (Directional Indicator: Rose 6 vs. -7 Prior Week) (Historic High: 86.54 8-15-16 / Historic Low: 66.86 1-20-16)

DIA Levels
DIA Resistance: Fell 201.46D
DIA Support: Fell 194.53D

DIA and SPY Monday Forecast

Symbol: DIA
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

DIA 01/20/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 197.53
(High) 198.20
(Low) 197.31
(Close) 197.96
(Range) 0.89


DIA 01/23/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 197.75
Today's Predicted High: 198.54
Today's Predicted Low: 197.38
Today's Proposed Range: 1.16
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
199.12 Upside Potential R2
198.92 Upside Potential R1
198.54 High Level R2
198.33 Low Level R1
197.75 Pivot Point
197.38 High Level S1
197.17 Low Level S2
196.80 Downside Potential S1
193.58 Downside Potential S2


Symbol: SPY
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: SPDR S&P 500 Exchange Traded Fund

SPY 01/20/17 Final Numbers
(Open) 226.70
(High) 227.31
(Low) 225.97
(Close) 226.74
(Range) 1.34


SPY 01/23/17 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 226.66
Today's Predicted High: 227.32
Today's Predicted Low: 226.16
Today's Proposed Range: 1.16
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
227.90 Upside Potential R2
227.73 Upside Potential R1
227.32 High Level R2
227.24 Low Level R1
226.66 Pivot Point
226.16 High Level S1
226.08 Low Level S2
225.58 Downside Potential S1
222.17 Downside Potential S2


SPDR 13 Select Sector ETFs
WEEKLY COMPARISONS

Week ending January 20, 2017
65% XLRE (Real Estate)
63% XLU (Utilities)
61% XLK (Information Technology)
60% XLB (Materials)
59% XLI (Industrials)
58% XLF (Financials)
57% GXC (China)
55% XLV (Healthcare)
52% XTL (Telecommunications)
46% XLE (Energy)
44% XBI (Biotech)
43% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
34% XRT (Retail)
AVERAGE: 54% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending January 13, 2017
68% XLU (Utilities)
63% XLK (Information Technology)
60% XLF (Financials)
60% XLV (Healthcare)
58% XTL (Telecommunications)
56% XLRE (Real Estate)
54% XLB (Materials)
53% GXC (China)
53% XLI (Industrials)
50% XBI (Biotech)
47% XLE (Energy)
33% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
29% XRT (Retail)
AVERAGE: 53% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending January 6, 2017
83% XLRE (Real Estate)
79% XLU (Utilities)
71% XLF (Financials)
67% XLK (Information Technology)
62% XLI (Industrials)
61% XLV (Healthcare)
59% XTL (Telecommunications)
57% XLE (Energy)
56% XBI (Biotech)
52% XLB (Materials)
48% GXC (China)
44% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
35% XRT (Retail)
AVERAGE: 60% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending December 30, 2016
74% XLU (Utilities)
68% XLRE (Real Estate)
60% XTL (Telecommunications)
59% XLF (Financials)
51% XLE (Energy)
50% XLI (Industrials)
42% XLK (Information Technology)
40% XLV (Healthcare)
40% XLB (Materials)
35% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
31% GXC (China)
30% XBI (Biotech)
27% XRT (Retail)
AVERAGE: 47% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Industry Group ETFs & Components
WEEKLY COMPARISONS

Week ending January 20, 2017
74% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
69% Bonds Top 31 Selected
68% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
64% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
64% IGV (Software)
63% SMH (Semiconductors)
61% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
59% IYT (Transportation)
57% IYM (Chemicals)
55% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
52% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
49% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
45% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
45% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
AVERAGE: 59% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending January 13, 2017
78% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
76% Bonds Top 31 Selected
67% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
67% IGV (Software)
67% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
66% SMH (Semiconductors)
64% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
59% IYM (Chemicals)
57% IYT (Transportation)
55% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
54% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
45% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
43% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
42% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
AVERAGE: 60% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending January 6, 2017
82% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
76% Bonds Top 31 Selected
72% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
65% ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds) Top 31 in Market Capitalization
63% IGV (Software)
63% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
61% IYM (Chemicals)
58% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
52% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
52% SMH (Semiconductors)
49% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
49% IYT (Transportation)
48% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
39% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
AVERAGE: 59% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending December 30, 2016
87% KRE (Big Banks & Regional Banks)
74% IAK (Property & Casualty Insurance)
67% Bonds Top 31 Selected
56% CARZ (Autos, Parts & Service)
53% SMH (Semiconductors)
52% Electronics Cos. Top 31 Selected
50% XOP (Oil & Gas Exploration & Production)
48% IYM (Chemicals)
47% IYT (Transportation)
43% ITA (Aerospace & Defense)
41% ETFs Top 31 Issues in Market Capitalization
39% IGV (Software)
38% ITB (Homebuilders & Associates)
36% GLD (Gold & Gaming)
AVERAGE: 52% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Good luck and good trading!

MktMetrics.com publishes its information by 7:30pm PT/10:30pm ET, providing our subscribers reliable advance market indication of what to expect the next trading day.

MktMetrics Basic is free to use!
We also have Premium Subscriptions at $39.95 per/month.


Calendar of Economic Events and Corporate Earnings:
Next week will mark the first of Donald Trump's presidency, and history suggests the S&P 500 Index (SPX) could struggle. Still, there will be plenty for traders to take in, as earnings season picks up in a big way. Blue chip McDonald's Corporation (NYSE:MCD) will get the ball rolling early in the week, with a number of other Dow components set to report later on, including Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT), and Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:INTC). The earnings slate will also feature tech giant Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and coffee specialist Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ:SBUX). As for economic data, most eyes will be trained on Friday's advance reading on fourth-quarter gross domestic product (GDP).

The week begins on Monday, Jan. 23, with the Dallas Fed manufacturing survey. MCD will headline the earnings calendar. Halliburton (HAL) and Yahoo! (YHOO) will also report.

Tuesday, Jan. 24 brings the Markit purchasing managers manufacturing index (PMI) and existing home sales. The earnings docket will feature 3M (MMM), DuPont (DD), JNJ, Travelers Companies (TRV), Verizon (VZ), Alcoa (AA), Alibaba (BABA), AK Steel (AKS), Capital One (COF), Corning (GLW), Cree (CREE), Discover Financial Services (DFS), D.R. Horton (DHI), Fifth Third (FITB), Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Navient (NAVI), Seagate Technology (STX), Steel Dynamics (STLD), and Texas Instruments (TXN).

For Wednesday, Jan. 25, the regularly scheduled update on crude inventories is the only item on the economic calendar. Stepping up to the earnings confessional will be Boeing (BA), United Technologies (UTX), AT&T (T), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), Briggs & Stratton (BGG), Citrix Systems (CTXS), eBay (EBAY), F5 Networks (FFIV), Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), Hess (HES), Lam Research (LRCX), Las Vegas Sands (LVS), McCormick (MKC), McKesson (MCK), Norfolk Southern (NSC), Novartis AG (NVS), QUALCOMM (QCOM), Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX), and Western Digital (WDC).

On Thursday, Jan. 26, international trade data will be released, on top of new home sales and weekly jobless claims. On the earnings front CAT, INTC, Microsoft (MSFT), GOOGL, SBUX, Baker Hughes (BHI), Biogen (BIIB), Blackstone (BX), Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY), Celgene (CELG), Comcast (CMCSA), E*TRADE (ETFC), Dow Chemical (DOW), Fiat Chrysler (FCAU), Ford Motor (F), Helmerich & Payne (HP), hhgregg (HGG), JetBlue Airways (JBLU), Juniper Networks (JNPR), Northrop Grumman (NOC), PayPal (PYPL), PulteGroup (PHM), Quest Diagnostics (DGX), Raytheon (RTN), Sherwin-Williams (SHW), Southwest Air (LUV), Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), Swift Transportation (SWFT), and VMware (VMW) will report.

The week wraps up on Friday, Jan. 27, with the advance reading of fourth-quarter GDP, as well as durable goods orders and the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey. Chevron (CVX), AbbVie (ABBV), American Airlines (AAL), Colgate-Palmolive (CL), and Honeywell (HON) will release earnings.

MktMetrics, Inc. Web Partners include:

Lightspeed Trading, LLC
Lightspeed Trading, LLC provides securities and direct access brokerage, trading, and order routing services. It offers Lightspeed Trader, a market access trading system for executing equities, options, and futures. The company also provides Lightspeed Risk, an equity risk management application for monitoring profit and loss, and stock activities and positions. It was formerly known as E*TRADE Professional Trading, LLC and changed its name to Lightspeed Trading, LLC in 2006. The company is based in New York, New York. Lightspeed Trading, LLC operates as a subsidiary of Lightspeed Financial, LLC.

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.
Interactive Brokers conducts its broker/dealer and proprietary trading businesses on over 80 market destinations worldwide. In its broker dealer agency business, IB provides direct access ("on line") trade execution and clearing services to institutional and professional traders for a wide variety of electronically traded products including stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds worldwide. In its proprietary trading business IB engages in market making for its own account in about Switzerland, Canada, Hong Kong, UK, Australia, Hungary, Russia, India, China and 6,500 different electronically traded products. Interactive Brokers' headquarters are in Greenwich Connecticut, and it has about 800 employees in its offices in the USA, Estonia. IB is regulated by the SEC, FINRA, NYSE, SFA and other regulatory agencies around the world.

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.