<$Next Day's Advance Market Decisions$>

Sunday, September 25, 2016

Stock Market Key Metrics, 2-Stock Picks "BUYS" of the Week, DIA and SPY Monday Forecast, Tracking SPDR 12 SELECT SECTORS ETFs, Calendar of Economic Events & Corporate Earnings



Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com Premium

Friday September 23, 2016 DJIA Closed: 18261.45 -131.01 vs. 18123.80 -88.68 Prior week, -.32% BELOW its FALLING 21-day moving average of 18319.21 vs. 18391.15 Prior week. (Overbought: Above 21-DMA +4.61 reached on 10-23-15) vs. (Oversold: Below 21-DMA -6.21% reached on 1-15-16 (Historic High: 10.56% on 3-26-09 vs. Historic Low: -26.03% on 5-7-10). Upper 3.5% band: Falling 18960.40D vs. Lower 3.5% band: Falling 17678.00D

DIA Trend: 8-day M/A 181.80D vs. 21-day M/A 183.11D Spread: -1.31U vs. -1.52D Prior Week ("M/A Trend Crossover SELL Signal" occurred on 9-1-16.) (Historic High Spread: +5.30 11-7-14 / Historic Low Spread: -7.14 8-15-11). (*A Favorite Indicator as the Spread acts as an early warning signal of a shift in portfolio positions by smart money moving in, or out, of the DIA.)

DIA Price Volatility: Increased Friday 1.23 Up from -0.58 Thursday.
(Historic High: 35.10 8-25-15, Low: -10.76% 8-31-15)(5.30+ is considered High Volatility on the immediate horizon. Move to the sidelines when this occurs.)

DIA Proposed Range: Monday 1.23 vs. 1.23 Actual Range Friday.
(Historic High: 4.31 3-31-09 / Historic Low: 0.60% 7-19-16)

DIA Price Momentum: Rose 68%U vs. 65%N Prior week (Historic High: 100% 2-22-12, 97% 4-22-16 / Historic Low: 3% on 9-4-15, 3% 8-21-15, 3% 8-19-11, 3% 6-30-09, and 3% on 10-22-08)

DIA MACD: MACD Crossover "Neutral" Signal on 9-23-16.

DIA 5-Day Stochastic%D: Rose 74U vs. 30D Prior week (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

DIA Relative Strength 14-Day: Rose 43%U vs. 41%U Prior week
(High 100 3-19-10 / Low 0 7-6-10 & 8-10-11) (Overbought =+75) / (Oversold =-25)

DIA Commodity Channel Index: Rose 26U vs. -93U Prior week (Overbought: =>+200 / Oversold: =<-200>) (Historic High: 309.49 12-12-14, 306 11-4-10 / Historic Low: -318 5-6-10, -312 8-21-15.)

McClellan Oscillator: Rose 42.20U vs. -126.40U Prior week (an overbought / oversold indicator.) (Historic High: 386.03 1-6-09 & 332.00 3-3-16 / Historic Low: -438.08 8-8-11)

Summation Index: Rose 2716.74U vs. 2655.74D Prior week ("Bull Market Breakout" +2500.00 / "Bear Market Breakdown" -2500.00)(Historic High: 5599.98 9-22-09 / Historic Low: -4699.43 11-20-08)

DIA Outlook: Rose 49%U vs. 44%D Prior Week (*A Favorite Indicator as it tracks Institutional Sentiment.) (Historic High: 98% 7-22-16 / Historic Low: 2% 3-11-09)

DIA Probability of Being "UP" Monday, 9-26-16: 94% vs. 77% Last Monday
(a reading of 52+ is positive, a reading of 48- is negative) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

Dow 30 + DIA: 14 Buy vs. 17 Sell, Unch 45%N vs. 45%U Prior Week. (A reading of 52+ is Positive, a reading of 48- is Negative.) (*A Favorite Indicator as its direction most often predicts near term market action.) (an 87%+ reading is Overbought, 97% was reached 7-22 & 7-15-16); (a 13% reading is Oversold, reached on 12-3-15 & 6-15-15, 10% on 8-26-15, 6% on 9-11-15.) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

DIA Directional Indicator: Rose -14U vs. -23D Prior Week (Historic High: 133 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -117 8-26-15)

SPY Directional Indicator: Rose -6U vs. -15U Prior Week (Historic High: 149 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -127 8-26-15)

QQQ Directional Indicator: Rose 19U vs. 13U Prior Week (Historic High: 121 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -71 1-8-16)

IWB Directional Indicator: Rose 18U vs. 16U Prior Week (Historic High: 94 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM Directional Indicator: Rose 22U vs. 16D Prior Week (Historic High: 91 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM/IWB Computation: (IWM Close 124.81U vs. IWB Close 120.73U) Spread: Rose 1.03U vs. 1.02N Prior Week (Small Cap Relative Strength Ratio is calculated taking the daily closing value of the Russell 2000 Index, and dividing it by the Russell 1000. If the line moves upward, then the Russell 2000 is outperforming on a relative basis.
That can mean going up faster, or going down more slowly. If the line is moving downward, then the small cap universe is generally doing worse than the large caps, on a relative basis. (*A Favorite Indicator as the Spread points to a shift in portfolio positions by risk capital investors moving in, or out, of Small Cap stocks.)

S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats (SPDAUDP Close: 962.98U vs. 947.59 Last Week) Directional Indicator: Rose -99U vs. -173D Prior Week (Historic High: 997.68 7-14-16 / Historic Low: 794.14 1-20-16)

SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (SDY): Fell 6U vs. 9U Prior Week (Historic High: 86.54 8-15-16 / Historic Low: 66.86 1-20-16)

DIA Levels
DIA Resistance: 185.34
DIA Support: 178.97

DIA and SPY Monday Forecast

Symbol: DIA
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

09/23/16 Final Numbers
(Open) 183.38
(High) 183.52
(Low) 182.29
(Close) 182.42
(Range) 1.23


DIA 09/26/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 182.90
Today's Predicted High: 183.04
Today's Predicted Low: 181.81
Today's Proposed Range: 1.23
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell


Binary Ladder Pricing
183.65 Upside Potential R2
183.52 Upside Potential R1
183.26 High Level R2
183.04 Low Level R1
182.90 Pivot Point
182.29 High Level S1
181.81 Low Level S2
181.19 Downside Potential S1
179.71 Downside Potential S2


Symbol: SPY
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: SPDR S&P 500 Exchange Traded Fund

09/23/16 Final Numbers
(Open) 216.72
(High) 216.88
(Low) 215.88
(Close) 215.99
(Range) 1


SPY 09/26/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 216.37
Today's Predicted High: 216.69
Today's Predicted Low: 215.30
Today's Proposed Range: 1.39
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy

Binary Ladder Pricing
217.38 Upside Potential R2
217.07 Upside Potential R1
216.89 High Level R2
216.69 Low Level R1
216.37 Pivot Point
215.68 High Level S1
215.30 Low Level S2
214.60 Downside Potential S1
212.39 Downside Potential S2


SPDR 12 Select Sector ETFs
WEEKLY COMPARISONS

Week ending September 23, 2016
89% XLU (Utilities)
83% XLRE (Real Estate)
75% XBI (Biotech)
74% GXC (China)
70% XLF (Financials)
68% XTL (Telecommunications)
68% XLK (Information Technology)
64% XLI (Industrials)
63% XLV (Healthcare)
63% XLB (Materials)
49% XLE (Energy)
35% XRT (Retail)
33% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
AVERAGE: 70% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending September 16, 2016
75% XLU (Utilities)
70% XLF (Financials)
70% GXC (China)
66% XBI (Biotech)
65% XTL (Telecommunications)
59% XLK (Information Technology)
58% XLB (Materials)
52% XLV (Healthcare)
48% XLI (Industrials)
46% XLE (Energy)
32% XRT (Retail)
31% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
AVERAGE: 56% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending September 9, 2016
80% XLF (Financials)
69% GXC (China)
64% XLB (Materials)
59% XLE (Energy)
59% XTL (Telecommunications)
58% XLU (Utilities)
44% XLK (Information Technology)
43% XBI (Biotech)
42% XLI (Industrials)
36% XLV (Healthcare)
29% XRT (Retail)
24% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
AVERAGE: 51% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending September 2, 2016
89% XLF (Financials)
77% XLB (Materials)
69% XTL (Telecommunications)
67% GXC (China)
60% XLI (Industrials)
57% XLK (Information Technology)
54% XLE (Energy)
50% XLU (Utilities)
41% XLV (Healthcare)
41% XRT (Retail)
38% XBI (Biotech)
37% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
AVERAGE: 57% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

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Selected Stocks this Week to BUY/Go-Long (9-26-16 to 9-30-16) "BULLISH":
"CCMP and OTTR"

#1-Stock Pick "BUY" of the Week
CCMP (09/23/16 Close 52.50) Earnings Date: October 27, 2016
Cabot Microelectronics Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells polishing slurries and pads used in the manufacture of advanced integrated circuit (IC) devices in the semiconductor industry in a process called chemical mechanical planarization (CMP). The CMP technology is a polishing process used by IC device manufacturers to planarize or flatten the multiple layers of material that are deposited upon silicon wafers. The company offers CMP slurries, which are liquid solutions composed of high-purity deionized water, proprietary chemical additives, and engineered abrasives that chemically and mechanically interact with the surface material of the IC device at an atomic level; and CMP pads that are engineered polymeric materials designed to distribute and transport the slurry to the surface of the wafer and distribute it evenly across the wafer. Its CMP slurries are used for polishing various materials that conduct electrical signals, including tungsten, copper, tantalum, and aluminum; and certain materials that are used in the production of rigid disks and magnetic heads for hard disk drives, as well as used in the dielectric insulating materials that separate conductive layers within logic and memory IC devices. The company also designs and produces precision polishing and metrology systems to attain near-perfect shape and surface finish on various optical components, such as mirrors, lenses, and prisms. It serves the producers of logic IC devices or memory IC devices, and providers of IC foundry services. The company operates in the United States, Asia, and Europe. Cabot Microelectronics Corporation was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Aurora, Illinois.

CCMP 09/26/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 52.33
Today's Predicted High: 52.84
Today's Predicted Low: 52.16
Today's Proposed Range: 0.68
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
53.44 Upside Potential R2
53.18 Upside Potential R1
52.84 High Level R2
52.67 Low Level R1
52.33 Pivot Point
52.16 High Level S1
51.99 Low Level S2
51.82 Downside Potential S1
51.17 Downside Potential S2


#2-Stock Pick "BUY" of the Week
OTTR (09/23/16 Close 36.13) Earnings Date: November 2, 2016
Otter Tail Corporation engages in electric, manufacturing, and plastics business in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and Panama. It operates in three segments: Electric, Manufacturing, and Plastics. The Electric segment produces, transmits, distributes, and sells electric energy in Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota, as well as operates as a participant in the Midcontinent Independent System Operator, Inc. markets. This segment serves approximately 130,000 residential, commercial, industrial, and other customers. The Manufacturing segment stamps, fabricates, welds, paints, and laser cuts metal components for use in the recreational vehicle, agricultural, oil and gas, lawn and garden, industrial equipment, health and fitness, and enclosure industries; and manufactures and fabricates parts for off-road equipment, mining machinery, oil fields and offshore oil rigs, wind industry components, broadcast antennae, and farm equipment, as well as for equipment manufacturers. This segment also manufactures and sells thermoformed products for the horticulture industry; and manufactures products, such as clamshell packing, blister packs, returnable pallets, and handling trays for shipping and storing odd-shaped or difficult-to-handle parts for customers in the consumer products, food packaging, electronics, industrial, medical, and other industries. The Plastics segment manufactures and sells polyvinyl chloride pipes for municipal water, rural water, wastewater, storm drainage system, and other uses. This segment markets its products to wholesalers and distributors through independent sales representatives, company salespersons, and customer service representatives. The company was formerly known as Otter Tail Power Company and changed its name to Otter Tail Corporation in 2001. Otter Tail Corporation was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Fergus Falls, Minnesota.

Most Recent "Bullish" Stock Picks:
IDCC (09/2/16 Close 71.96); QLYS (09/2/16 Close 35.53), CBU (08/26/16 Close 46.77); SFNC (08/26/16 Close 49.44); ALOG (08/19/16 Close 89.40); PCG (08/19/16 Close 64.79); SINA (08/12/16 Close 70.54); CHMT (08/12/16 Close 30.53); HWAY (08/5/16 Close 17.76); EFC (08/05/16 Close 17.55); GTY (07/29/16 Close 22.72); DGX (07/29/16 Close 86.36); SABRA (07/22/16 Close 24.17); HPT (07/22/16 Close 31.811); ELS (07/15/16 Close 80.42); OTTR (07/15/16 Close 33.90); IGN (07/8/16 Close 35.93); EDR (07/8/16 Close 46.37); BKH (07/1/16 Close 64.08); DCM (07/1/16 Close 27.38); AWK (06/24/16 Close 79.93); CWT (06/24/16 Close 33.45); YORW (06/24/16 Close 30.72); CNS, Inc. (06/17/16 Close 39.68); SCG (06/17/16 Close 71.42); AGX (06/10/16 Close 42.96); STR (06/10/16 Close 25.04); MKSI (06/3/16 Close 41.57); EXLS (06/3/16 Close 52.28); KELYA (05/27/16 Close 19.80); GEL (05/20/16 Close 38.22); HSKA (05/13/16 Close: 39.56); JEC (05/06/16 Close: 48.65); E (04/29/16 Close: 32.77); MKTX (04/22/16 Close: 129.46); HTS (04/15/16 Close: 15.94).

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Calendar of Economic Events and Corporate Earnings: Coming off the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) most recent policy decision, Fed talk is set to dominate Wall Street for yet another week. Specifically, traders will hear from a number of regional Federal Reserve presidents, as well as Fed Chair Janet Yellen. Much attention will also be paid to the final reading on second-quarter gross domestic product (GDP), which will be released on Thursday. The earnings calendar is rather bare for the week, though blue chip Nike (NKE) is scheduled to report.

Monday, September 26

The Dallas Fed manufacturing survey and new home sales will kick off the week's economic data. Meanwhile, traders will hear from Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan. Cal-Maine Foods (CALM), Carnival (CCL), and Vail Resorts (MTN) will report earnings.

Tuesday, September 27

The S&P/Case-Shiller home price index and Conference Board's consumer confidence survey will be released Tuesday. NKE and Cintas (CTAS) make up the earnings slate.

Wednesday, September 28

On Wednesday, Wall Street will digest durable goods orders, weekly crude inventories, and comments from several regional Fed presidents. Among those expected to speak are Neel Kashkari once again, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, and Kansas City Fed President Esther George. For earnings, Blackberry (BBRY) and Pier 1 Imports (PIR) will report.

Thursday, September 29

The final reading on second-quarter GDP highlights Thursday's economic schedule. Pending home sales, international trade data, and weekly jobless claims will also be released. Elsewhere, Fed Chair Janet Yellen will participate in a conversation at the Kansas City Fed's Minority Bankers Forum. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker, Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart, Kansas City Fed President Esther George, and Fed Board Governor Jerome Powell will all speak throughout the day, as well.

Accenture (ACN), Conagra (CAG), Costco (COST), and PepsiCo (PEP) comprise the earnings calendar.

Friday, September 30

Rounding out the week are personal income and spending, the Chicago purchasing managers index (PMI), and consumer sentiment. McCormick (MKC) is the only company set to report earnings.

Good luck and good trading!

MktMetrics, Inc. Web Partners include:

Lightspeed Trading, LLC
Lightspeed Trading, LLC provides securities and direct access brokerage, trading, and order routing services. It offers Lightspeed Trader, a market access trading system for executing equities, options, and futures. The company also provides Lightspeed Risk, an equity risk management application for monitoring profit and loss, and stock activities and positions. It was formerly known as E*TRADE Professional Trading, LLC and changed its name to Lightspeed Trading, LLC in 2006. The company is based in New York, New York. Lightspeed Trading, LLC operates as a subsidiary of Lightspeed Financial, LLC.

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.
Interactive Brokers conducts its broker/dealer and proprietary trading businesses on over 80 market destinations worldwide. In its broker dealer agency business, IB provides direct access ("on line") trade execution and clearing services to institutional and professional traders for a wide variety of electronically traded products including stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds worldwide. In its proprietary trading business IB engages in market making for its own account in about Switzerland, Canada, Hong Kong, UK, Australia, Hungary, Russia, India, China and 6,500 different electronically traded products. Interactive Brokers' headquarters are in Greenwich Connecticut, and it has about 800 employees in its offices in the USA, Estonia. IB is regulated by the SEC, FINRA, NYSE, SFA and other regulatory agencies around the world.

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Tuesday, September 20, 2016

DJIA Nightly Analysis Update, XHB, IYT, FDX Tuesday Forecast

Nightly Analysis Update

Dow Jones Industrial Average
Probability of Being Up Tuesday: 48%
Trend: Falling 16%
Momentum: Falling 61%
Outlook: Bearish 42% Falling


Stock Market Outlook (DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM, formulated)
Bullish 69.5%

Symbol: XHB
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: SPDR S&P Homebuilders

XHB 09/19/16 Final Numbers
(Open) 34.21
(High) 34.47
(Low) 33.99
(Close) 34.11
(Range) 0.48


XHB 09/20/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 34.21
Today's Predicted High: 34.47
Today's Predicted Low: 33.75
Today's Proposed Range: 0.72
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell


Binary Ladder Pricing
34.83 Upside Potential R2
34.57 Upside Potential R1
34.49 High Level R2
34.47 Low Level R1
34.21 Pivot Point
33.85 High Level S1
33.75 Low Level S2
33.53 Downside Potential S1
33.39 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 28 Up from 25
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.60/1.80 Down
Current Trend: Negative -23 Down from -20
Demand Factor: 38 Down from 47
Stock Volatility: 0.00 Up from -0.75


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

34.67
34.79
34.89
35.16


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

33.78
33.53
33.43
33.31


XHB 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 34.43
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 35.49
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 35.65
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 35.14
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 34.05
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 33.53


Symbol: IYT
Exchange: NYSEARCA
Description: iShares Transportation Average Index Fund

IYT 09/19/16 Final Numbers
(Open) 140.44
(High) 141.47
(Low) 140.21
(Close) 140.47
(Range) 1.26


IYT 09/20/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 140.74
Today's Predicted High: 141.73
Today's Predicted Low: 139.21
Today's Proposed Range: 2.52
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell


Binary Ladder Pricing
142.99 Upside Potential R2
142.00 Upside Potential R1
141.73 High Level R2
141.27 Low Level R1
140.74 Pivot Point
139.48 High Level S1
139.21 Low Level S2
137.95 Downside Potential S1
137.63 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 49 Up from 46
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 0.60/1.23 Down
Current Trend: Negative -9 Down from 3
Demand Factor: 80 Down from 83
Stock Volatility: -1.26 Up from -3.69


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

143.01
143.25
143.28
144.30


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

138.64
137.66
137.63
137.41


IYT 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 141.26
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 141.91
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 141.52
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 139.88
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 139.33
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 136.77


Symbol: FDX
Exchange: NYSE
Description: FedEx provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally.

FDX 09/19/16 Final Numbers
(Open) 160.07
(High) 162.22
(Low) 159.55
(Close) 161.26
(Range) 2.67


FDX 09/20/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 160.83
Today's Predicted High: 162.65
Today's Predicted Low: 159.88
Today's Proposed Range: 2.77
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell


Binary Ladder Pricing
164.03 Upside Potential R2
162.65 Upside Potential R1
162.22 High Level R2
161.85 Low Level R1
160.83 Pivot Point
159.88 High Level S1
159.45 Low Level S2
158.49 Downside Potential S1
156.87 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 41 Up from 34
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.60/1.37 Up
Current Trend: Negative -40 Up from -47
Demand Factor: 59 Up from 54
Stock Volatility: 2.47 Up from -1.74


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

162.74
163.27
164.49
165.46


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

158.98
158.03
156.87
156.36


FDX 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 161.19
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 164.26
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 162.99
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 161.04
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 158.98
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 153.77


Tuesday, September 20

The housing theme continues Tuesday, with August housing starts and building permits on tap. In addition, the FOMC kicks off its two-day policy meeting. As for earnings, FedEx (FDX), Adobe Systems (ADBE), Carnival (CCL), KBH, and LEN will report.

Good luck and good trading!

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Sunday, September 18, 2016

Stock Market Key Metrics, 2-Stock Picks "SELLS" of the Week, DIA and SPY Monday Forecast, Bullish Stocks to "BUY Now", Tracking SPDR 12 SELECT SECTORS ETFs, Calendar of Economic Events & Corporate Earnings



Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com Premium

Note: As of 7-1-16, MktMetrics no longer reports on stocks under $10.00 p/share.

Friday September 16, 2016 DJIA Closed: 18123.80 -88.68 vs. 18085.45 -394.46 Prior week, -1.45% BELOW its FALLING 21-day moving average of 18391.15 vs. 18495.40 Prior week. (Overbought: Above 21-DMA +4.61 reached on 10-23-15) vs. (Oversold: Below 21-DMA -6.21% reached on 1-15-16 (Historic High: 10.56% on 3-26-09 vs. Historic Low: -26.03% on 5-7-10). Upper 3.5% band: Falling 19034.80D vs. Lower 3.5% band: Falling 17747.50D

DJIA Least Squares Regression Channel Top: Unch 19,523N and Channel Bottom: Rose 17,163U.) Historic High: 19,523.52 9-9-16, bottomed 3-24-16 Low 15,542.

DIA Trend: 8-day M/A 182.35D vs. 21-day M/A 183.87D Spread: -1.52D vs. -0.74D Prior Week ("M/A Trend Crossover SELL Signal" occurred on 9-1-16.) (Historic High Spread: +5.30 11-7-14 / Historic Low Spread: -7.14 8-15-11). (*A Favorite Indicator as the Spread acts as an early warning signal of a shift in portfolio positions by smart money moving in, or out, of the DIA.)

DIA Price Volatility: Decreased Friday -2.48 Down from 2.37 Thursday.
(Historic High: 35.10 8-25-15, Low: -10.76% 8-31-15)(5.30+ is considered High Volatility on the immediate horizon. Move to the sidelines when this occurs.)

DIA Proposed Range: Monday 2.83 vs. 1.06 Actual Range Friday.
(Historic High: 4.31 3-31-09 / Historic Low: 0.60% 7-19-16)

DIA Price Momentum: Unch 65%N vs. 65%D Prior week (Historic High: 100% 2-22-12, 97% 4-22-16 / Historic Low: 3% on 9-4-15, 3% 8-21-15, 3% 8-19-11, 3% 6-30-09, and 3% on 10-22-08)

DIA MACD: MACD Crossover "SELL" Signal on 7-27-16. Sell remains in effect.

DIA 5-Day Stochastic%D: Fell 30D vs. 44D Prior week (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

DIA Relative Strength 14-Day: Rose 41%U vs. 27%D Prior week
(High 100 3-19-10 / Low 0 7-6-10 & 8-10-11) (Overbought =+75) / (Oversold =-25)

DIA Commodity Channel Index: Rose -93U vs. -276D Prior week (Overbought: =>+200 / Oversold: =<-200>) (Historic High: 309.49 12-12-14, 306 11-4-10 / Historic Low: -318 5-6-10, -312 8-21-15.)

McClellan Oscillator: Rose -126.40U vs. -148.35D Prior week (an overbought / oversold indicator.) (Historic High: 386.03 1-6-09 & 332.00 3-3-16 / Historic Low: -438.08 8-8-11)

Summation Index: Fell 2655.74D vs. 3312.29D Prior week ("Bull Market Breakout" +2500.00 / "Bear Market Breakdown" -2500.00)(Historic High: 5599.98 9-22-09 / Historic Low: -4699.43 11-20-08)

DIA Outlook: Fell 44%D vs. 63%D Prior Week (*A Favorite Indicator as it tracks Institutional Sentiment.) (Historic High: 98% 7-22-16 / Historic Low: 2% 3-11-09)

DIA Probability of Being "UP" Monday, 9-19-16: 77% vs. 100% Last Monday
(a reading of 52+ is positive, a reading of 48- is negative) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

Dow 30 + DIA: 14 Buy vs. 17 Sell, Rose 45%U vs. 39%D Prior Week. (A reading of 52+ is Positive, a reading of 48- is Negative.) (*A Favorite Indicator as its direction most often predicts near term market action.) (an 87%+ reading is Overbought, 97% was reached 7-22&7-15-16); (a 13% reading is Oversold, reached on 12-3-15 & 6-15-15, 10% on 8-26-15, 6% on 9-11-15.) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

DIA Directional Indicator: Fell -23D vs. -20D Prior Week (Historic High: 133 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -117 8-26-15)

SPY Directional Indicator: Rose -15U vs. -16D Prior Week (Historic High: 149 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -127 8-26-15)

QQQ Directional Indicator: Rose 13U vs. -8D Prior Week (Historic High: 121 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -71 1-8-16)

IWB Directional Indicator: Rose 16U vs. 6D Prior Week (Historic High: 94 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM Directional Indicator: Fell 16D vs. 39U Prior Week (Historic High: 91 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM/IWB Computation: (IWM Close 121.86U vs. IWB Close 119.19U) Spread: Unch 1.02N vs. 1.02D Prior Week (Small Cap Relative Strength Ratio is calculated taking the daily closing value of the Russell 2000 Index, and dividing it by the Russell 1000. If the line moves upward, then the Russell 2000 is outperforming on a relative basis.
That can mean going up faster, or going down more slowly. If the line is moving downward, then the small cap universe is generally doing worse than the large caps, on a relative basis. (*A Favorite Indicator as the Spread points to a shift in portfolio positions by risk capital investors moving in, or out, of Small Cap stocks.)

S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats (SPDAUDP Close: 947.59) Directional Indicator: Fell -173 vs. -168D Prior Week (Historic High: 997.68 7-14-16 / Historic Low: 794.14 1-20-16)

Market Comment
DJIA Resistance: 18,470
DJIA Support: 17,834

Stock Market is currently Trend-less, wait for this to change.

DIA and SPY Monday Forecast

Symbol: DIA
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

DIA 09/16/16 Final Numbers
(Open) 181.44
(High) 181.50
(Low) 180.44
(Close) 180.97
(Range) 1.06


DIA 09/19/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 181.03
Today's Predicted High: 182.39
Today's Predicted Low: 179.56
Today's Proposed Range: 2.83
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell


Binary Ladder Pricing
183.80 Upside Potential R2
182.45 Upside Potential R1
182.39 High Level R2
181.84 Low Level R1
181.03 Pivot Point
179.62 High Level S1
179.56 Low Level S2
178.14 Downside Potential S1
177.81 Downside Potential S2


Symbol: SPY
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: SPDR S&P 500 Exchange Traded Fund

SPY 09/16/16 Final Numbers
(Open) 213.48
(High) 213.69
(Low) 212.57
(Close) 213.37
(Range) 1.12


SPY 09/19/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 213.20
Today's Predicted High: 215.19
Today's Predicted Low: 211.55
Today's Proposed Range: 3.64
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell


Binary Ladder Pricing
217.01 Upside Potential R2
215.19 Upside Potential R1
215.02 High Level R2
214.32 Low Level R1
213.20 Pivot Point
211.55 High Level S1
211.38 Low Level S2
209.73 Downside Potential S1
209.21 Downside Potential S2


SPDR 12 Select Sector ETFs
WEEKLY COMPARISONS

Week ending September 16, 2016
75% XLU (Utilities)
70% XLF (Financials)
70% GXC (China)
66% XBI (Biotech)
65% XTL (Telecommunications)
59% XLK (Information Technology)
58% XLB (Materials)
52% XLV (Healthcare)
48% XLI (Industrials)
46% XLE (Energy)
32% XRT (Retail)
31% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
AVERAGE: 56% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending September 9, 2016
80% XLF (Financials)
69% GXC (China)
64% XLB (Materials)
59% XLE (Energy)
59% XTL (Telecommunications)
58% XLU (Utilities)
44% XLK (Information Technology)
43% XBI (Biotech)
42% XLI (Industrials)
36% XLV (Healthcare)
29% XRT (Retail)
24% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
AVERAGE: 51% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending September 2, 2016
89% XLF (Financials)
77% XLB (Materials)
69% XTL (Telecommunications)
67% GXC (China)
60% XLI (Industrials)
57% XLK (Information Technology)
54% XLE (Energy)
50% XLU (Utilities)
41% XLV (Healthcare)
41% XRT (Retail)
38% XBI (Biotech)
37% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
AVERAGE: 57% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending August 26, 2016
87% XLF (Financials)
69% XLB (Materials)
66% GXC (China)
65% XTL (Telecommunications)
65% XLE (Energy)
62% XLI (Industrials)
56% XLK (Information Technology)
50% XRT (Retail)
49% XLU (Utilities)
49% XBI (Biotech)
43% XLV (Healthcare)
30% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
AVERAGE: 58% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Sign up now for the MktMetrics.com Decision-based Analytics published pre-market. Others like it, you may too! Algorithmic Trading provides where to enter and exit. Take the guesswork out of picking stocks, today.

Selected Stocks this Week to BUY/Go-Long (9-19-16 to 9-23-16) "BULLISH":
No recommendations until next week Conclusion: Stock Market is currently Trend-less, wait for this to change.

2-Stock Picks of the Week "BEARISH SELL/SELL-SHORT (9-19-16 to 9-23-16): " and "

#1-Stock Pick "SELL" of the Week
(09/9/16 Close 51.77) Earnings Date: November 3, 2016

#2-Stock Pick "SELL" of the Week ("")
(09/9/16 Close 35.53) Earnings Date: October 27, 2016.

Most Recent "Bullish" Stock Picks:
IDCC (09/2/16 Close 71.96); QLYS (09/2/16 Close 35.53), CBU (08/26/16 Close 46.77); SFNC (08/26/16 Close 49.44); ALOG (08/19/16 Close 89.40); PCG (08/19/16 Close 64.79); SINA (08/12/16 Close 70.54); CHMT (08/12/16 Close 30.53); HWAY (08/5/16 Close 17.76); EFC (08/05/16 Close 17.55); GTY (07/29/16 Close 22.72); DGX (07/29/16 Close 86.36); SABRA (07/22/16 Close 24.17); HPT (07/22/16 Close 31.811); ELS (07/15/16 Close 80.42); OTTR (07/15/16 Close 33.90); IGN (07/8/16 Close 35.93); EDR (07/8/16 Close 46.37); BKH (07/1/16 Close 64.08); DCM (07/1/16 Close 27.38); AWK (06/24/16 Close 79.93); CWT (06/24/16 Close 33.45); YORW (06/24/16 Close 30.72); CNS, Inc. (06/17/16 Close 39.68); SCG (06/17/16 Close 71.42); AGX (06/10/16 Close 42.96); STR (06/10/16 Close 25.04); MKSI (06/3/16 Close 41.57); EXLS (06/3/16 Close 52.28); KELYA (05/27/16 Close 19.80); GEL (05/20/16 Close 38.22); HSKA (05/13/16 Close: 39.56); JEC (05/06/16 Close: 48.65); E (04/29/16 Close: 32.77); MKTX (04/22/16 Close: 129.46); HTS (04/15/16 Close: 15.94).

Sign up now for the MktMetrics.com Decision-based Analytics published pre-market. Others like it, you may too! Algorithmic Trading provides where to enter and exit. Take the guesswork out of picking stocks, today.

Calendar of Economic Events and Corporate Earnings: Central banks will dominate headlines next week, with the Fed's highly anticipated September meeting on tap. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) affair has been the talk of the town for months, as Wall Street speculates on the first possible rate hike since December. In addition, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will convene to discuss policy, with some traders bracing for a cut to already negative interest rates. What's more, next week just so happens to be the historically worst week of the year for the S&P 500 Index (SPX).

Outside of macro events, housing will be in the spotlight. Along with a slew of housing data, homebuilders Lennar Corporation (NYSE:LEN) and KB Home (NYSE:KBH) are on the short list of earnings reporters.

Monday, September 19

The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) housing market index is the lone economic report on the docket. Ascena Retail Group (ASNA) will report earnings.

Tuesday, September 20

The housing theme continues Tuesday, with August housing starts and building permits on tap. In addition, the FOMC kicks off its two-day policy meeting. As for earnings, FedEx (FDX), Adobe Systems (ADBE), Carnival (CCL), KBH, and LEN will report.

Wednesday, September 21

The Fed's highly anticipated policy announcement will take center stage at 2 p.m. ET, with Fed Chair Janet Yellen's press conference at 2:30. The BoJ meeting will also conclude with a policy statement. In addition, the regularly scheduled crude inventories report will hit the Street.

Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY), CarMax (KMX), General Mills (GIS), and Red Hat (RHT) earnings are slated for release.

Thursday, September 22

Data on existing home sales and weekly jobless claims will be released, as well as the Fed's balance sheet and the index of leading economic indicators. AutoZone (AZO) and Rite Aid (RAD) will report earnings.

Friday, September 23

The Markit purchasing managers manufacturing index (PMI) is on tap, and the Fed will remain in the spotlight with a trio of regional Fed presidents addressing a panel in Philadelphia: Atlanta's Dennis Lockhart, Cleveland's Loretta Mester, and Philadelphia's Patrick Harker. On the earnings docket is Finish Line (FINL).

Good luck and good trading!

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Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Friday, September 16, 2016

DJIA Nightly Analysis Update, DIA, SPY, QQQ, XLE Friday Forecast

Nightly Analysis Update

Dow Jones Industrial Average
Probability of Being Up Friday: 0%
Trend: Falling 16%
Momentum: Rising 65%
Outlook: Bearish 46% Falling
Stock Market Outlook
Bullish 71.1%


Symbol: DIA
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

DIA 09/15/16 Final Numbers
(Open) 180.37
(High) 182.62
(Low) 180.23
(Close) 182.26
(Range) 2.39


DIA 09/16/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 181.40
Today's Predicted High: 183.46
Today's Predicted Low: 181.06
Today's Proposed Range: 2.40
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell


Binary Ladder Pricing
184.66 Upside Potential R2
183.46 Upside Potential R1
183.13 High Level R2
182.60 Low Level R1
181.40 Pivot Point
181.06 High Level S1
180.20 Low Level S2
179.86 Downside Potential S1
176.76 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 42 Up from 40
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.30/1.78 Down
Current Trend: Negative -11 Up from -30
Demand Factor: 87 Up from 81
Stock Volatility: 2.37 Down from 2.47


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

183.83
183.98
185.91
186.27


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

178.97
178.61
176.76
176.63


DIA 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 182.90
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 184.12
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 184.28
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 182.59
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 178.17
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 175.65


Symbol: SPY
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: SPDR S&P 500 Exchange Traded Fund

SPY 09/15/16 Final Numbers
(Open) 212.96
(High) 215.73
(Low) 212.75
(Close) 215.28
(Range) 2.98


SPY 09/16/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 214.21
Today's Predicted High: 216.80
Today's Predicted Low: 213.77
Today's Proposed Range: 3.03
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell


Binary Ladder Pricing
218.31 Upside Potential R2
216.80 Upside Potential R1
216.18 High Level R2
215.73 Low Level R1
214.21 Pivot Point
213.77 High Level S1
212.70 Low Level S2
212.25 Downside Potential S1
208.70 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 45 Up from 42
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.80/1.95 Down
Current Trend: Negative -3 Up from -28
Demand Factor: 90 Up from 82
Stock Volatility: 2.88 Down from 2.94


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

217.01
217.22
219.59
220.04


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

211.42
210.97
208.70
208.50


SPY 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 215.98
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 217.31
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 216.78
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 214.57
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 208.76
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 205.86


Symbol: QQQ
Exchange: NasdaqGM
Description: POWERSHARES QQQ TRUST NASDAQ 100 ETF

QQQ 09/15/16 Final Numbers
(Open) 115.89
(High) 117.81
(Low) 115.86
(Close) 117.64
(Range) 1.95


QQQ 09/16/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 116.82
Today's Predicted High: 118.61
Today's Predicted Low: 116.68
Today's Proposed Range: 1.93
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
119.57 Upside Potential R2
118.61 Upside Potential R1
117.79 High Level R2
117.74 Low Level R1
116.82 Pivot Point
116.68 High Level S1
115.86 Low Level S2
115.71 Downside Potential S1
113.57 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 79 Up from 69
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 2.00/1.90 Up
Current Trend: Positive 13 Up from -6
Demand Factor: 100 Up from 90
Stock Volatility: 1.99 Up from 0.89


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

118.18
118.21
119.99
120.17


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

115.45
115.29
113.57
113.54


QQQ 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 116.55
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 116.81
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 115.29
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 113.32
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 109.82
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 109.11


Symbol: XLE
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: S&P Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE)

XLE 09/15/16 Final Numbers
(Open) 67.89
(High) 68.90
(Low) 67.73
(Close) 68.41
(Range) 1.17


XLE 09/16/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 68.27
Today's Predicted High: 69.19
Today's Predicted Low: 67.63
Today's Proposed Range: 1.56
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
69.97 Upside Potential R2
69.19 Upside Potential R1
69.19 High Level R2
69.05 Low Level R1
68.27 Pivot Point
67.63 High Level S1
67.49 Low Level S2
66.85 Downside Potential S1
66.53 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 39 Down from 42
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.20/1.53 Down
Current Trend: Positive 4 Up from 1
Demand Factor: 78 Up from 77
Stock Volatility: 0.39 Down from 2.83


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

69.08
69.25
69.78
70.28


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

67.52
67.04
66.53
66.38


XLE 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 69.61
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 69.61
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 68.63
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 68.33
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 65.59
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 63.79


Friday, September 16

The main highlights on quadruple witching Friday are the consumer price index (CPI), Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index, and Treasury International Capital (TIC) data. There are no notable companies reporting earnings.

Good luck and good trading!

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Thursday, September 15, 2016

DJIA Nightly Analysis Update, XLK and ORCL Thursday Forecast

I've been on the sidelines recently. Here is some analysis for Thursday.

Nightly Analysis Update

Dow Jones Industrial Average
Probability of Being Up Thursday: 74%
Trend: Rising 19%
Momentum: Falling 58%
Outlook: Bearish 50% Falling
Stock Market Outlook
Bullish 63.9%


Symbol: XLK
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF

XLK 09/14/16 Final Numbers
(Open) 46.60
(High) 47.10
(Low) 46.59
(Close) 46.81
(Range) 0.51


XLK 09/15/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 46.81
Today's Predicted High: 47.07
Today's Predicted Low: 46.56
Today's Proposed Range: 0.51
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
47.74 Upside Potential R2
47.32 Upside Potential R1
47.07 High Level R2
47.07 Low Level R1
46.81 Pivot Point
46.56 High Level S1
46.56 Low Level S2
46.30 Downside Potential S1
45.67 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Positive 71 Up from 62
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 2.00/1.83 Up
Current Trend: Positive 15 Down from 19
Demand Factor: 93 Down from 95
Stock Volatility: 0.51 Down from 0.93


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

47.52
47.53
47.75
48.04


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

46.16
45.87
45.67
45.66


XLK 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 47.06
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 47.05
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 46.34
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 45.59
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 44.09
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 43.50


Symbol: ORCL
Exchange: NYSE
Description: Oracle develops, manufactures, markets, distributes and services database and middleware software, applications software and hardware systems worldwide.

ORCL 09/14/16 Final Numbers
(Open) 40.11
(High) 40.55
(Low) 40.02
(Close) 40.25
(Range) 0.53


ORCL 09/15/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 40.26
Today's Predicted High: 40.49
Today's Predicted Low: 40.01
Today's Proposed Range: 0.48
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell


Binary Ladder Pricing
40.73 Upside Potential R2
40.72 Upside Potential R1
40.50 High Level R2
40.49 Low Level R1
40.26 Pivot Point
40.02 High Level S1
40.01 Low Level S2
39.77 Downside Potential S1
39.31 Downside Potential S2


Five Considerations (Today vs. Yesterday)
Price Internal Strength: Negative 47 Up from 42
Volume Internal Strength: Positive 1.10/1.23 Down
Current Trend: Negative -7 Down from -4
Demand Factor: 47 Down from 49
Stock Volatility: 0.63 Down from 0.96


Extreme Trading Conditions: Levels 1-4
Predicted Block Trading Resistance Levels (100,000+ shares)

40.82
40.91
41.06
41.36


Predicted Block Trading Support Levels (100,000+ shares)

39.74
39.45
39.31
39.22


ORCL 6-KEY MOVING AVERAGES
8 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 40.70
21 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 41.04
50 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 41.08
65 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 40.76
30 WEEK MOVING AVERAGE = 39.99
200 DAY MOVING AVERAGE = 39.08


Thursday, September 15

Thursday will be busy, with weekly jobless claims, the PPI, retail sales, industrial production, and business inventories on the docket. Plus, the Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey and the Empire State manufacturing survey are scheduled for release. ORCL headlines the earnings calendar.

Good luck and good trading!

Sunday, September 11, 2016

Stock Market Key Metrics, 2-Stock Picks "SELLS" of the Week, DIA and SPY Monday Forecast, Bullish Stocks to "BUY Now", Tracking SPDR 12 SELECT SECTORS ETFs, Calendar of Economic Events & Corporate Earnings



Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com Premium

Note: As of 7-1-16, MktMetrics no longer reports on stocks under $10.00 p/share.

Friday September 9, 2016 DJIA Closed: 18085.45 -394.46 vs. 18491.96 +72.66 Prior week, -2.22% BELOW its FALLING 21-day moving average of 18495.40 vs. 18517.87 Prior week. (Overbought: Above 21-DMA +4.61 reached on 10-23-15) vs. (Oversold: Below 21-DMA -6.21% reached on 1-15-16 (Historic High: 10.56% on 3-26-09 vs. Historic Low: -26.03% on 5-7-10). Upper 3.5% band: Falling 19142.70D vs. Lower 3.5% band: Falling 17870.76D

DJIA Least Squares Regression Channel Top: New High 19,523U and Channel Bottom: Rose 17,143U.) Historic High: 19,523.52 9-9-16, bottomed 3-24-16 Low 15,542.

DIA Trend: 8-day M/A 184.22D vs. 21-day M/A 184.96D Spread: -0.74U vs. -0.79D Prior Week ("M/A Trend Crossover SELL Signal" occurred on 9-1-16.) (Historic High Spread: +5.30 11-7-14 / Historic Low Spread: -7.14 8-15-11). (*A Favorite Indicator as the Spread acts as an early warning signal of a shift in portfolio positions by smart money moving in, or out, of the DIA.)

DIA Price Volatility: Increased Friday 6.18 Up from -0.49 Thursday.
(Historic High: 35.10 8-25-15, Low: -10.76% 8-31-15)(5.30+ is considered High Volatility on the immediate horizon. Move to the sidelines when this occurs.)

DIA Proposed Range: Monday 1.17 vs. 2.84 Actual Range Friday.
(Historic High: 4.31 3-31-09 / Historic Low: 0.60% 7-19-16)

DIA Price Momentum: Fell 65%D vs. 84%D Prior week (Historic High: 100% 2-22-12, 97% 4-22-16 / Historic Low: 3% on 9-4-15, 3% 8-21-15, 3% 8-19-11, 3% 6-30-09, and 3% on 10-22-08)

DIA MACD: MACD Crossover "SELL" Signal on 7-27-16. Sell remains in effect.

DIA 5-Day Stochastic%D: Fell 44D vs. 52U Prior week (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

DIA Relative Strength 14-Day: Fell 27%D vs. 38%D Prior week
(High 100 3-19-10 / Low 0 7-6-10 & 8-10-11) (Overbought =+75) / (Oversold =-25)

DIA Commodity Channel Index: OVERSOLD -276D vs. 5U Prior week (Overbought: =>+200 / Oversold: =<-200>) (Historic High: 309.49 12-12-14, 306 11-4-10 / Historic Low: -318 5-6-10, -312 8-21-15.)

McClellan Oscillator: Fell -148.35 vs. -4.06U Prior week (an overbought / oversold indicator.) (Historic High: 386.03 1-6-09 & 332.00 3-3-16 / Historic Low: -438.08 8-8-11)

Summation Index: Fell 3312.29D vs. 3410.84U Prior week ("Bull Market Breakout" +2500.00 / "Bear Market Breakdown" -2500.00)(Historic High: 5599.98 9-22-09 / Historic Low: -4699.43 11-20-08)

DIA Outlook: Fell 63%D vs. 65%D Prior Week (*A Favorite Indicator as it tracks Institutional Sentiment.) (Historic High: 98% 7-22-16 / Historic Low: 2% 3-11-09)

DIA Probability of Being "UP" Monday, 9-12-16: 100% vs. 13% Last Monday
(a reading of 52+ is positive, a reading of 48- is negative) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

Dow 30 + DIA: 12 Buy vs. 19 Sell, Fell 39%D vs. 52%D Prior Week. (A reading of 52+ is Positive, a reading of 48- is Negative.) (*A Favorite Indicator as its direction most often predicts near term market action.) (an 87%+ reading is Overbought, 97% was reached 7-22&7-15-16); (a 13% reading is Oversold, reached on 12-3-15 & 6-15-15, 10% on 8-26-15, 6% on 9-11-15.) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

DIA Directional Indicator: Fell -20D vs. 22U Prior Week (Historic High: 133 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -117 8-26-15)

SPY Directional Indicator: Fell -16D vs. 25U Prior Week (Historic High: 149 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -127 8-26-15)

QQQ Directional Indicator: Fell -8D vs. 20D Prior Week (Historic High: 121 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -71 1-8-16)

IWB Directional Indicator: Fell 6D vs. 21U Prior Week (Historic High: 94 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM Directional Indicator: Rose 39U vs. 39U Prior Week (Historic High: 91 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM/IWB Computation: (IWM Close 121.25D vs. IWB Close 118.62D) Spread: Fell 1.02D vs. 1.03D Prior Week (Small Cap Relative Strength Ratio is calculated taking the daily closing value of the Russell 2000 Index, and dividing it by the Russell 1000. If the line moves upward, then the Russell 2000 is outperforming on a relative basis.
That can mean going up faster, or going down more slowly. If the line is moving downward, then the small cap universe is generally doing worse than the large caps, on a relative basis. (*A Favorite Indicator as the Spread points to a shift in portfolio positions by risk capital investors moving in, or out, of Small Cap stocks.)

S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats (SPDAUDP Close: 949.58) Directional Indicator: Fell -168D vs. 21U Prior Week (Historic High: 997.68 7-14-16 / Historic Low: 794.14 1-20-16)

Market Comment
DJIA Resistance: 18,747
DJIA Support: 17,974

On 8/15/16, the DJIA rendered a clear and present SELL signal at 18,552. The 8-Day vs. 21 Day Moving Average Trends Crossover SELL Signal occurred on 9-1-16. The DJIA Outlook is falling at 63%, this reading can go a lot lower. The DOW+DIA is registering 39%, representative that more Dow stocks are declining. MktMetrics is projecting a sell-off Monday morning and another lousy day for stocks. Tuesday could render a rally to the falling 21-day moving average. The main highlights on quadruple witching Friday are the consumer price index (CPI), Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index, and Treasury International Capital (TIC) data. Volatility has returned, if you must trade this market, only trade the extreme support and resistance.

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Stocks across the globe fell the most since June on Friday, dragged lower by expectations that the Federal Reserve could be closer to an interest rate hike, which in turn boosted the U.S. dollar and weighed on commodities.
Geopolitical jitters added to the sour mix after North Korea conducted its fifth and biggest nuclear test and said it had mastered the ability to mount a warhead on a ballistic missile, ratcheting up a threat that its rivals and the United Nations have been powerless to contain.
German exports fell sharply in July, shrinking the overall trade surplus for the fourth consecutive month - something not seen since 1992 in the euro zone's largest economy.
The euro peaked for the day shortly after the German data and later dipped below $1.12, while the benchmark U.S. Treasury yield touched its highest in 11 weeks.
Stocks on Wall Street were hit after Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren said "risks to the forecast are becoming increasingly two-sided," meaning that while a slowdown overseas remains a concern, the U.S. economy has proved resilient and could even overheat if Fed policy remains unchanged for too much longer.
"This is more about central banks than anything else; there’s a rising expectation of inflation as well as what seems to be a modest shift within central banks for a little bit steeper yield curve," said Jason Pride, director of investment strategy at Glenmede in Philadelphia.
The hawkish Fed tone was softened by Federal Reserve Governor Daniel Tarullo, who said he wants to see more evidence of a sustained uptick in inflation before raising rates.
The Dow Jones industrial average fell 394.46 points, or 2.13 percent, to 18,085.45, the S&P 500 lost 53.49 points, or 2.45 percent, to 2,127.81 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 133.58 points, or 2.54 percent, to 5,125.91.
It was the second-largest weekly drop for the Dow this year, and the largest for the S&P 500 since early February.
MSCI's global stocks gauge dropped 2.1 percent, the most for any day since the aftermath of Britain's decision to leave the European Union in late June.
An index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan dropped 1.4 percent after touching a 13-month high on Thursday. Emerging market stocks slumped 1.9 percent.
HAWKISH COMMENTS
The U.S. dollar rose after Rosengren's remarks raised expectations of a near-term increase in U.S. interest rates.
"Despite the relatively weak economic (data) that we’ve had this month, the market decided that it appears central bank officials are no longer enamored with (ultra-low) interest rate policy; they really want to normalize rate policy sooner rather than later," said Boris Schlossberg, managing director of FX strategy at BK Asset Management.
The dollar index, which tracks the U.S. currency against a basket of six currencies, rose 0.3 percent to 95.31. The euro fell 0.2 percent against the dollar to $1.1231.
U.S. Treasury yields rose, with long-dated maturities reaching more than two-month highs, in line with Japanese government bonds, after reports suggested the Bank of Japan is considering measures to cut short- to medium-term yields, while lifting those of long-term debt.
The U.S. Treasury market has been moving in tandem with JGBs over the last six months, analysts said, since Japanese investors of late have been the biggest buyers of U.S. government debt.
The U.S. yield curve reached its steepest level since mid-July, with the spread between the 10-year and the 2-year yields at 89 basis points, a move driven by the jump in longer-dated borrowing costs.

DIA and SPY Monday Forecast

Symbol: DIA
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

DIA 09/09/16 Final Numbers
(Open) 183.57
(High) 183.75
(Low) 180.91
(Close) 180.91
(Range) 2.84


DIA 09/12/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 181.50
Today's Predicted High: 181.50
Today's Predicted Low: 180.33
Today's Proposed Range: 1.17
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Binary Ladder Pricing
182.09 Upside Potential R2
182.08 Upside Potential R1
181.73 High Level R2
181.50 Low Level R1
181.50 Pivot Point
180.92 High Level S1
180.33 Low Level S2
179.90 Downside Potential S1
179.74 Downside Potential S2


Symbol: SPY
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: SPDR S&P 500 Exchange Traded Fund

SPY 09/09/16 Final Numbers
(Open) 216.97
(High) 217.03
(Low) 213.25
(Close) 213.28
(Range) 3.78

SPY 09/12/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 213.97
Today's Predicted High: 213.97
Today's Predicted Low: 212.60
Today's Proposed Range: 1.37
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
214.66 Upside Potential R2
214.65 Upside Potential R1
214.11 High Level R2
213.97 Low Level R1
213.97 Pivot Point
213.29 High Level S1
212.63 Low Level S2
212.60 Downside Potential S1
211.91 Downside Potential S2


SPDR 12 Select Sector ETFs
WEEKLY COMPARISONS

Week ending September 9, 2016
80% XLF (Financials)
69% GXC (China)
64% XLB (Materials)
59% XLE (Energy)
59% XTL (Telecommunications)
58% XLU (Utilities)
44% XLK (Information Technology)
43% XBI (Biotech)
42% XLI (Industrials)
36% XLV (Healthcare)
29% XRT (Retail)
24% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
AVERAGE: 51% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending September 2, 2016
89% XLF (Financials)
77% XLB (Materials)
69% XTL (Telecommunications)
67% GXC (China)
60% XLI (Industrials)
57% XLK (Information Technology)
54% XLE (Energy)
50% XLU (Utilities)
41% XLV (Healthcare)
41% XRT (Retail)
38% XBI (Biotech)
37% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
AVERAGE: 57% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending August 26, 2016
87% XLF (Financials)
69% XLB (Materials)
66% GXC (China)
65% XTL (Telecommunications)
65% XLE (Energy)
62% XLI (Industrials)
56% XLK (Information Technology)
50% XRT (Retail)
49% XLU (Utilities)
49% XBI (Biotech)
43% XLV (Healthcare)
30% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
AVERAGE: 58% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending August 19, 2016
88% XLF (Financials)
75% XTL (Telecommunications)
73% GXC (China)
73% XLI (Industrials)
72% XLB (Materials)
69% XLE (Energy)
69% XRT (Retail)
66% XLK (Information Technology)
64% XBI (Biotech)
63% XLU (Utilities)
62% XLV (Healthcare)
39% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
AVERAGE: 68% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Sign up now for the MktMetrics.com Decision-based Analytics published pre-market. Others like it, you may too! Algorithmic Trading provides where to enter and exit. Take the guesswork out of picking stocks, today.

Selected Stocks this Week to BUY/Go-Long (9-12-16 to 9-16-16 "BULLISH":
AMID, BELFB, BIO, BMTC, BNCN, BOKF, BSRR, BUSE, CSBK, CWEI, CYOU, DKS, DKT, DOX, DPM, EDE, EMES, EXEL, FFBC, IMOS, INTL, IOC, ITRI, JSM, MKTX, N, NBHC, OME, PEBO, SAIC, SE, SNOW, TGP, TPL, VPG, WAIR, WHF.) Conclusion: Time to Buy, phase in, for a meaningful election rally.

2-Stock Picks of the Week "BEARISH SELL/SELL-SHORT (9-12-16 to 9-16-16): "AMCX and SCTY"

#1-Stock Pick "SELL" of the Week
AMCX (09/9/16 Close 51.77) Earnings Date: November 3, 2016
AMC Networks Inc. engages in the ownership and operation of various cable television’s brands delivering content to audiences, and a platform to distributors and advertisers in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, National Networks, and International and Other. The National Networks segment operates five distributed entertainment programming networks under the AMC, WE tv, BBC AMERICA, IFC, and SundanceTV names in high definition and standard definition formats. This segment distributes its networks in the United States through cable and other multichannel video programming distribution platforms, including direct broadcast satellite and platforms operated by telecommunications providers. The International and Other segment delivers entertaining and acclaimed programming services for subscribers in approximately 140 countries and territories, including Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and the parts of Asia and Africa. This segment also operates in independent film distribution business that distributes films across various media platforms, including theaters, cable/satellite video-on-demand, DVDs and cable network television, and streaming/downloading to computers and other electronic devices. The company offers movies and entertainment networks to approximately 390 million subscribers in 130 countries. AMC Networks Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

AMCX 09/12/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 52.22
Today's Predicted High: 52.35
Today's Predicted Low: 51.20
Today's Proposed Range: 1.15
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Sell


Binary Ladder Pricing
52.92 Upside Potential R2
52.80 Upside Potential R1
52.35 High Level R2
52.22 Low Level R1
51.77 Pivot Point
51.65 High Level S1
51.62 Low Level S2
51.20 Downside Potential S1
50.62 Downside Potential S2


#2-Stock Pick "SELL" of the Week ("SCTY")
SCTY (09/9/16 Close 35.53) Earnings Date: October 27, 2016.
SolarCity Corporation designs, manufactures, installs, monitors, maintains, leases, and sells solar energy systems to government, residential, and commercial customers in the United States. The company provides solar energy systems; solar lease and solar power purchase agreements; mypower loan agreements; grid control/energy storage systems; zep solar mounting systems; and proprietary software, including SolarBid sales management platform, SolarWorks customer management software, PowerGuide proactive monitoring solutions, and Energy Designer, a proprietary software application used by field engineering auditors to collect site-specific design details on a tablet computer. It also sells electricity generated by solar energy systems to customers. The company offers its products and services through direct outside sales force; door-to-door sales force; call centers; channel partner network; and robust customer referral program. SolarCity Corporation was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in San Mateo, California.

SCTY 09/12/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 17.09
Today's Predicted High: 17.50
Today's Predicted Low: 16.04
Today's Proposed Range: 1.46
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Binary Ladder Pricing
18.23 Upside Potential R2
17.82 Upside Potential R1
17.57 High Level R2
17.50 Low Level R1
17.09 Pivot Point
16.97 High Level S1
16.36 Low Level S2
16.04 Downside Potential S1
15.31 Downside Potential S2


Most Recent "Bullish" Stock Picks:
IDCC (09/2/16 Close 71.96); QLYS (09/2/16 Close 35.53), CBU (08/26/16 Close 46.77); SFNC (08/26/16 Close 49.44); ALOG (08/19/16 Close 89.40); PCG (08/19/16 Close 64.79); SINA (08/12/16 Close 70.54); CHMT (08/12/16 Close 30.53); HWAY (08/5/16 Close 17.76); EFC (08/05/16 Close 17.55); GTY (07/29/16 Close 22.72); DGX (07/29/16 Close 86.36); SABRA (07/22/16 Close 24.17); HPT (07/22/16 Close 31.811); ELS (07/15/16 Close 80.42); OTTR (07/15/16 Close 33.90); IGN (07/8/16 Close 35.93); EDR (07/8/16 Close 46.37); BKH (07/1/16 Close 64.08); DCM (07/1/16 Close 27.38); AWK (06/24/16 Close 79.93); CWT (06/24/16 Close 33.45); YORW (06/24/16 Close 30.72); CNS, Inc. (06/17/16 Close 39.68); SCG (06/17/16 Close 71.42); AGX (06/10/16 Close 42.96); STR (06/10/16 Close 25.04); MKSI (06/3/16 Close 41.57); EXLS (06/3/16 Close 52.28); KELYA (05/27/16 Close 19.80); GEL (05/20/16 Close 38.22); HSKA (05/13/16 Close: 39.56); JEC (05/06/16 Close: 48.65); E (04/29/16 Close: 32.77); MKTX (04/22/16 Close: 129.46); HTS (04/15/16 Close: 15.94); SUI (04/08/16 Close: 71.51); PZE (04/01/16 Close: 6.57).

Sign up now for the MktMetrics.com Decision-based Analytics published pre-market. Others like it, you may too! Algorithmic Trading provides where to enter and exit. Take the guesswork out of picking stocks, today.

Calendar of Economic Events and Corporate Earnings: The earnings calendar is relatively barren next week, with Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL) serving as the headliner. Meanwhile, an array of economic reports will hit the Street -- especially on Thursday, when the producer price index (PPI), industrial production numbers, and plenty of other data could move the stock market. Separately, a pair of speeches from Fed officials earlier in the week could offer rate-hike clues, while Friday will bring the quadruple witching hour.

Monday, September 12

There are no notable economic reports slated for release, but Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari will give speeches. United Natural Foods (UNFI) will head to the earnings booth.

Tuesday, September 13

The Treasury budget is due out on Tuesday. The earnings calendar is relatively empty.

Wednesday, September 14

On Wednesday, import and export prices will come out, as will the regularly scheduled U.S. crude inventories report. Cracker Barrel (CBRL) will step up to the earnings stage.

Thursday, September 15

Thursday will be busy, with weekly jobless claims, the PPI, retail sales, industrial production, and business inventories on the docket. Plus, the Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey and the Empire State manufacturing survey are scheduled for release. ORCL headlines the earnings calendar.

Friday, September 16

The main highlights on quadruple witching Friday are the consumer price index (CPI), Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index, and Treasury International Capital (TIC) data. There are no notable companies reporting earnings.

Good luck and good trading!

MktMetrics, Inc. Web Partners include:

Lightspeed Trading, LLC
Lightspeed Trading, LLC provides securities and direct access brokerage, trading, and order routing services. It offers Lightspeed Trader, a market access trading system for executing equities, options, and futures. The company also provides Lightspeed Risk, an equity risk management application for monitoring profit and loss, and stock activities and positions. It was formerly known as E*TRADE Professional Trading, LLC and changed its name to Lightspeed Trading, LLC in 2006. The company is based in New York, New York. Lightspeed Trading, LLC operates as a subsidiary of Lightspeed Financial, LLC.

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.
Interactive Brokers conducts its broker/dealer and proprietary trading businesses on over 80 market destinations worldwide. In its broker dealer agency business, IB provides direct access ("on line") trade execution and clearing services to institutional and professional traders for a wide variety of electronically traded products including stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds worldwide. In its proprietary trading business IB engages in market making for its own account in about Switzerland, Canada, Hong Kong, UK, Australia, Hungary, Russia, India, China and 6,500 different electronically traded products. Interactive Brokers' headquarters are in Greenwich Connecticut, and it has about 800 employees in its offices in the USA, Estonia. IB is regulated by the SEC, FINRA, NYSE, SFA and other regulatory agencies around the world.

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.

Stock Market Key Metrics, 2-Stock Picks "SELLS" of the Week, DIA and SPY Monday Forecast, Bullish Stocks to "BUY Now", Tracking SPDR 12 SELECT SECTORS ETFs, Calendar of Economic Events & Corporate Earnings



Information provided by: www.MktMetrics.com Premium

Note: As of 7-1-16, MktMetrics no longer reports on stocks under $10.00 p/share.

Friday September 9, 2016 DJIA Closed: 18085.45 -394.46 vs. 18491.96 +72.66 Prior week, -2.22% BELOW its FALLING 21-day moving average of 18495.40 vs. 18517.87 Prior week. (Overbought: Above 21-DMA +4.61 reached on 10-23-15) vs. (Oversold: Below 21-DMA -6.21% reached on 1-15-16 (Historic High: 10.56% on 3-26-09 vs. Historic Low: -26.03% on 5-7-10). Upper 3.5% band: Falling 19142.70D vs. Lower 3.5% band: Falling 17870.76D

DJIA Least Squares Regression Channel Top: New High 19,523U and Channel Bottom: Rose 17,143U.) Historic High: 19,523.52 9-9-16, bottomed 3-24-16 Low 15,542.

DIA Trend: 8-day M/A 184.22D vs. 21-day M/A 184.96D Spread: -0.74U vs. -0.79D Prior Week ("M/A Trend Crossover SELL Signal" occurred on 9-1-16.) (Historic High Spread: +5.30 11-7-14 / Historic Low Spread: -7.14 8-15-11). (*A Favorite Indicator as the Spread acts as an early warning signal of a shift in portfolio positions by smart money moving in, or out, of the DIA.)

DIA Price Volatility: Increased Friday 6.18 Up from -0.49 Thursday.
(Historic High: 35.10 8-25-15, Low: -10.76% 8-31-15)(5.30+ is considered High Volatility on the immediate horizon. Move to the sidelines when this occurs.)

DIA Proposed Range: Monday 1.17 vs. 2.84 Actual Range Friday.
(Historic High: 4.31 3-31-09 / Historic Low: 0.60% 7-19-16)

DIA Price Momentum: Fell 65%D vs. 84%D Prior week (Historic High: 100% 2-22-12, 97% 4-22-16 / Historic Low: 3% on 9-4-15, 3% 8-21-15, 3% 8-19-11, 3% 6-30-09, and 3% on 10-22-08)

DIA MACD: MACD Crossover "SELL" Signal on 7-27-16. Sell remains in effect.

DIA 5-Day Stochastic%D: Fell 44D vs. 52U Prior week (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

DIA Relative Strength 14-Day: Fell 27%D vs. 38%D Prior week
(High 100 3-19-10 / Low 0 7-6-10 & 8-10-11) (Overbought =+75) / (Oversold =-25)

DIA Commodity Channel Index: OVERSOLD -276D vs. 5U Prior week (Overbought: =>+200 / Oversold: =<-200>) (Historic High: 309.49 12-12-14, 306 11-4-10 / Historic Low: -318 5-6-10, -312 8-21-15.)

McClellan Oscillator: Fell -148.35 vs. -4.06U Prior week (an overbought / oversold indicator.) (Historic High: 386.03 1-6-09 & 332.00 3-3-16 / Historic Low: -438.08 8-8-11)

Summation Index: Fell 3312.29D vs. 3410.84U Prior week ("Bull Market Breakout" +2500.00 / "Bear Market Breakdown" -2500.00)(Historic High: 5599.98 9-22-09 / Historic Low: -4699.43 11-20-08)

DIA Outlook: Fell 63%D vs. 65%D Prior Week (*A Favorite Indicator as it tracks Institutional Sentiment.) (Historic High: 98% 7-22-16 / Historic Low: 2% 3-11-09)

DIA Probability of Being "UP" Monday, 9-12-16: 100% vs. 13% Last Monday
(a reading of 52+ is positive, a reading of 48- is negative) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

Dow 30 + DIA: 12 Buy vs. 19 Sell, Fell 39%D vs. 52%D Prior Week. (A reading of 52+ is Positive, a reading of 48- is Negative.) (*A Favorite Indicator as its direction most often predicts near term market action.) (an 87%+ reading is Overbought, 97% was reached 7-22&7-15-16); (a 13% reading is Oversold, reached on 12-3-15 & 6-15-15, 10% on 8-26-15, 6% on 9-11-15.) (Historic High: 100 / Historic Low: 0)

DIA Directional Indicator: Fell -20D vs. 22U Prior Week (Historic High: 133 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -117 8-26-15)

SPY Directional Indicator: Fell -16D vs. 25U Prior Week (Historic High: 149 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -127 8-26-15)

QQQ Directional Indicator: Fell -8D vs. 20D Prior Week (Historic High: 121 10-28-15 / Historic Low: -71 1-8-16)

IWB Directional Indicator: Fell 6D vs. 21U Prior Week (Historic High: 94 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM Directional Indicator: Rose 39U vs. 39U Prior Week (Historic High: 91 11-14-14 / Historic Low: -87 8-28-15)

IWM/IWB Computation: (IWM Close 121.25D vs. IWB Close 118.62D) Spread: Fell 1.02D vs. 1.03D Prior Week (Small Cap Relative Strength Ratio is calculated taking the daily closing value of the Russell 2000 Index, and dividing it by the Russell 1000. If the line moves upward, then the Russell 2000 is outperforming on a relative basis.
That can mean going up faster, or going down more slowly. If the line is moving downward, then the small cap universe is generally doing worse than the large caps, on a relative basis. (*A Favorite Indicator as the Spread points to a shift in portfolio positions by risk capital investors moving in, or out, of Small Cap stocks.)

S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats (SPDAUDP Close: 949.58) Directional Indicator: Fell -168D vs. 21U Prior Week (Historic High: 997.68 7-14-16 / Historic Low: 794.14 1-20-16)

Market Comment
DJIA Resistance: 18,747
DJIA Support: 17,974

On 8/15/16, the DJIA rendered a clear and present SELL signal at 18,552. The 8-Day vs. 21 Day Moving Average Trends Crossover SELL Signal occurred on 9-1-16. The DJIA Outlook is falling at 63%, this reading can go a lot lower. The DOW+DIA is registering 39%, representative that more Dow stocks are declining. MktMetrics is projecting a sell-off Monday morning and another lousy day for stocks. Tuesday could render a rally to the falling 21-day moving average. The main highlights on quadruple witching Friday are the consumer price index (CPI), Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index, and Treasury International Capital (TIC) data. Volatility has returned, if you must trade this market, only trade the extreme support and resistance.

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Stocks across the globe fell the most since June on Friday, dragged lower by expectations that the Federal Reserve could be closer to an interest rate hike, which in turn boosted the U.S. dollar and weighed on commodities.
Geopolitical jitters added to the sour mix after North Korea conducted its fifth and biggest nuclear test and said it had mastered the ability to mount a warhead on a ballistic missile, ratcheting up a threat that its rivals and the United Nations have been powerless to contain.
German exports fell sharply in July, shrinking the overall trade surplus for the fourth consecutive month - something not seen since 1992 in the euro zone's largest economy.
The euro peaked for the day shortly after the German data and later dipped below $1.12, while the benchmark U.S. Treasury yield touched its highest in 11 weeks.
Stocks on Wall Street were hit after Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren said "risks to the forecast are becoming increasingly two-sided," meaning that while a slowdown overseas remains a concern, the U.S. economy has proved resilient and could even overheat if Fed policy remains unchanged for too much longer.
"This is more about central banks than anything else; there’s a rising expectation of inflation as well as what seems to be a modest shift within central banks for a little bit steeper yield curve," said Jason Pride, director of investment strategy at Glenmede in Philadelphia.
The hawkish Fed tone was softened by Federal Reserve Governor Daniel Tarullo, who said he wants to see more evidence of a sustained uptick in inflation before raising rates.
The Dow Jones industrial average fell 394.46 points, or 2.13 percent, to 18,085.45, the S&P 500 lost 53.49 points, or 2.45 percent, to 2,127.81 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 133.58 points, or 2.54 percent, to 5,125.91.
It was the second-largest weekly drop for the Dow this year, and the largest for the S&P 500 since early February.
MSCI's global stocks gauge dropped 2.1 percent, the most for any day since the aftermath of Britain's decision to leave the European Union in late June.
An index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan dropped 1.4 percent after touching a 13-month high on Thursday. Emerging market stocks slumped 1.9 percent.
HAWKISH COMMENTS
The U.S. dollar rose after Rosengren's remarks raised expectations of a near-term increase in U.S. interest rates.
"Despite the relatively weak economic (data) that we’ve had this month, the market decided that it appears central bank officials are no longer enamored with (ultra-low) interest rate policy; they really want to normalize rate policy sooner rather than later," said Boris Schlossberg, managing director of FX strategy at BK Asset Management.
The dollar index, which tracks the U.S. currency against a basket of six currencies, rose 0.3 percent to 95.31. The euro fell 0.2 percent against the dollar to $1.1231.
U.S. Treasury yields rose, with long-dated maturities reaching more than two-month highs, in line with Japanese government bonds, after reports suggested the Bank of Japan is considering measures to cut short- to medium-term yields, while lifting those of long-term debt.
The U.S. Treasury market has been moving in tandem with JGBs over the last six months, analysts said, since Japanese investors of late have been the biggest buyers of U.S. government debt.
The U.S. yield curve reached its steepest level since mid-July, with the spread between the 10-year and the 2-year yields at 89 basis points, a move driven by the jump in longer-dated borrowing costs.

DIA and SPY Monday Forecast

Symbol: DIA
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: Diamonds (Dow 30 Exchange Traded Fund)

DIA 09/09/16 Final Numbers
(Open) 183.57
(High) 183.75
(Low) 180.91
(Close) 180.91
(Range) 2.84


DIA 09/12/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 181.50
Today's Predicted High: 181.50
Today's Predicted Low: 180.33
Today's Proposed Range: 1.17
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Binary Ladder Pricing
182.09 Upside Potential R2
182.08 Upside Potential R1
181.73 High Level R2
181.50 Low Level R1
181.50 Pivot Point
180.92 High Level S1
180.33 Low Level S2
179.90 Downside Potential S1
179.74 Downside Potential S2


Symbol: SPY
Exchange: NYSEArca
Description: SPDR S&P 500 Exchange Traded Fund

SPY 09/09/16 Final Numbers
(Open) 216.97
(High) 217.03
(Low) 213.25
(Close) 213.28
(Range) 3.78

SPY 09/12/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 213.97
Today's Predicted High: 213.97
Today's Predicted Low: 212.60
Today's Proposed Range: 1.37
Buy/Sell Rating: Buy


Binary Ladder Pricing
214.66 Upside Potential R2
214.65 Upside Potential R1
214.11 High Level R2
213.97 Low Level R1
213.97 Pivot Point
213.29 High Level S1
212.63 Low Level S2
212.60 Downside Potential S1
211.91 Downside Potential S2


SPDR 12 Select Sector ETFs
WEEKLY COMPARISONS

Week ending September 9, 2016
80% XLF (Financials)
69% GXC (China)
64% XLB (Materials)
59% XLE (Energy)
59% XTL (Telecommunications)
58% XLU (Utilities)
44% XLK (Information Technology)
43% XBI (Biotech)
42% XLI (Industrials)
36% XLV (Healthcare)
29% XRT (Retail)
24% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
AVERAGE: 51% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending September 2, 2016
89% XLF (Financials)
77% XLB (Materials)
69% XTL (Telecommunications)
67% GXC (China)
60% XLI (Industrials)
57% XLK (Information Technology)
54% XLE (Energy)
50% XLU (Utilities)
41% XLV (Healthcare)
41% XRT (Retail)
38% XBI (Biotech)
37% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
AVERAGE: 57% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending August 26, 2016
87% XLF (Financials)
69% XLB (Materials)
66% GXC (China)
65% XTL (Telecommunications)
65% XLE (Energy)
62% XLI (Industrials)
56% XLK (Information Technology)
50% XRT (Retail)
49% XLU (Utilities)
49% XBI (Biotech)
43% XLV (Healthcare)
30% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
AVERAGE: 58% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

Week ending August 19, 2016
88% XLF (Financials)
75% XTL (Telecommunications)
73% GXC (China)
73% XLI (Industrials)
72% XLB (Materials)
69% XLE (Energy)
69% XRT (Retail)
66% XLK (Information Technology)
64% XBI (Biotech)
63% XLU (Utilities)
62% XLV (Healthcare)
39% XLY & XLP (Consumer Discretionary & Staples combined)
AVERAGE: 68% KEY: 52%-100% = Positive, 48%-0% = Negative

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Selected Stocks this Week to BUY/Go-Long (9-12-16 to 9-16-16 "BULLISH":
AMID, BELFB, BIO, BMTC, BNCN, BOKF, BSRR, BUSE, CSBK, CWEI, CYOU, DKS, DKT, DOX, DPM, EDE, EMES, EXEL, FFBC, IMOS, INTL, IOC, ITRI, JSM, MKTX, N, NBHC, OME, PEBO, SAIC, SE, SNOW, TGP, TPL, VPG, WAIR, WHF.) Conclusion: Time to Buy, phase in, for a meaningful election rally.

2-Stock Picks of the Week "BEARISH SELL/SELL-SHORT (9-12-16 to 9-16-16): "AMCX and SCTY"

#1-Stock Pick "SELL" of the Week
AMCX (09/9/16 Close 51.77) Earnings Date: November 3, 2016
AMC Networks Inc. engages in the ownership and operation of various cable television’s brands delivering content to audiences, and a platform to distributors and advertisers in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, National Networks, and International and Other. The National Networks segment operates five distributed entertainment programming networks under the AMC, WE tv, BBC AMERICA, IFC, and SundanceTV names in high definition and standard definition formats. This segment distributes its networks in the United States through cable and other multichannel video programming distribution platforms, including direct broadcast satellite and platforms operated by telecommunications providers. The International and Other segment delivers entertaining and acclaimed programming services for subscribers in approximately 140 countries and territories, including Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and the parts of Asia and Africa. This segment also operates in independent film distribution business that distributes films across various media platforms, including theaters, cable/satellite video-on-demand, DVDs and cable network television, and streaming/downloading to computers and other electronic devices. The company offers movies and entertainment networks to approximately 390 million subscribers in 130 countries. AMC Networks Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

AMCX 09/12/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 52.22
Today's Predicted High: 52.35
Today's Predicted Low: 51.20
Today's Proposed Range: 1.15
Buy/Sell Rating: Strong Sell


Binary Ladder Pricing
52.92 Upside Potential R2
52.80 Upside Potential R1
52.35 High Level R2
52.22 Low Level R1
51.77 Pivot Point
51.65 High Level S1
51.62 Low Level S2
51.20 Downside Potential S1
50.62 Downside Potential S2


#2-Stock Pick "SELL" of the Week ("SCTY")
SCTY (09/9/16 Close 35.53) Earnings Date: October 27, 2016.
SolarCity Corporation designs, manufactures, installs, monitors, maintains, leases, and sells solar energy systems to government, residential, and commercial customers in the United States. The company provides solar energy systems; solar lease and solar power purchase agreements; mypower loan agreements; grid control/energy storage systems; zep solar mounting systems; and proprietary software, including SolarBid sales management platform, SolarWorks customer management software, PowerGuide proactive monitoring solutions, and Energy Designer, a proprietary software application used by field engineering auditors to collect site-specific design details on a tablet computer. It also sells electricity generated by solar energy systems to customers. The company offers its products and services through direct outside sales force; door-to-door sales force; call centers; channel partner network; and robust customer referral program. SolarCity Corporation was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in San Mateo, California.

SCTY 09/12/16 Forecast
Opening Fair Value: 17.09
Today's Predicted High: 17.50
Today's Predicted Low: 16.04
Today's Proposed Range: 1.46
Buy/Sell Rating: Sell

Binary Ladder Pricing
18.23 Upside Potential R2
17.82 Upside Potential R1
17.57 High Level R2
17.50 Low Level R1
17.09 Pivot Point
16.97 High Level S1
16.36 Low Level S2
16.04 Downside Potential S1
15.31 Downside Potential S2


Most Recent "Bullish" Stock Picks:
IDCC (09/2/16 Close 71.96); QLYS (09/2/16 Close 35.53), CBU (08/26/16 Close 46.77); SFNC (08/26/16 Close 49.44); ALOG (08/19/16 Close 89.40); PCG (08/19/16 Close 64.79); SINA (08/12/16 Close 70.54); CHMT (08/12/16 Close 30.53); HWAY (08/5/16 Close 17.76); EFC (08/05/16 Close 17.55); GTY (07/29/16 Close 22.72); DGX (07/29/16 Close 86.36); SABRA (07/22/16 Close 24.17); HPT (07/22/16 Close 31.811); ELS (07/15/16 Close 80.42); OTTR (07/15/16 Close 33.90); IGN (07/8/16 Close 35.93); EDR (07/8/16 Close 46.37); BKH (07/1/16 Close 64.08); DCM (07/1/16 Close 27.38); AWK (06/24/16 Close 79.93); CWT (06/24/16 Close 33.45); YORW (06/24/16 Close 30.72); CNS, Inc. (06/17/16 Close 39.68); SCG (06/17/16 Close 71.42); AGX (06/10/16 Close 42.96); STR (06/10/16 Close 25.04); MKSI (06/3/16 Close 41.57); EXLS (06/3/16 Close 52.28); KELYA (05/27/16 Close 19.80); GEL (05/20/16 Close 38.22); HSKA (05/13/16 Close: 39.56); JEC (05/06/16 Close: 48.65); E (04/29/16 Close: 32.77); MKTX (04/22/16 Close: 129.46); HTS (04/15/16 Close: 15.94); SUI (04/08/16 Close: 71.51); PZE (04/01/16 Close: 6.57).

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Calendar of Economic Events and Corporate Earnings: The earnings calendar is relatively barren next week, with Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL) serving as the headliner. Meanwhile, an array of economic reports will hit the Street -- especially on Thursday, when the producer price index (PPI), industrial production numbers, and plenty of other data could move the stock market. Separately, a pair of speeches from Fed officials earlier in the week could offer rate-hike clues, while Friday will bring the quadruple witching hour.

Monday, September 12

There are no notable economic reports slated for release, but Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari will give speeches. United Natural Foods (UNFI) will head to the earnings booth.

Tuesday, September 13

The Treasury budget is due out on Tuesday. The earnings calendar is relatively empty.

Wednesday, September 14

On Wednesday, import and export prices will come out, as will the regularly scheduled U.S. crude inventories report. Cracker Barrel (CBRL) will step up to the earnings stage.

Thursday, September 15

Thursday will be busy, with weekly jobless claims, the PPI, retail sales, industrial production, and business inventories on the docket. Plus, the Philadelphia Fed business outlook survey and the Empire State manufacturing survey are scheduled for release. ORCL headlines the earnings calendar.

Friday, September 16

The main highlights on quadruple witching Friday are the consumer price index (CPI), Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index, and Treasury International Capital (TIC) data. There are no notable companies reporting earnings.

Good luck and good trading!

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Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.
Interactive Brokers conducts its broker/dealer and proprietary trading businesses on over 80 market destinations worldwide. In its broker dealer agency business, IB provides direct access ("on line") trade execution and clearing services to institutional and professional traders for a wide variety of electronically traded products including stocks, options, futures, forex, bonds and funds worldwide. In its proprietary trading business IB engages in market making for its own account in about Switzerland, Canada, Hong Kong, UK, Australia, Hungary, Russia, India, China and 6,500 different electronically traded products. Interactive Brokers' headquarters are in Greenwich Connecticut, and it has about 800 employees in its offices in the USA, Estonia. IB is regulated by the SEC, FINRA, NYSE, SFA and other regulatory agencies around the world.

Disclaimer:
The information and data contained in this site was obtained from independent research and development believed to be reliable, but accuracy is not guaranteed. Neither the information, nor any opinion expressed, constitutes a recommendation to purchase or sell a security, or to provide investment advice. Stocks and stock options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. This site is not a solicitation of an offer to buy shares in any fund whose performance is provided in this site. Such an offer can be solicited only by a fund directly or its agent.